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← We have not scratched the surface of what classical, non-quantum…

17 connected korrents · 12 moments on record from 7 Sept 2008 to 18 Aug 2026.

Everything filed under robotics robotics Everything filed under AI and science AI and science Everything filed under formal proof formal proof Everything filed under mathematics mathematics Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: We have not scratched the surface of what classical, non-quantum computers can do; they can already go far further than anyone expected. We have not scratched the surface of whatclassical, non-quantum computers can do;they can already go far further thananyone expected. Last stated a year ago 23 Jul 2025 DH Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: The brain is doing classical computation, not quantum, so everything it does can in principle be mimicked by a classical computer. — tap to centre the map on it The brain is doing classicalcomputation, not quantum, soeverything it does can in principlebe mimicked by a classical computer. Last stated a year ago 23 Jul 2025 DH Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level artificial intelligenceis plausibly centuries or millenniaaway, and no trend supports ashorter estimate. Last stated 3 years ago 13 Dec 2023 SA Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are SA Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Every generation's test for machine intelligence is whatever machines cannot do yet, so in twenty years the question will be whether it can reproduce. — tap to centre the map on it Every generation's test for machineintelligence is whatever machinescannot do yet, so in twenty yearsthe question will be whether it canreproduce. Last stated 3 years ago 29 Jun 2023 GH George Hotz — holds since 2023-06-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level AI is most likelycenturies or millennia away, sothere is no reason to reorganiseone's work around its arrival. Last stated 3 years ago 13 Dec 2023 SA Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are SA Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: What AI still cannot do in mathematics is build cumulatively on partial progress; it is trial, error and brute force rather than an idea improving through use. — tap to centre the map on it What AI still cannot do inmathematics is build cumulatively onpartial progress; it is trial, errorand brute force rather than an ideaimproving through use. Last stated 6 months ago 20 Mar 2026 TT Terence Tao — holds since 2026-03-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: Reinforcement learning cannot be scaled for robots the way it was for language models, because every attempt spends real robot hours instead of data-centre compute. — tap to centre the map on it Reinforcement learning cannot bescaled for robots the way it was forlanguage models, because everyattempt spends real robot hoursinstead of data-centre compute. Last stated 4 weeks ago 12 Aug 2026 CF Chelsea Finn — holds since 2026-08-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: Within a decade AI will do the bulk of what mathematicians spend their time on, and we will discover that was never the important part of the job. — tap to centre the map on it Within a decade AI will do the bulkof what mathematicians spend theirtime on, and we will discover thatwas never the important part of thejob. Last stated 6 months ago 20 Mar 2026 TT Terence Tao — holds since 2026-03-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: An end-to-end self-improving AI is probably possible, but it is not even desirable, because it is a hard-takeoff scenario. — tap to centre the map on it An end-to-end self-improving AI isprobably possible, but it is noteven desirable, because it is ahard-takeoff scenario. Last stated a year ago 23 Jul 2025 DH Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: A highly dynamic economy that cheaply mass-produces robots may increase rather than decrease the risk of Malthusian resource dilemmas. — tap to centre the map on it A highly dynamic economy thatcheaply mass-produces robots mayincrease rather than decrease therisk of Malthusian resourcedilemmas. Last stated 3 years ago 1 Oct 2023 TC Tyler Cowen — holds since 2023-10-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A humanoid robot is the wrong tool on a factory floor, because a machine specialised in the task beats it. — tap to centre the map on it A humanoid robot is the wrong toolon a factory floor, because amachine specialised in the taskbeats it. Last stated a year ago 6 Apr 2025 MH Molson Hart — holds since 2025-04-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: A physical AI agent has to be safe on day one, because you cannot ship something merely good enough and let users find the edge cases. — tap to centre the map on it A physical AI agent has to be safeon day one, because you cannot shipsomething merely good enough and letusers find the edge cases. Last stated a month ago 3 Aug 2026 DD Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI will transform how scientific discovery is done, and within two or three years a working scientist's job will already look dramatically different. — tap to centre the map on it AI will transform how scientificdiscovery is done, and within two orthree years a working scientist'sjob will already look dramaticallydifferent. Last stated 3 weeks ago 18 Aug 2026 MK Michael Kratsios — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Autonomous cloud labs that run the whole loop — hypothesis, experiment, result, next hypothesis — without human intervention are within reach. — tap to centre the map on it Autonomous cloud labs that run thewhole loop — hypothesis, experiment,result, next hypothesis — withouthuman intervention are within reach. Last stated 3 weeks ago 18 Aug 2026 MK Michael Kratsios — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Current AI struggles even to rediscover old laws of physics from data, and when it does, contamination from training is the first suspect. — tap to centre the map on it Current AI struggles even torediscover old laws of physics fromdata, and when it does,contamination from training is thefirst suspect. Last stated a year ago 14 Jun 2025 TT Terence Tao — holds since 2025-06-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI-written code makes formal proof necessary, because human review of all that generated code becomes the bottleneck. — tap to centre the map on it AI-written code makes formal proofnecessary, because human review ofall that generated code becomes thebottleneck. Last stated 5 months ago 22 Apr 2026 MK Martin Kleppmann — holds since 2026-04-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: Formal verification is about to become economical, because models are getting good enough at writing the proofs that humans no longer have to. — tap to centre the map on it Formal verification is about tobecome economical, because modelsare getting good enough at writingthe proofs that humans no longerhave to. Last stated 5 months ago 22 Apr 2026 MK Martin Kleppmann — holds since 2026-04-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: Formalising a proof in Lean currently takes about ten times the effort of writing it out: doable, but annoying. — tap to centre the map on it Formalising a proof in Leancurrently takes about ten times theeffort of writing it out: doable,but annoying. Last stated a year ago 14 Jun 2025 TT Terence Tao — holds since 2025-06-14 — tap for who they are
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At the centre We have not scratched the surface of what classical, non-quantum computers can do; they can already go far further than anyone expected. Last stated 23 Jul 2025 · a year ago Holds Demis Hassabis Read this korrent →