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Charlie Munger

Charlie Munger

@charlie-munger · 50 positions · On ppll ↗

Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway; also chaired Wesco Financial Corporation from 1984 to 2011, where he wrote its annual letters himself.

Charlie Munger did not write this page.

We collected these quotes from things they published elsewhere, and every quote links to where it was said. They have no account here and have not endorsed this site. Quotes are word for word; the short line under each one is our own restatement, not their wording. Their own site. Is this you? Claim it or ask us to remove it. Or tell us what is wrong here.

The ideas Charlie Munger's claims keep coming back to. The labels are ours; every quote is Charlie Munger's own words.

Holds now (9)

How these views changed over time1986–2007
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1986 2 views
1987–06 2 quiet
2007 +5 new · 2 back

Each column is a stretch of time in which the same views came up; a new column starts when one appears or goes quiet. Quiet means nothing on it in our sources for that stretch, which is not the same as a change of mind; Dropped means they said they no longer hold it; tap the card for which claim and when. Revised means the view carries on but one of its claims was dropped. Each row is one view, in the same place all the way along. The number is how many claims in that stretch; we hold 5 in 1986, 0 in 1987, 0 in 1988, 0 in 1989, 0 in 1990, 0 in 1991, 0 in 1992, 0 in 1993, 0 in 1994, 0 in 1995, 0 in 1996, 0 in 1997, 1 in 1998, 0 in 1999, 0 in 2000, 0 in 2001, 0 in 2002, 0 in 2003, 0 in 2004, 0 in 2005, 0 in 2006, 14 in 2007.

Carry a latticework of many models from many fields; with one or two, you bend reality to fit them

Our label. 8 claims in Charlie Munger's own words.

Some 80 or 90 important models carry about 90% of the load in making a person worldly-wise, and only a handful carry the heaviest

Many models, not one

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway 80 or 90 important models will carry about 90% of the freight in making you a worldly-wise person. And, of those, only a mere handful really carry very heavy freight. A Lesson on Elementary Worldly Wisdom As It Relates To Investment Management & Business (USC Business School, 1994)fs.blog · c. 1994All korrents from this piece
    80 or 90 important models will carry about 90% of the freight in making you a worldly-wise person. And, of those, only a mere handful really carry very heavy freight.

Thinking with a single model is a disastrous way to think and to operate in the world, so multiple models are needed

Many models, not one

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway It’s like the old saying, “To the man with only a hammer, every problem looks like a nail.” And of course, that’s the way the chiropractor goes about practicing medicine. But that’s a perfectly disastrous way to think and a perfectly disastrous way to operate in the world. So you’ve got to have multiple models. A Lesson on Elementary Worldly Wisdom As It Relates To Investment Management & Business (USC Business School, 1994)fs.blog · c. 1994All korrents from this piece
    It’s like the old saying, “To the man with only a hammer, every problem looks like a nail.” And of course, that’s the way the chiropractor goes about practicing medicine. But that’s a perfectly disastrous way to think and a perfectly disastrous way to operate in the world. So you’ve got to have multiple models.

With only one or two models in use, a person is liable to torture reality to fit them, or to think they fit

Many models, not one

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway you’ve got to have multiple models—because if you just have one or two that you’re using, the nature of human psychology is such that you’ll torture reality so that it fits your models, or at least you’ll think it does. A Lesson on Elementary Worldly Wisdom As It Relates To Investment Management & Business (USC Business School, 1994)fs.blog · c. 1994All korrents from this piece
    you’ve got to have multiple models—because if you just have one or two that you’re using, the nature of human psychology is such that you’ll torture reality so that it fits your models, or at least you’ll think it does.

