There will be a complete four-year doubling of world output before there is ever a one-year doubling.

Added to korrents 7 Sept 2026 · How quotes work · Something wrong? Tell us

Where this collides

• In tension with

  World GDP growth is certain to accelerate, and the share of GDP spent on computation will be a hundred times what it was, because a computer is now a factory rather than a warehouse.

  Huang says world GDP growth is certain to accelerate and that the share spent on computation will be a hundred times what it was. Christiano offers a shape rather than a number: a complete four-year doubling of world output before there is ever a one-year doubling. Both expect acceleration; only one of them has said what would count as it happening too fast to be believed.

Shared subject first, then similar wording. They may agree or disagree.

• Cheap energy will at least double global growth to 6% a year, tripling the world economy by 2042. CHCasey Handmer11 Oct 2023
• Production on the Moon and Mars will accelerate by far more than double every year until natural limits are encountered. EMElon Musk26 Sept 2026
• AI may roughly double US GDP growth next year, from about 2% to about 4%, possibly even more. EMElon Musk18 Sept 2026

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