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There will be a complete four-year doubling of world output before there is ever a one-year doubling.
Drawn from what Paul Christiano said
A private bookmark. Not a position, and never counted.
What Paul Christiano actually said
Word for word, with the source under each one. They did not write this page.
AI alignment researcher
There will be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles.
Added to korrents 24 Feb 2018 · How quotes work · Something wrong? Tell us
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Where this collides
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In tension with
Huang says world GDP growth is certain to accelerate and that the share spent on computation will be a hundred times what it was. Christiano offers a shape rather than a number: a complete four-year doubling of world output before there is ever a one-year doubling. Both expect acceleration; only one of them has said what would count as it happening too fast to be believed.
Related korrents
Our reading — they may agree, disagree or merely touch the same thing. Closest first: a shared subject counts for most, then how near the wording is.