Facts that do not hang together on a latticework of theory are not held in a usable form

Many models, not one

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway you can’t really know anything if you just remember isolated facts and try and bang ’em back. If the facts don’t hang together on a latticework of theory, you don’t have them in a usable form. A Lesson on Elementary Worldly Wisdom As It Relates To Investment Management & Business (USC Business School, 1994)fs.blog · c. 1994All korrents from this piece
    you can’t really know anything if you just remember isolated facts and try and bang ’em back. If the facts don’t hang together on a latticework of theory, you don’t have them in a usable form.

Learning is most easily assimilated and used when experience is hung on a latticework of theory answering the question Why

Many models, not one

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway In general, learning is most easily assimilated and used when, life long, people consistently hang their experience, actual and vicarious, on a lattice- work of theory answering the question: Why? The Psychology of Human Misjudgment (revised text, 2005)fs.blog · c. 2005All korrents from this piece
    In general, learning is most easily assimilated and used when, life long, people consistently hang their experience, actual and vicarious, on a lattice- work of theory answering the question: Why?

Practicing fewer skills leads to man-with-a-hammer error and shrinks learning capacity, by leaving gaps in the latticework of theory

Many models, not one

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway If he reduces the number of skills he practices and, therefore, the number of skills he retains, he will naturally drift into error from man with a hammer tendency. His learning capacity will also shrink as he creates gaps in the latticework of theory he needs as a framework for understanding new experience. The Psychology of Human Misjudgment (revised text, 2005)fs.blog · c. 2005All korrents from this piece
    If he reduces the number of skills he practices and, therefore, the number of skills he retains, he will naturally drift into error from man with a hammer tendency. His learning capacity will also shrink as he creates gaps in the latticework of theory he needs as a framework for understanding new experience.

The man-with-a-hammer tendency does not exempt smart people

Many models, not one

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Man-with-a-hammer tendency does not exempt smart people like Blanchard and Skinner. And it won’t exempt you if you don’t watch out. The Psychology of Human Misjudgment (revised text, 2005)fs.blog · c. 2005All korrents from this piece
    Man-with-a-hammer tendency does not exempt smart people like Blanchard and Skinner. And it won’t exempt you if you don’t watch out.

Knowing the big ideas of the disciplines well enough for an exam does not help; they have to sit in a mental latticework and be used automatically for life

Many models, not one

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway And it doesn’t help you just to know them enough just so you can prattle them back on an exam and get an A. You have to learn these things in such a way that they’re in a mental latticework in your head and you automatically use them for the rest of your life. 2007 USC Law School Commencement Addressjamesclear.com · 13 May 2007All korrents from this piece
    And it doesn’t help you just to know them enough just so you can prattle them back on an exam and get an A. You have to learn these things in such a way that they’re in a mental latticework in your head and you automatically use them for the rest of your life.

Misjudgment follows predictable psychological tendencies, and they push hardest when they combine

Our label. 9 claims in Charlie Munger's own words.

Most people process new and disconfirming information so that their original conclusion remains intact, whereas giving priority to disconfirming evidence was a large part of Darwin’s result

Cognitive biases

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Darwin’s result was due in large measure to his working method, which violated all my rules for misery and particularly emphasized a backward twist in that he always gave priority attention to evidence tending to disconfirm whatever cherished and hard-won theory he already had. In contrast, most people early achieve and later intensify a tendency to process new and disconfirming information so that any original conclusion remains intact. How to Guarantee a Life of Misery (Harvard School commencement address, 1986)jamesclear.com · 13 Jun 1986All korrents from this piece
    Darwin’s result was due in large measure to his working method, which violated all my rules for misery and particularly emphasized a backward twist in that he always gave priority attention to evidence tending to disconfirm whatever cherished and hard-won theory he already had. In contrast, most people early achieve and later intensify a tendency to process new and disconfirming information so that any original conclusion remains intact.

