Tap a claim on the ring to put it at the centre.
← Local AI models will eventually catch up to frontier models once frontier progress hits diminishing returns.
17 connected korrents · 17 moments on record from 28 Oct 2011 to 15 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under management
management
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measuring intelligence
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scaling laws
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LLMs
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innovation
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war
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Read this korrent: Local AI models will eventually catch up to frontier models once frontier progress hits diminishing returns.
Local AI models will eventually catch up to frontier models once frontier progress hits diminishing returns.
Last stated 7 months ago
8 Feb 2026
DC
David Crawshaw — holds since 2026-02-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The one safe bet about AI is that models will improve, so what a company has to build is an organisation that gets better as models get better. — tap to centre the map on it
The one safe bet about AI is that models will improve, so what a company has to build is an organisation that gets better as models get better.
Last stated 11 months ago
16 Oct 2025
DF
Dylan Field — holds since 2025-10-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A frontier AI model's competitive lead decays within months to a year as others catch up. — tap to centre the map on it
A frontier AI model's competitive lead decays within months to a year as others catch up.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
26 Aug 2026
RK
Rohit Krishnan — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A competitor six months or a year behind the frontier can stay close, because the cost of AI falls more than tenfold every year. — tap to centre the map on it
A competitor six months or a year behind the frontier can stay close, because the cost of AI falls more than tenfold every year.
Last stated 8 months ago
8 Jan 2026
JH
Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-01-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is a large and growing gap between open-weight AI models and frontier AI models. — tap to centre the map on it
There is a large and growing gap between open-weight AI models and frontier AI models.
Last stated 6 months ago
29 Mar 2026
CW
Chris Wellons — holds since 2026-03-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A frontier model is measurably more intelligent with no system prompt at all; the prompts that remain are there for the product, not the model. — tap to centre the map on it
A frontier model is measurably more intelligent with no system prompt at all; the prompts that remain are there for the product, not the model.
Last stated 2 months ago
27 Jul 2026
BC
Boris Cherny — holds since 2026-07-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Anyone outside a frontier lab will find their judgment about AI drifting, because the systems are opaque and what is coming is not visible from outside. — tap to centre the map on it
Anyone outside a frontier lab will find their judgment about AI drifting, because the systems are opaque and what is coming is not visible from outside.
Last stated 6 months ago
20 Mar 2026
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-03-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Training a frontier model achieves almost nothing by itself; all the economic and military power comes from deploying it, and deployment is what consumes the compute. — tap to centre the map on it
Training a frontier model achieves almost nothing by itself; all the economic and military power comes from deploying it, and deployment is what consumes the compute.
Last stated 2 years ago
3 Feb 2025
DP
Dylan Patel — holds since 2025-02-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Open frontier models will keep being released whether or not anyone wants to stop them, and stopping them would only leave the world less prepared. — tap to centre the map on it
Open frontier models will keep being released whether or not anyone wants to stop them, and stopping them would only leave the world less prepared.
Last stated 2 years ago
3 Feb 2025
NL
Nathan Lambert — holds since 2025-02-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Hire great people and get out of their way" is dangerous advice for anyone in a leadership role. — tap to centre the map on it
"Hire great people and get out of their way" is dangerous advice for anyone in a leadership role.
Last stated 2 years ago
17 Dec 2024
CM
Charity Majors — holds since 2024-12-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A career goes better attached to the part of a business that brings the money in than to a cost centre, whatever the work itself is. — tap to centre the map on it
A career goes better attached to the part of a business that brings the money in than to a cost centre, whatever the work itself is.
Last stated 15 years ago
28 Oct 2011
PM
Patrick McKenzie — holds since 2011-10-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A career ladder must not be a checklist that guarantees promotion, because a promotion depends on the organisation’s needs as much as on the employee’s skills. — tap to centre the map on it
A career ladder must not be a checklist that guarantees promotion, because a promotion depends on the organisation’s needs as much as on the employee’s skills.
