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← We have not scratched the surface of what classical, non-quantum…
17 connected korrents · 12 moments on record from 7 Sept 2008 to 18 Aug 2026.
Everything filed under robotics
robotics
Everything filed under AI and science
AI and science
Everything filed under formal proof
formal proof
Everything filed under mathematics
mathematics
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Read this korrent: We have not scratched the surface of what classical, non-quantum computers can do; they can already go far further than anyone expected.
We have not scratched the surface of what classical, non-quantum computers can do; they can already go far further than anyone expected.
Last stated a year ago
23 Jul 2025
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The brain is doing classical computation, not quantum, so everything it does can in principle be mimicked by a classical computer. — tap to centre the map on it
The brain is doing classical computation, not quantum, so everything it does can in principle be mimicked by a classical computer.
Last stated a year ago
23 Jul 2025
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. — tap to centre the map on it
Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate.
Last stated 3 years ago
13 Dec 2023
SA
Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Every generation's test for machine intelligence is whatever machines cannot do yet, so in twenty years the question will be whether it can reproduce. — tap to centre the map on it
Every generation's test for machine intelligence is whatever machines cannot do yet, so in twenty years the question will be whether it can reproduce.
Last stated 3 years ago
29 Jun 2023
GH
George Hotz — holds since 2023-06-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. — tap to centre the map on it
Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival.
Last stated 3 years ago
13 Dec 2023
SA
Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: What AI still cannot do in mathematics is build cumulatively on partial progress; it is trial, error and brute force rather than an idea improving through use. — tap to centre the map on it
What AI still cannot do in mathematics is build cumulatively on partial progress; it is trial, error and brute force rather than an idea improving through use.
Last stated 6 months ago
20 Mar 2026
TT
Terence Tao — holds since 2026-03-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Reinforcement learning cannot be scaled for robots the way it was for language models, because every attempt spends real robot hours instead of data-centre compute. — tap to centre the map on it
Reinforcement learning cannot be scaled for robots the way it was for language models, because every attempt spends real robot hours instead of data-centre compute.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
12 Aug 2026
CF
Chelsea Finn — holds since 2026-08-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Within a decade AI will do the bulk of what mathematicians spend their time on, and we will discover that was never the important part of the job. — tap to centre the map on it
Within a decade AI will do the bulk of what mathematicians spend their time on, and we will discover that was never the important part of the job.
Last stated 6 months ago
20 Mar 2026
TT
Terence Tao — holds since 2026-03-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An end-to-end self-improving AI is probably possible, but it is not even desirable, because it is a hard-takeoff scenario. — tap to centre the map on it
An end-to-end self-improving AI is probably possible, but it is not even desirable, because it is a hard-takeoff scenario.
Last stated a year ago
23 Jul 2025
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A highly dynamic economy that cheaply mass-produces robots may increase rather than decrease the risk of Malthusian resource dilemmas. — tap to centre the map on it
A highly dynamic economy that cheaply mass-produces robots may increase rather than decrease the risk of Malthusian resource dilemmas.
Last stated 3 years ago
1 Oct 2023
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2023-10-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A humanoid robot is the wrong tool on a factory floor, because a machine specialised in the task beats it. — tap to centre the map on it
A humanoid robot is the wrong tool on a factory floor, because a machine specialised in the task beats it.
Last stated a year ago
6 Apr 2025
MH
Molson Hart — holds since 2025-04-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A physical AI agent has to be safe on day one, because you cannot ship something merely good enough and let users find the edge cases. — tap to centre the map on it
A physical AI agent has to be safe on day one, because you cannot ship something merely good enough and let users find the edge cases.
Last stated a month ago
3 Aug 2026
DD
Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI will transform how scientific discovery is done, and within two or three years a working scientist's job will already look dramatically different. — tap to centre the map on it
AI will transform how scientific discovery is done, and within two or three years a working scientist's job will already look dramatically different.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
18 Aug 2026
MK
Michael Kratsios — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Autonomous cloud labs that run the whole loop — hypothesis, experiment, result, next hypothesis — without human intervention are within reach. — tap to centre the map on it
Autonomous cloud labs that run the whole loop — hypothesis, experiment, result, next hypothesis — without human intervention are within reach.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
18 Aug 2026
MK
Michael Kratsios — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Current AI struggles even to rediscover old laws of physics from data, and when it does, contamination from training is the first suspect. — tap to centre the map on it
Current AI struggles even to rediscover old laws of physics from data, and when it does, contamination from training is the first suspect.