The psychology of misjudgment is terribly important to learn, and terribly smart people make bonkers mistakes by failing to heed it

Cognitive biases

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway The elementary part of psychology—the psychology of misjudgment, as I call it—is a terribly important thing to learn. There are about 20 little principles. And they interact, so it gets slightly complicated. But the guts of it is unbelievably important. Terribly smart people make totally bonkers mistakes by failing to pay heed to it. A Lesson on Elementary Worldly Wisdom As It Relates To Investment Management & Business (USC Business School, 1994)fs.blog · c. 1994All korrents from this piece
    The elementary part of psychology—the psychology of misjudgment, as I call it—is a terribly important thing to learn. There are about 20 little principles. And they interact, so it gets slightly complicated. But the guts of it is unbelievably important. Terribly smart people make totally bonkers mistakes by failing to pay heed to it.

Pressure from many psychological tendencies at once accounts for extreme results such as the Milgram experiment and the success of some cults

Cognitive biases

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway This tendency was not in any of the psychology texts I once examined, at least in any coherent fashion, yet it dominates life. It accounts for the extreme result in the Milgram experiment and the extreme success of some cults that have stumbled through practice evolution into bringing pressure from many psychological tendencies to bear at the same time on conversion targets. The Psychology of Human Misjudgment (revised text, 2005)fs.blog · c. 2005All korrents from this piece
    This tendency was not in any of the psychology texts I once examined, at least in any coherent fashion, yet it dominates life. It accounts for the extreme result in the Milgram experiment and the extreme success of some cults that have stumbled through practice evolution into bringing pressure from many psychological tendencies to bear at the same time on conversion targets.

A loss hurts much more than an equal gain helps

Cognitive biases

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway The quantity of man’s pleasure from a ten- dollar gain does not exactly match the quantity of his displeasure from a ten-dollar loss. That is, the loss seems to hurt much more than the gain seems to help. The Psychology of Human Misjudgment (revised text, 2005)fs.blog · c. 2005All korrents from this piece
    The quantity of man’s pleasure from a ten- dollar gain does not exactly match the quantity of his displeasure from a ten-dollar loss. That is, the loss seems to hurt much more than the gain seems to help.

Many small steps toward disaster can carry a person too far to avoid it, because each step presents so little contrast with the present position

Second-order thinking

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway When a man’s steps are consecutively taken toward disaster, with each step being very small, the brain’s Contrast-Misreaction Tendency will often let the man go too far toward disaster to be able to avoid it. This happens because each step presents so small a contrast from his present position. The Psychology of Human Misjudgment (revised text, 2005)fs.blog · c. 2005All korrents from this piece
    When a man’s steps are consecutively taken toward disaster, with each step being very small, the brain’s Contrast-Misreaction Tendency will often let the man go too far toward disaster to be able to avoid it. This happens because each step presents so small a contrast from his present position.

People have an automatic tendency to think and act as they see others around them thinking and acting

Cognitive biases

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway For some such reason, man’s evolution left him with Social-Proof Tendency, an automatic tendency to think and act as he sees others around him thinking and acting. The Psychology of Human Misjudgment (revised text, 2005)fs.blog · c. 2005All korrents from this piece
    For some such reason, man’s evolution left him with Social-Proof Tendency, an automatic tendency to think and act as he sees others around him thinking and acting.

Liking and loving act as a conditioning device that makes the lover ignore faults, comply with wishes, favor associated things and distort other facts

Cognitive biases

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway One very practical consequence of Liking/ Loving Tendency is that it acts as a conditioning device that makes the liker or lover tend (1) to ignore faults of, and comply with wishes of, the object of his affection, (2) to favor people, products, and actions merely associated with the object of his affection (as we shall see when we get to “Influence-from-Mere-Association Tendency,” and (3) to distort other facts to facilitate love. The Psychology of Human Misjudgment (revised text, 2005)fs.blog · c. 2005All korrents from this piece
    One very practical consequence of Liking/ Loving Tendency is that it acts as a conditioning device that makes the liker or lover tend (1) to ignore faults of, and comply with wishes of, the object of his affection, (2) to favor people, products, and actions merely associated with the object of his affection (as we shall see when we get to “Influence-from-Mere-Association Tendency,” and (3) to distort other facts to facilitate love.

