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← Frontier AI model capabilities stay tightly clustered together rather…

17 connected korrents · 15 moments on record from 24 Feb 2018 to 16 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under AGI AGI Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under OpenAI OpenAI Everything filed under measuring intelligence measuring intelligence Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under innovation innovation Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Frontier AI model capabilities stay tightly clustered together rather than any single model holding a decisive, unassailable lead. Frontier AI model capabilities staytightly clustered together rather than anysingle model holding a decisive,unassailable lead. Last stated 6 months ago 26 Mar 2026 SK Sriram Krishnan — holds since 2026-03-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A frontier AI model's competitive lead decays within months to a year as others catch up. — tap to centre the map on it A frontier AI model's competitivelead decays within months to a yearas others catch up. Last stated 4 weeks ago 26 Aug 2026 RK Rohit Krishnan — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: Frontier AI models essentially never fabricate outright false facts, unlike smaller models — tap to centre the map on it Frontier AI models essentially neverfabricate outright false facts,unlike smaller models Last stated 3 months ago 1 Jul 2026 JB Jamie Brandon — holds since 2026-07-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A frontier model is measurably more intelligent with no system prompt at all; the prompts that remain are there for the product, not the model. — tap to centre the map on it A frontier model is measurably moreintelligent with no system prompt atall; the prompts that remain arethere for the product, not themodel. Last stated 2 months ago 27 Jul 2026 BC Boris Cherny — holds since 2026-07-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: There is far less trade-off than people assume between a safer AI race and widely shared gains: a big lead can be held by a widely owned public company. — tap to centre the map on it There is far less trade-off thanpeople assume between a safer AIrace and widely shared gains: a biglead can be held by a widely ownedpublic company. Last stated 4 months ago 4 Jun 2026 PT Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: A competitor six months or a year behind the frontier can stay close, because the cost of AI falls more than tenfold every year. — tap to centre the map on it A competitor six months or a yearbehind the frontier can stay close,because the cost of AI falls morethan tenfold every year. Last stated 8 months ago 8 Jan 2026 JH Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-01-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: There is a large and growing gap between open-weight AI models and frontier AI models. — tap to centre the map on it There is a large and growing gapbetween open-weight AI models andfrontier AI models. Last stated 6 months ago 29 Mar 2026 CW Chris Wellons — holds since 2026-03-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: The best way to pace the AI frontier is to hold labs fully liable for their models' behavior. — tap to centre the map on it The best way to pace the AI frontieris to hold labs fully liable fortheir models' behavior. Last stated 5 days ago 16 Sept 2026 NR Naval Ravikant — holds since 2026-09-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: The only way to avoid extreme power concentration is multiple independent providers of frontier AI models, including open-source options. — tap to centre the map on it The only way to avoid extreme powerconcentration is multipleindependent providers of frontier AImodels, including open-sourceoptions. Last stated a week ago 13 Sept 2026 FC François Chollet — holds since 2026-09-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject. — tap to centre the map on it A true artificial generalintelligence cannot exist withoutbeing recognized as a moral subject. Last stated a year ago 10 Jun 2025 SH Samuel Hammond — holds since 2025-06-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: A unit of AI inference needs to be defined, for example via a chain of increasingly hard problems where each consecutive pair is solvable by one model. — tap to centre the map on it A unit of AI inference needs to bedefined, for example via a chain ofincreasingly hard problems whereeach consecutive pair is solvable byone model. Last stated 6 days ago 15 Sept 2026 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect. — tap to centre the map on it Both the special-purpose-programsview and the blank-slate view ofhuman intelligence are likelyincorrect. Last stated 7 years ago 5 Nov 2019 FC François Chollet — holds since 2019-11-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it A startup should not begin life as anonprofit and bolt a for-profit armon later, whatever OpenAI's ownhistory suggests. Last stated 3 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers. — tap to centre the map on it Advertising was a necessary phasefor the internet but a momentaryindustry, and an AI people pay foris better because they know theanswers are not influenced byadvertisers. Last stated 3 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Aggressive competitive tactics around a math research breakthrough risk having a chilling effect on that field of research. — tap to centre the map on it Aggressive competitive tacticsaround a math research breakthroughrisk having a chilling effect onthat field of research. Last stated a week ago 11 Sept 2026 BT Ben Thompson — holds since 2026-09-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supplychain should just buy the index —which works only in the world whereAI ends up commoditised rather thanconcentrated. Last stated 4 months ago 4 Jun 2026 AI Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. — tap to centre the map on it A poor country should prioritiseowning a piece of AI over retrainingits workers, but it should not beteverything on that. Last stated 4 months ago 4 Jun 2026 PT Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: A slow takeoff is significantly more likely than a fast one: AI that is nearly as powerful will have transformed the world before the incredibly powerful kind arrives. — tap to centre the map on it A slow takeoff is significantly morelikely than a fast one: AI that isnearly as powerful will havetransformed the world before theincredibly powerful kind arrives. Last stated 9 years ago 24 Feb 2018 PC Paul Christiano — holds since 2018-02-24 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Frontier AI model capabilities stay tightly clustered together rather than any single model holding a decisive, unassailable lead. Last stated 26 Mar 2026 · 6 months ago Holds Sriram Krishnan Read this korrent →