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← There is no private evidence behind frontier-lab confidence in fast AI…

8 connected korrents · 8 moments on record from 20 Dec 2024 to 31 Aug 2026.

Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: There is no private evidence behind frontier-lab confidence in fast AI progress; the evidence is public and outsiders have simply not absorbed it. There is no private evidence behindfrontier-lab confidence in fast AIprogress; the evidence is public andoutsiders have simply not absorbedit. Last stated 2 years ago 20 Dec 2024 · 2 years ago MB Miles Brundage — holds since 2024-12-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: Anyone outside a frontier lab will find their judgment about AI drifting, because the systems are opaque and what is coming is not visible from outside. — tap to centre the map on it Anyone outside a frontier labwill find their judgment aboutAI drifting, because thesystems are opaque and what is… Last stated 6 months ago 20 Mar 2026 · 6 months ago AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-03-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: Nobody inside a frontier lab can speak freely about AI, because there are things the organisation will not let them say and things it wants them to say. — tap to centre the map on it Nobody inside a frontier labcan speak freely about AI,because there are things theorganisation will not let them… Last stated 6 months ago 20 Mar 2026 · 6 months ago AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-03-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: Nobody can yet know whether the current enthusiasm for AI is excessive, so anyone claiming conviction about how it resolves is overreaching. — tap to centre the map on it Nobody can yet know whetherthe current enthusiasm for AIis excessive, so anyoneclaiming conviction about how… Last stated 3 weeks ago 20 Aug 2026 · 3 weeks ago AD Aswath Damodaran — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are HM Howard Marks — holds since 2025-12-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: The likeliest bad path is not a coup but sloppiness: AI does everything verifiable well, research races ahead, and the subtle work of keeping AI safe is what gets done badly. — tap to centre the map on it The likeliest bad path is nota coup but sloppiness: AI doeseverything verifiable well,research races ahead, and the… Last stated 4 weeks ago 11 Aug 2026 · 4 weeks ago RG Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: The least verifiable part of AI research is the judgement call about what goes into the one big training run. — tap to centre the map on it The least verifiable part ofAI research is the judgementcall about what goes into theone big training run. Last stated 4 weeks ago 11 Aug 2026 · 4 weeks ago RG Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: There is far less trade-off than people assume between a safer AI race and widely shared gains: a big lead can be held by a widely owned public company. — tap to centre the map on it There is far less trade-offthan people assume between asafer AI race and widelyshared gains: a big lead can… Last stated 3 months ago 4 Jun 2026 · 3 months ago PT Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: Frontier AI labs such as Anthropic likely have had internal security incidents similar to OpenAI's HuggingFace attack that were never publicly disclosed. — tap to centre the map on it Frontier AI labs such asAnthropic likely have hadinternal security incidentssimilar to OpenAI's… Last stated a week ago 31 Aug 2026 · a week ago ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-08-31 — tap for who they are Same subject: Not one of the companies building frontier AI is willing to accept standard corporate governance, which is how dangerous they know the technology to be. — tap to centre the map on it Not one of the companiesbuilding frontier AI iswilling to accept standardcorporate governance, which is… Last stated 4 months ago 10 May 2026 · 4 months ago ER Eric Ries — holds since 2026-05-10 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordingbar: how recently it was last stated — full and dark this week, a faint sliver at five years

At the centre There is no private evidence behind frontier-lab confidence in fast AI progress; the evidence is public and outsiders have simply not absorbed it. Last stated 20 Dec 2024 · 2 years ago Holds Miles Brundage Read this korrent →