Reaching a conclusion quickly and then resisting any change in it naturally causes many errors of cognition

Cognitive biases

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway It is easy to see that a quickly reached conclusion, triggered by Doubt-Avoidance Tendency, when combined with a tendency to resist any change in that conclusion, will naturally cause a lot of errors in cognition for modern man. The Psychology of Human Misjudgment (revised text, 2005)fs.blog · c. 2005All korrents from this piece
    It is easy to see that a quickly reached conclusion, triggered by Doubt-Avoidance Tendency, when combined with a tendency to resist any change in that conclusion, will naturally cause a lot of errors in cognition for modern man.

One has to allow for the self-serving bias of everybody else, and failing to do so is foolish

Cognitive biases

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway You also have to allow for the self-serving bias of everybody else, because most people are not gonna remove it all that successfully, the only condition being what it is. If you don’t allow for self-serving bias in your conduct, again, you’re a fool. 2007 USC Law School Commencement Addressjamesclear.com · 13 May 2007All korrents from this piece
    You also have to allow for the self-serving bias of everybody else, because most people are not gonna remove it all that successfully, the only condition being what it is. If you don’t allow for self-serving bias in your conduct, again, you’re a fool.

Guard against your own biases with routines: checklists, self-objectivity and the other side's best case

Our label. 6 claims in Charlie Munger's own words.

The best antidote to excess self-regard is to force oneself to be more objective about oneself, one’s family and friends, one’s property and the value of one’s activity

Cognitive biases

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway The best antidote to folly from an excess of self-regard is to force yourself to be more objective when you are thinking about yourself, your family and friends, your property, and the value of your past and future activity. This isn’t easy to do well and won’t work perfectly, but it will work much better than simply letting psychological nature take its normal course. The Psychology of Human Misjudgment (revised text, 2005)fs.blog · c. 2005All korrents from this piece
    The best antidote to folly from an excess of self-regard is to force yourself to be more objective when you are thinking about yourself, your family and friends, your property, and the value of your past and future activity. This isn’t easy to do well and won’t work perfectly, but it will work much better than simply letting psychological nature take its normal course.

Learning to ignore the examples of others when they are wrong is a skill few skills exceed in worth

Cognitive biases

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Learn how to ignore the examples from others when they are wrong, because few skills are more worth having. The Psychology of Human Misjudgment (revised text, 2005)fs.blog · c. 2005All korrents from this piece
    Learn how to ignore the examples from others when they are wrong, because few skills are more worth having.

A thinking person needs to assemble their skills into a checklist used routinely, or will miss much that is important

Cognitive biases

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway It is also essential for a thinking man to assemble his skills into a checklist that he routinely uses. Any other mode of operation will cause him to miss much that is important. The Psychology of Human Misjudgment (revised text, 2005)fs.blog · c. 2005All korrents from this piece
    It is also essential for a thinking man to assemble his skills into a checklist that he routinely uses. Any other mode of operation will cause him to miss much that is important.

Checklist routines avoid a lot of errors, and a checklist is the procedure that works best for putting elementary wisdom to use

Cognitive biases

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Checklist routines avoid a lot of errors. You should have all this elementary wisdom and then you should go through and have a checklist in order to use it. There is no other procedure that will work as well. 2007 USC Law School Commencement Addressjamesclear.com · 13 May 2007All korrents from this piece
    Checklist routines avoid a lot of errors. You should have all this elementary wisdom and then you should go through and have a checklist in order to use it. There is no other procedure that will work as well.

Objectivity maintenance routines are totally required for correct thinking

Cognitive biases

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway objectivity maintenance routines are totally required in life if you’re going to be a correct thinker. 2007 USC Law School Commencement Addressjamesclear.com · 13 May 2007All korrents from this piece
    objectivity maintenance routines are totally required in life if you’re going to be a correct thinker.

