Dan Shipper
Co-founder and chief executive of Every, the AI-focused writing and software studio behind Cora, Spiral and Proof.
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Their wordsWhat models do in general is they make yesterday's human competence cheap. And so, it becomes commoditized. It's not valuable anymore. What humans do is we go in there and we're like, "Yeah, we have all this frozen human competence from yesterday. How do I use this like make something new and interesting?"
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 1st of 24 in this recording
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Our reading
Within about a year everyone will have at least one agent they talk to and offload work to.
Their wordsIt's going to bifurcate in two main ways. One is everyone's going to have at least one agent that they talk to, that they can offload work to.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 2nd of 24 in this recording
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Their wordsThe second is that most of the work that you do is actually going to happen on your computer in an environment like Codex or Cloud Co-work that becomes the sort of operating system for it becomes the sort of operating system for how how you do all of your work, whether that's your email, the documents you create, like all that kind of stuff.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 3rd of 24 in this recording
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Their wordsAnd I have completely flipped. And I I really think that uh the the model for now is going to be a super agent, like one agent for the entire company.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 4th of 24 in this recording
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Their wordsin order for an AI agent to be useful right now, it really needs a human who cares about it. It really needs it like a human personal connection with someone who's like watching what it does and make sure that it's doing the right thing and that it's useful for people.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 5th of 24 in this recording
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Their wordsbut I I think Codex right now is my daily driver. I like spend all all my time in it basically.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 6th of 24 in this recording
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Their wordsWhen I run the agent on that website, I'm using my tokens. I'm not using the the vendor's tokens. I'm not using the app's tokens.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 7th of 24 in this recording
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Their wordsAnd I think that Cursor has at least so far more distinctly chosen a lane. Like they're more distinctly choosing to be a for programmers. And that may limit how far they get in here.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 8th of 24 in this recording
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Their wordsAnd when you move into an actual UI for this, you start to realize um we made GUIs for a reason. And it's just nicer to be in a GUI.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 9th of 24 in this recording
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Their wordsAnd I really do think that two agents are better than one. So, what's a good example? When I have Codex interact with another agent, it can give so much more context about me and what I want than I would be able to type.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 10th of 24 in this recording
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Our reading
Their wordsSo, this is another good prediction. I would buy SAS stocks right now.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 11th of 24 in this recording
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Their wordsAnd I think that what agents do is increase the number of users of SAS. Not get rid of it.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 12th of 24 in this recording
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Our reading
Automation is a lie: every automated thing needs a human on top of it making sure it is working.
Their wordsAutomation is a lie. Um in the sense that every time you automate something, in order to make sure the automation is working well, you need a human on top of it like making sure that it's working well.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 13th of 24 in this recording
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Their wordsGPT 5.5 is the only model though that has the sense of agency and confidence to just like rip out old code and just like actually rewrite from first principles.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 14th of 24 in this recording
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Their wordsHere's a prediction. I'm pretty sure every coding model on the market will still do this in a year. Every coding model on the market will take that instruction seriously.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 15th of 24 in this recording
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Their wordsAnd so I think it's it's really important uh when when we think about benchmark progress to think about it from that perspective, which is benchmarks rise on problems that we've framed that we can articulate, that we can score. And there's a lot of work that's human work that uh it it can't be scored until you write it down
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 16th of 24 in this recording
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Our reading
The forward-deployed engineer is a real new job, and it exists because every agent needs a human.
Their wordsAnd the thing that is becoming really clear is the whole forward deployed engineer concept I think is for real. And it comes out of every agent needs a human.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 17th of 24 in this recording
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Our reading
A company will only go as far in AI as its CEO does, and it is not something a CEO can delegate.
Their wordsMy experience is that your company's only going to go as far as your CEO goes in AI and it's not something you can delegate.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 18th of 24 in this recording
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Their wordsI think that we will be reading way more AI generated writing in documents and emails and we will like it.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 19th of 24 in this recording
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Their wordsBut the coding models have gotten good enough that he can pair the kind of the technical knowledge he does have with his really spiky product sense and sense for writing and sense for users.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 20th of 24 in this recording
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Their wordsAnd what you see when we work with them internally is now they're just like they're just making pull pull requests. Like they don't they don't need to hand it off as much. Sometimes they do but like a lot of times they just make pull requests and it's like the thing is built and that's it and I think that's incredible for the way that companies work
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 21st of 24 in this recording
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Their wordsBut the like mass unemployment thing I think that like some AI CEOs are talking about like I think that's not going to happen.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 22nd of 24 in this recording
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Their wordsAnd I think that is actually super important. Um the only thing you need to do is ride the models. And that means use them for whatever it is that you do.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 23rd of 24 in this recording
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Their wordsI think people think of the edge of AI as being in San Francisco. And I actually don't think that that's where it is. I think the edge of AI is wherever AI meets like a real human doing something.
↗AI predictions: Job markets, Codex beats Claude, and the death of org charts | Dan Shipperyoutube.com 24th of 24 in this recording