What Ajeya Cotra thinks about discipline

@ajeya-cotra · 30 positions · On ppll ↗

AI researcher and grantmaker, known for the biological-anchors work on when transformative AI might arrive. Writes Planned Obsolescence with Kelsey Piper.

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1 dated position, 2026, in their own words. Our reading of what Ajeya Cotra has said — not written or endorsed by them.

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1 Sept 2026

Our readingIf frontier agents cannot yet establish a covert, persistent rogue deployment, they very likely will be able to within six months.

Their wordsso so yeah, it could be possible now. I think if it's not possible now um it I think it's quite likely to be possible within six months unless there's a dramatic improvement in the security posture

↗Ajeya Cotra – "This might be the clearest warning shot we ever get"youtube.com 13th of 26 in this recording