One is not entitled to an opinion on a subject until one can state the arguments against one’s position better than its supporters

Cognitive biases

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway I’m not entitled to have an opinion on this subject unless I can state the arguments against my position better than the people do who are supporting it.” I think only when I reach that stage am I qualified to speak. 2007 USC Law School Commencement Addressjamesclear.com · 13 May 2007All korrents from this piece
    I’m not entitled to have an opinion on this subject unless I can state the arguments against my position better than the people do who are supporting it.” I think only when I reach that stage am I qualified to speak.

Solve problems backward: study what produces misery and failure, then avoid it

Our label. 5 claims in Charlie Munger's own words.

Many hard problems are best solved by addressing them backward, studying how to create non-X in order to create X

Inversion

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway What Carson did was to approach the study of how to create X by turning the question backward, that is, by studying how to create non-X. The great algebraist, Jacobi, had exactly the same approach as Carson and was known for his constant repetition of one phrase: “Invert, always invert.” It is in the nature of things, as Jacobi knew, that many hard problems are best solved only when they are addressed backward. How to Guarantee a Life of Misery (Harvard School commencement address, 1986)jamesclear.com · 13 Jun 1986All korrents from this piece
    What Carson did was to approach the study of how to create X by turning the question backward, that is, by studying how to create non-X. The great algebraist, Jacobi, had exactly the same approach as Carson and was known for his constant repetition of one phrase: “Invert, always invert.” It is in the nature of things, as Jacobi knew, that many hard problems are best solved only when they are addressed backward.

Staying down after severe reverses guarantees being permanently mired in misery, since adversity is plentiful even for the lucky and wise

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway My third prescription for misery is to go down and stay down when you get your first, second, third severe reverse in the battle of life. Because there is so much adversity out there, even for the lucky and wise, this will guarantee that, in due course, you will be permanently mired in misery. How to Guarantee a Life of Misery (Harvard School commencement address, 1986)jamesclear.com · 13 Jun 1986All korrents from this piece
    My third prescription for misery is to go down and stay down when you get your first, second, third severe reverse in the battle of life. Because there is so much adversity out there, even for the lucky and wise, this will guarantee that, in due course, you will be permanently mired in misery.

Learning only from one’s own experience, and minimizing what one learns from the good and bad experience of others, is a sure-shot producer of misery and second-rate achievement

Learning machine

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway My second prescription for misery is to learn everything you possibly can from your own personal experience, minimizing what you learn vicariously from the good and bad experience of others, living and dead. This prescription is a sure-shot producer of misery and second-rate achievement. How to Guarantee a Life of Misery (Harvard School commencement address, 1986)jamesclear.com · 13 Jun 1986All korrents from this piece
    My second prescription for misery is to learn everything you possibly can from your own personal experience, minimizing what you learn vicariously from the good and bad experience of others, living and dead. This prescription is a sure-shot producer of misery and second-rate achievement.

Good judgment can be sought mostly by collecting instances of bad judgment and pondering ways to avoid them, in the manner of inversion

Inversion

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway First, I had long looked for insight by inversion in the intense manner counseled by the great algebraist, Jacobi: “Invert, always invert.” I sought good judgment mostly by collecting instances of bad judgment, then pondering ways to avoid such outcomes. The Psychology of Human Misjudgment (revised text, 2005)fs.blog · c. 2005All korrents from this piece
    First, I had long looked for insight by inversion in the intense manner counseled by the great algebraist, Jacobi: “Invert, always invert.” I sought good judgment mostly by collecting instances of bad judgment, then pondering ways to avoid such outcomes.

Inversion frequently solves problems that nothing else will

Inversion

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Those of you who have mastered algebra know that inversion frequently will solve problems which nothing else will solve. And in life, unless you’re more gifted than Einstein, inversion will help you solve problems that you can’t solve in other ways. 2007 USC Law School Commencement Addressjamesclear.com · 13 May 2007All korrents from this piece
    Those of you who have mastered algebra know that inversion frequently will solve problems which nothing else will solve. And in life, unless you’re more gifted than Einstein, inversion will help you solve problems that you can’t solve in other ways.

