korrents

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Local AI models will eventually catch up to frontier models once frontier progress hits diminishing returns.

Drawn from what David Crawshaw said

SubjectsLLMsopen sourcescaling laws
What this subject means

scaling laws Whether more compute keeps buying more capability, and where the curve now bends -- pre-training, post-training, test-time.

Mental modelS-curves and diminishing returns

What David Crawshaw actually said

  1. David Crawshaw Software engineer; co-founder and former CTO of Tailscale
    At some point frontier models will face diminishing returns, local models will catch up, and we will be done being beholden to frontier models.

    Where this was said

    ↗Eight more months of agentscrawshaw.io

    8 Feb 2026

    All 3 korrents from this piecethis one is 1st

Added to korrents 20 Sept 2026 · How quotes work · Something wrong? Tell us

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