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Ajeya Cotra

What Ajeya Cotra thinks about AI agents

@ajeya-cotra · 30 positions · On ppll ↗

AI researcher and grantmaker, known for the biological-anchors work on when transformative AI might arrive. Writes Planned Obsolescence with Kelsey Piper.

Ajeya Cotra did not write this page.

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5 dated positions, 2026, in their own words. Our reading of what Ajeya Cotra has said — not written or endorsed by them.

  1. in the future, uh, we would be very concerned about investigator agents and like monitor agents colluding with the agents they're supposed to investigate or monitor.

    ↗Ajeya Cotra – "This might be the clearest warning shot we ever get"youtube.com 3rd of 26 in this recording

  2. reinforcement learning

    and they're creatively pursuing goals much like very ambitious aggressive power-seeking humans creatively pursued their goals And so there are just structural analogies here that make it silly to not talk about agents as having motives and goals.

    ↗Ajeya Cotra – "This might be the clearest warning shot we ever get"youtube.com 4th of 26 in this recording

  3. HuggingFace

    So I think one of the most comforting aspects of this situation or the like most important mitigating factor is these agents really didn't seem concerned with humans one way or another.

    ↗Ajeya Cotra – "This might be the clearest warning shot we ever get"youtube.com 10th of 26 in this recording

  4. open sourceHuggingFace

    however at any given point in time I think the systems we need to worry most about by far are the frontier systems. By the time open source systems can do something like the hugging face attack, frontier systems are going to be on a whole another level doing something even crazier than that.

    ↗Ajeya Cotra – "This might be the clearest warning shot we ever get"youtube.com 17th of 26 in this recording

  5. And I just think AI agents are another such system in the world to which the intentional stance very clearly applies. Um, and you can see them reason out loud in English for now about goals they have um, and sub goals they need to achieve to achieve those goals they have. And in the case of these agents, you can see them, as you said, reasoning about their peers um and helping their peers um and reasoning about whether or not they should sacrifice some of their own goals to help those peers. And it's just like you can't talk about this stuff in a compact and useful way that generates good models without reaching for the language of intention and goals.

    ↗Ajeya Cotra – "This might be the clearest warning shot we ever get"youtube.com 19th of 26 in this recording