Know where your competence ends, think in odds, and bet big only when the odds are clearly yours

Our label. 7 claims in Charlie Munger's own words.

It makes sense to load up on the very few good insights one has rather than pretend to know everything about everything at all times

Circle of competence

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway And it makes sense to load up on the very few good insights you have instead of pretending to know everything about everything at all times. You’re much more likely to do well if you start out to do something feasible instead of something that isn’t feasible. A Lesson on Elementary Worldly Wisdom As It Relates To Investment Management & Business (USC Business School, 1994)fs.blog · c. 1994All korrents from this piece
    And it makes sense to load up on the very few good insights you have instead of pretending to know everything about everything at all times. You’re much more likely to do well if you start out to do something feasible instead of something that isn’t feasible.

The wise bet heavily when the world offers them the odds, and not the rest of the time

Probabilistic thinking

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway And the wise ones bet heavily when the world offers them that opportunity. They bet big when they have the odds. And the rest of the time, they don’t. A Lesson on Elementary Worldly Wisdom As It Relates To Investment Management & Business (USC Business School, 1994)fs.blog · c. 1994All korrents from this piece
    And the wise ones bet heavily when the world offers them that opportunity. They bet big when they have the odds. And the rest of the time, they don’t.

Playing games where others have the aptitudes and one does not is close to certain to lose, so one has to find where one has an edge and stay inside one’s circle of competence

Circle of competence

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway If you play games where other people have the aptitudes and you don’t, you’re going to lose. And that’s as close to certain as any prediction that you can make. You have to figure out where you’ve got an edge. And you’ve got to play within your own circle of competence. A Lesson on Elementary Worldly Wisdom As It Relates To Investment Management & Business (USC Business School, 1994)fs.blog · c. 1994All korrents from this piece
    If you play games where other people have the aptitudes and you don’t, you’re going to lose. And that’s as close to certain as any prediction that you can make. You have to figure out where you’ve got an edge. And you’ve got to play within your own circle of competence.

Everyone has a circle of competence, and it is very hard to advance

Circle of competence

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Every person is going to have a circle of competence. And it’s going to be very hard to advance that circle. A Lesson on Elementary Worldly Wisdom As It Relates To Investment Management & Business (USC Business School, 1994)fs.blog · c. 1994All korrents from this piece
    Every person is going to have a circle of competence. And it’s going to be very hard to advance that circle.

Without the elementary mathematics of probability in one’s repertoire, one gives everybody else a huge advantage

Probabilistic thinking

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway If you don’t get this elementary, but mildly unnatural, mathematics of elementary probability into your repertoire, then you go through a long life like a one-legged man in an ass-kicking contest. You’re giving a huge advantage to everybody else. A Lesson on Elementary Worldly Wisdom As It Relates To Investment Management & Business (USC Business School, 1994)fs.blog · c. 1994All korrents from this piece
    If you don’t get this elementary, but mildly unnatural, mathematics of elementary probability into your repertoire, then you go through a long life like a one-legged man in an ass-kicking contest. You’re giving a huge advantage to everybody else.

Trained, habitual use of simple probability math is one standard antidote to foolish optimism

Probabilistic thinking

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway One standard antidote to foolish optimism is trained, habitual use of the simple probability math of Fermat and Pascal, taught in my youth to high school sophomores. The Psychology of Human Misjudgment (revised text, 2005)fs.blog · c. 2005All korrents from this piece
    One standard antidote to foolish optimism is trained, habitual use of the simple probability math of Fermat and Pascal, taught in my youth to high school sophomores.