Last stated a year ago
14 Jun 2025
TT
Terence Tao — holds since 2025-06-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI-written code makes formal proof necessary, because human review of all that generated code becomes the bottleneck. — tap to centre the map on it
AI-written code makes formal proof necessary, because human review of all that generated code becomes the bottleneck.
Last stated 5 months ago
22 Apr 2026
MK
Martin Kleppmann — holds since 2026-04-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Formal verification is about to become economical, because models are getting good enough at writing the proofs that humans no longer have to. — tap to centre the map on it
Formal verification is about to become economical, because models are getting good enough at writing the proofs that humans no longer have to.
Last stated 5 months ago
22 Apr 2026
MK
Martin Kleppmann — holds since 2026-04-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Formalising a proof in Lean currently takes about ten times the effort of writing it out: doable, but annoying. — tap to centre the map on it
Formalising a proof in Lean currently takes about ten times the effort of writing it out: doable, but annoying.
Last stated a year ago
14 Jun 2025
TT
Terence Tao — holds since 2025-06-14 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2008 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone on record holding the claim — tap it for who they are faded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind
At the centre
We have not scratched the surface of what classical, non-quantum computers can do; they can already go far further than anyone expected.
Last stated 23 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds DH Demis Hassabis
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
The brain is doing classical computation, not quantum, so everything it does can in principle be mimicked by a classical computer.
Last stated 23 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds DH Demis Hassabis
Similar wording
Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate.
Last stated 13 Dec 2023 · 3 years ago
No longer holds SA Scott Aaronson
Similar wording
Every generation's test for machine intelligence is whatever machines cannot do yet, so in twenty years the question will be whether it can reproduce.
Last stated 29 Jun 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds GH George Hotz
Similar wording
Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival.
Last stated 13 Dec 2023 · 3 years ago
No longer holds SA Scott Aaronson
Similar wording
What AI still cannot do in mathematics is build cumulatively on partial progress; it is trial, error and brute force rather than an idea improving through use.
Last stated 20 Mar 2026 · 6 months ago
Holds TT Terence Tao
Similar wording
Reinforcement learning cannot be scaled for robots the way it was for language models, because every attempt spends real robot hours instead of data-centre compute.
Last stated 12 Aug 2026 · 4 weeks ago
Holds CF Chelsea Finn
Similar wording
Within a decade AI will do the bulk of what mathematicians spend their time on, and we will discover that was never the important part of the job.
Last stated 20 Mar 2026 · 6 months ago
Holds TT Terence Tao
Similar wording
An end-to-end self-improving AI is probably possible, but it is not even desirable, because it is a hard-takeoff scenario.
Last stated 23 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds DH Demis Hassabis
Same subject: robotics
A highly dynamic economy that cheaply mass-produces robots may increase rather than decrease the risk of Malthusian resource dilemmas.
Last stated 1 Oct 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds TC Tyler Cowen
Same subject: robotics
A humanoid robot is the wrong tool on a factory floor, because a machine specialised in the task beats it.
Last stated 6 Apr 2025 · a year ago
Holds MH Molson Hart
Same subject: robotics
A physical AI agent has to be safe on day one, because you cannot ship something merely good enough and let users find the edge cases.
Last stated 3 Aug 2026 · a month ago
Holds DD Dmitri Dolgov
Same subject: AI and science
AI will transform how scientific discovery is done, and within two or three years a working scientist's job will already look dramatically different.
Last stated 18 Aug 2026 · 3 weeks ago
Holds MK Michael Kratsios
Same subject: AI and science
Autonomous cloud labs that run the whole loop — hypothesis, experiment, result, next hypothesis — without human intervention are within reach.
Last stated 18 Aug 2026 · 3 weeks ago
Holds MK Michael Kratsios
Same subject: AI and science
Current AI struggles even to rediscover old laws of physics from data, and when it does, contamination from training is the first suspect.
Last stated 14 Jun 2025 · a year ago
Holds TT Terence Tao
Same subject: formal proof
AI-written code makes formal proof necessary, because human review of all that generated code becomes the bottleneck.
Last stated 22 Apr 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds MK Martin Kleppmann
Same subject: formal proof
Formal verification is about to become economical, because models are getting good enough at writing the proofs that humans no longer have to.
Last stated 22 Apr 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds MK Martin Kleppmann
Same subject: formal proof
Formalising a proof in Lean currently takes about ten times the effort of writing it out: doable, but annoying.
Last stated 14 Jun 2025 · a year ago
Holds TT Terence Tao