Last stated a year ago
28 May 2025
CF
Camille Fournier — holds since 2025-05-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject. — tap to centre the map on it
A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject.
Last stated a year ago
10 Jun 2025
SH
Samuel Hammond — holds since 2025-06-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A unit of AI inference needs to be defined, for example via a chain of increasingly hard problems where each consecutive pair is solvable by one model. — tap to centre the map on it
A unit of AI inference needs to be defined, for example via a chain of increasingly hard problems where each consecutive pair is solvable by one model.
Last stated 6 days ago
15 Sept 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect. — tap to centre the map on it
Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect.
Last stated 7 years ago
5 Nov 2019
FC
François Chollet — holds since 2019-11-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next. — tap to centre the map on it
"Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next.
Last stated 10 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number. — tap to centre the map on it
A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number.
Last stated 3 months ago
26 Jun 2026
NB
Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. — tap to centre the map on it
A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from.
Last stated 6 months ago
13 Mar 2026
DP
Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2011 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone on record holding the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
Local AI models will eventually catch up to frontier models once frontier progress hits diminishing returns.
Last stated 8 Feb 2026 · 7 months ago
Holds David Crawshaw
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
The one safe bet about AI is that models will improve, so what a company has to build is an organisation that gets better as models get better.
Last stated 16 Oct 2025 · 11 months ago
Holds Dylan Field
Similar wording
A frontier AI model's competitive lead decays within months to a year as others catch up.
Last stated 26 Aug 2026 · 4 weeks ago
Holds Rohit Krishnan
Similar wording
A competitor six months or a year behind the frontier can stay close, because the cost of AI falls more than tenfold every year.
Last stated 8 Jan 2026 · 8 months ago
Holds Jensen Huang
Similar wording
There is a large and growing gap between open-weight AI models and frontier AI models.
Last stated 29 Mar 2026 · 6 months ago
Holds Chris Wellons
Similar wording
A frontier model is measurably more intelligent with no system prompt at all; the prompts that remain are there for the product, not the model.
Last stated 27 Jul 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Boris Cherny
Similar wording
Anyone outside a frontier lab will find their judgment about AI drifting, because the systems are opaque and what is coming is not visible from outside.
Last stated 20 Mar 2026 · 6 months ago
Holds Andrej Karpathy
Similar wording
Training a frontier model achieves almost nothing by itself; all the economic and military power comes from deploying it, and deployment is what consumes the compute.
Last stated 3 Feb 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds Dylan Patel
Similar wording
Open frontier models will keep being released whether or not anyone wants to stop them, and stopping them would only leave the world less prepared.
Last stated 3 Feb 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds Nathan Lambert
Same subject: management
"Hire great people and get out of their way" is dangerous advice for anyone in a leadership role.
Last stated 17 Dec 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Charity Majors
Same subject: management
A career goes better attached to the part of a business that brings the money in than to a cost centre, whatever the work itself is.
Last stated 28 Oct 2011 · 15 years ago
Holds Patrick McKenzie
Same subject: management
A career ladder must not be a checklist that guarantees promotion, because a promotion depends on the organisation’s needs as much as on the employee’s skills.
Last stated 28 May 2025 · a year ago
Holds Camille Fournier
Same subject: measuring intelligence
A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject.
Last stated 10 Jun 2025 · a year ago
Holds Samuel Hammond
Same subject: measuring intelligence
A unit of AI inference needs to be defined, for example via a chain of increasingly hard problems where each consecutive pair is solvable by one model.
Last stated 15 Sept 2026 · 6 days ago
Holds Paul Graham
Same subject: measuring intelligence
Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect.
Last stated 5 Nov 2019 · 7 years ago
Holds François Chollet
Same subject: scaling laws
"Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next.
Last stated 25 Nov 2025 · 10 months ago
Holds Ilya Sutskever
Same subject: scaling laws
A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number.
Last stated 26 Jun 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Noam Brown
Same subject: scaling laws
A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from.
Last stated 13 Mar 2026 · 6 months ago
Holds Dylan Patel