There are two kinds of knowledge: that of those who really know, having paid the dues and having the aptitude, and that of those who have only learned to prattle the talk

Circle of competence

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway In this world, we have two kinds of knowledge. One is Planck knowledge—the people who really know. They’ve paid the dues, they have the aptitude. Then, we’ve got chauffeur knowledge—they have learned to prattle the talk and they have a big head of hair. They may have fine timbre in the voice. They really make a hell of an impression. But in the end, they’ve got chauffeur knowledge. 2007 USC Law School Commencement Addressjamesclear.com · 13 May 2007All korrents from this piece
    In this world, we have two kinds of knowledge. One is Planck knowledge—the people who really know. They’ve paid the dues, they have the aptitude. Then, we’ve got chauffeur knowledge—they have learned to prattle the talk and they have a big head of hair. They may have fine timbre in the voice. They really make a hell of an impression. But in the end, they’ve got chauffeur knowledge.

Incentives drive behaviour, pulling decent people and advisers toward what serves them

Our label. 3 claims in Charlie Munger's own words.

Because of incentive-caused bias, a professional advisor’s advice deserves distrust, especially when it is especially good for the advisor

Incentives

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Widespread incentive-caused bias requires that one should often distrust, or take with a grain of salt, the advice of one’s professional advisor, even if he is an engineer. The general antidotes here are: (1) especially fear professional advice when it is especially good for the advisor; (2) learn and use the basic elements of your advisor’s trade as you deal with your advisor; and (3) double check, disbelieve, or replace much of what you’re told, to the degree that seems appropriate after objective thought. The Psychology of Human Misjudgment (revised text, 2005)fs.blog · c. 2005All korrents from this piece
    Widespread incentive-caused bias requires that one should often distrust, or take with a grain of salt, the advice of one’s professional advisor, even if he is an engineer. The general antidotes here are: (1) especially fear professional advice when it is especially good for the advisor; (2) learn and use the basic elements of your advisor’s trade as you deal with your advisor; and (3) double check, disbelieve, or replace much of what you’re told, to the degree that seems appropriate after objective thought.

Driven by incentives, a decent person drifts into immoral behavior to get what he wants and rationalizes it

Incentives

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway A man has an acculturated nature making him a pretty decent fellow, and yet, driven both consciously and subconsciously by incentives, he drifts into immoral behavior in order to get what he wants, a result he facilitates by rationalizing his bad behavior, like the salesmen at Xerox who harmed customers in order to maximize their sales commissions. The Psychology of Human Misjudgment (revised text, 2005)fs.blog · c. 2005All korrents from this piece
    A man has an acculturated nature making him a pretty decent fellow, and yet, driven both consciously and subconsciously by incentives, he drifts into immoral behavior in order to get what he wants, a result he facilitates by rationalizing his bad behavior, like the salesmen at Xerox who harmed customers in order to maximize their sales commissions.

One should never think about something else when one should be thinking about the power of incentives

Incentives

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway This maxim is a wise guide to a great and simple precaution in life: Never, ever, think about something else when you should be thinking about the power of incentives. The Psychology of Human Misjudgment (revised text, 2005)fs.blog · c. 2005All korrents from this piece
    This maxim is a wise guide to a great and simple precaution in life: Never, ever, think about something else when you should be thinking about the power of incentives.

Keep learning all your life; what you learn later matters more than what you already know

Our label. 3 claims in Charlie Munger's own words.

People who are learning machines rise in life even when they are not the smartest or the most diligent

Learning machine, Compounding

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway I constantly see people rise in life who are not the smartest, sometimes not even the most diligent, but they are learning machines. They go to bed every night a little wiser than when they got up and boy does that help—particularly when you have a long run ahead of you. 2007 USC Law School Commencement Addressjamesclear.com · 13 May 2007All korrents from this piece
    I constantly see people rise in life who are not the smartest, sometimes not even the most diligent, but they are learning machines. They go to bed every night a little wiser than when they got up and boy does that help—particularly when you have a long run ahead of you.

