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← A frontier AI model's competitive lead decays within months to a year as others catch up.
17 connected korrents · 15 moments on record from 25 Oct 2023 to 18 Sept 2026.
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semiconductors Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: A frontier AI model's competitive lead decays within months to a year as others catch up. A frontier AI model's competitive lead decays within months to a year as others catch up. Last stated 4 weeks ago
26 Aug 2026
RK
Rohit Krishnan — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A competitor six months or a year behind the frontier can stay close, because the cost of AI falls more than tenfold every year. — tap to centre the map on it A competitor six months or a year behind the frontier can stay close, because the cost of AI falls more than tenfold every year. Last stated 8 months ago
8 Jan 2026
JH
Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-01-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Local AI models will eventually catch up to frontier models once frontier progress hits diminishing returns. — tap to centre the map on it Local AI models will eventually catch up to frontier models once frontier progress hits diminishing returns. Last stated 7 months ago
8 Feb 2026
DC
David Crawshaw — holds since 2026-02-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Frontier AI model capabilities stay tightly clustered together rather than any single model holding a decisive, unassailable lead. — tap to centre the map on it Frontier AI model capabilities stay tightly clustered together rather than any single model holding a decisive, unassailable lead. Last stated 6 months ago
26 Mar 2026
SK
Sriram Krishnan — holds since 2026-03-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is far less trade-off than people assume between a safer AI race and widely shared gains: a big lead can be held by a widely owned public company. — tap to centre the map on it There is far less trade-off than people assume between a safer AI race and widely shared gains: a big lead can be held by a widely owned public company. Last stated 4 months ago
4 Jun 2026
PT
Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Once AI can do AI research, a single year should deliver four or five years worth of AI progress. — tap to centre the map on it Once AI can do AI research, a single year should deliver four or five years worth of AI progress. Last stated a month ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The current preference cascade on pacing the AI frontier is insufficient to ensure survival. — tap to centre the map on it The current preference cascade on pacing the AI frontier is insufficient to ensure survival. Last stated 3 days ago
18 Sept 2026
ZM
Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: No bottleneck in the AI supply chain lasts longer than two or three years. — tap to centre the map on it No bottleneck in the AI supply chain lasts longer than two or three years. Last stated 5 months ago
15 Apr 2026
JH
Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-04-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Cheap flat-rate AI subscription pricing is a temporary loss-leader that will be phased out once users are hooked — tap to centre the map on it Cheap flat-rate AI subscription pricing is a temporary loss-leader that will be phased out once users are hooked Last stated 3 months ago
1 Jul 2026
JB
Jamie Brandon — holds since 2026-07-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible. — tap to centre the map on it "Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible. Last stated 3 years ago
25 Oct 2023
AH
Anton Howes — holds since 2023-10-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves. — tap to centre the map on it A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves. Last stated 2 months ago
21 Jul 2026
RT
Ruxandra Teslo — holds since 2026-07-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company working at the edge of the barely possible has to control its own technology destiny, even at the application layer. — tap to centre the map on it A company working at the edge of the barely possible has to control its own technology destiny, even at the application layer. Last stated a year ago
18 Aug 2025
CB
Clay Bavor — holds since 2025-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. Last stated 4 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. — tap to centre the map on it A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. Last stated a year ago
7 Jun 2025
GM
Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. — tap to centre the map on it A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. Last stated 4 months ago
4 Jun 2026
PT
Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. Last stated 3 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. — tap to centre the map on it A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. Last stated 7 months ago
12 Feb 2026
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers. — tap to centre the map on it Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers. Last stated 3 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are