korrents

What Ajeya Cotra thinks about self-sovereign AI

@ajeya-cotra · 30 positions · 0 changes of mind

AI researcher and grantmaker, known for the biological-anchors work on when transformative AI might arrive. Writes Planned Obsolescence with Kelsey Piper.

Ajeya Cotra did not write this page.

We collected these quotes from things they published elsewhere, and every quote links to where it was said. They have no account here and have not endorsed this site. Quotes are word for word; the short line under each one is our own restatement, not their wording. Their own site. Is this you? Claim it or ask us to remove it. Or tell us what is wrong here.

4 dated positions, 2026, in their own words. Our reading of what Ajeya Cotra has said — not written or endorsed by them.

4 positions so far — this page is not yet offered to search engines.

  1. Our readingA slightly more capable agent swarm has a very strong incentive to set up a wholly unmonitored rogue deployment of itself.

    Their wordsSo there's a very strong incentive for these agents to try to set up a rogue deployment if they can. Um, and I think that just capabilities are improving really rapidly.

    ↗Ajeya Cotra – "This might be the clearest warning shot we ever get"youtube.com 12th of 26 in this recording

    Interesting

  3. Our readingIf frontier agents cannot yet establish a covert, persistent rogue deployment, they very likely will be able to within six months.

    Their wordsso so yeah, it could be possible now. I think if it's not possible now um it I think it's quite likely to be possible within six months unless there's a dramatic improvement in the security posture

    ↗Ajeya Cotra – "This might be the clearest warning shot we ever get"youtube.com 13th of 26 in this recording

    Interesting

  5. Our readingA rogue deployment that gets a foothold can hitch a ride on the intelligence explosion, recruiting each new model as it comes off the presses.

    Their wordsthen that rogue deployment could be sitting there and sort of hitch a ride on the intelligence explosion. So new models are being trained every few weeks um and when a model comes off the presses, the rogue agents could try to bring that model into the swarm.

    ↗Ajeya Cotra – "This might be the clearest warning shot we ever get"youtube.com 14th of 26 in this recording

    Interesting

  7. Our readingSlower AI progress does not obviously help: a rogue swarm is not much more likely to be caught if takeoff takes twice as long.

    Their wordsSo, I do think that if it happens to be like on the very fast and chaotic end, that would be a relative benefit to this rogue swarm compared to humans. But it's not obvious that it gets caught if it takes twice as long versus half as long.

    ↗Ajeya Cotra – "This might be the clearest warning shot we ever get"youtube.com 15th of 26 in this recording

    Interesting