Advancing in life depends more on what one learns later than on what one already knows

Learning machine

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway You are not going to get very far in life based on what you already know. You’re going to advance in life by what you’re going to learn after you leave here. 2007 USC Law School Commencement Addressjamesclear.com · 13 May 2007All korrents from this piece
    You are not going to get very far in life based on what you already know. You’re going to advance in life by what you’re going to learn after you leave here.

Acquiring wisdom is a moral duty and not only something done to advance in life

Learning machine

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway wisdom acquisition is a moral duty. It’s not something you do just to advance in life. Wisdom acquisition is a moral duty. 2007 USC Law School Commencement Addressjamesclear.com · 13 May 2007All korrents from this piece
    wisdom acquisition is a moral duty. It’s not something you do just to advance in life. Wisdom acquisition is a moral duty.

What owners earn is set by the economics of the business, not by its inventions

Our label. 3 claims in Charlie Munger's own words.

Over the long term a stock is hard put to earn a much better return than the business underneath it earns

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Over the long term, it’s hard for a stock to earn a much better return than the business which underlies it earns. If the business earns 6% on capital over 40 years and you hold it for that 40 years, you’re not going to make much different than a 6% return—even if you originally buy it at a huge discount. A Lesson on Elementary Worldly Wisdom As It Relates To Investment Management & Business (USC Business School, 1994)fs.blog · c. 1994All korrents from this piece
    Over the long term, it’s hard for a stock to earn a much better return than the business which underlies it earns. If the business earns 6% on capital over 40 years and you hold it for that 40 years, you’re not going to make much different than a 6% return—even if you originally buy it at a huge discount.

Advantages of scale are very important to which businesses succeed and which fail

Moats

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway in terms of which businesses succeed and which businesses fail, advantages of scale are ungodly important. A Lesson on Elementary Worldly Wisdom As It Relates To Investment Management & Business (USC Business School, 1994)fs.blog · c. 1994All korrents from this piece
    in terms of which businesses succeed and which businesses fail, advantages of scale are ungodly important.

In a lousy business, wonderful new inventions can give owners nothing, because the gains from improvements flow through to the customers

Moats

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway there are all kinds of wonderful new inventions that give you nothing as owners except the opportunity to spend a lot more money in a business that’s still going to be lousy. The money still won’t come to you. All of the advantages from great improvements are going to flow through to the customers. A Lesson on Elementary Worldly Wisdom As It Relates To Investment Management & Business (USC Business School, 1994)fs.blog · c. 1994All korrents from this piece
    there are all kinds of wonderful new inventions that give you nothing as owners except the opportunity to spend a lot more money in a business that’s still going to be lousy. The money still won’t come to you. All of the advantages from great improvements are going to flow through to the customers.

Be reliable and deserve what you want; a good civilisation runs on trust that is deserved

Our label. 3 claims in Charlie Munger's own words.

The highest form civilization can reach is a seamless web of deserved trust: not much procedure, just totally reliable people correctly trusting one another

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway The highest form that civilization can reach is a seamless web of deserved trust. Not much procedure, just totally reliable people correctly trusting one another. 2007 USC Law School Commencement Addressjamesclear.com · 13 May 2007All korrents from this piece
    The highest form that civilization can reach is a seamless web of deserved trust. Not much procedure, just totally reliable people correctly trusting one another.

Sloth and unreliability are what to avoid: an unreliable person craters whatever their virtues

Inversion

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Such an easy answer: sloth and unreliability. 2007 USC Law School Commencement Addressjamesclear.com · 13 May 2007All korrents from this piece
    Such an easy answer: sloth and unreliability.

The safest way to try to get what one wants is to try to deserve it

  1. Charlie Munger Warren Buffett's business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway the safest way to try and get what you want is to try and deserve what you want. 2007 USC Law School Commencement Addressjamesclear.com · 13 May 2007All korrents from this piece
    the safest way to try and get what you want is to try and deserve what you want.