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← There is a reasonably good chance that the midterm outcome, especially…

16 connected korrents · 17 moments from 1 Dec 2024 to 2 Nov 2026.

Everything filed under America America Everything filed under politics politics Everything filed under China China Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: There is a reasonably good chance that the midterm outcome, especially in the Senate, won’t be clear by Tuesday night or early Wednesday morning. There is a reasonably good chance that themidterm outcome, especially in the Senate,won’t be clear by Tuesday night or earlyWednesday morning. Last stated yesterday 1 Nov 2026 NS Nate Silver — holds since 2026-11-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: All trendlines for Democrats look good for November 3rd being a good night. — tap to centre the map on it All trendlines for Democrats lookgood for November 3rd being a goodnight. Last stated 3 weeks ago 10 Oct 2026 DD Daniel W. Drezner — holds since 2026-10-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: An early-vote lead is not a surefire predictor of how a party will do in the final result — tap to centre the map on it An early-vote lead is not a surefirepredictor of how a party will do inthe final result Last stated 2 weeks ago 20 Oct 2026 GM G. Elliott Morris — holds since 2026-10-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: Democrats will win the Senate, perhaps soundly. — tap to centre the map on it Democrats will win the Senate,perhaps soundly. Last stated today 2 Nov 2026 NS Nate Silver — holds since 2026-11-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: Don't bet on Democratic Senate candidates' polling in bluer states changing dramatically in the final days leading up to the election. — tap to centre the map on it Don't bet on Democratic Senatecandidates' polling in bluer stateschanging dramatically in the finaldays leading up to the election. Last stated a week ago 23 Oct 2026 NS Nate Silver — holds since 2026-10-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: Midterm races in the modern era tend not to change much between Labor Day and Election Day. — tap to centre the map on it Midterm races in the modern era tendnot to change much between Labor Dayand Election Day. Last stated 2 months ago 3 Sept 2026 NS Nate Silver — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: Even a strong midterm performance from Democrats will not necessarily constrain a determined Donald Trump from wreaking even more carnage. — tap to centre the map on it Even a strong midterm performancefrom Democrats will not necessarilyconstrain a determined Donald Trumpfrom wreaking even more carnage. Last stated a week ago 26 Oct 2026 DD Daniel W. Drezner — holds since 2026-10-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: If the 2026 US midterm elections are free and fair, Trump is finished. — tap to centre the map on it If the 2026 US midterm elections arefree and fair, Trump is finished. Last stated 4 days ago 29 Oct 2026 BL Brian Leiter — holds since 2026-10-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: A ban on diesel exports would raise overall fuel prices and damage America's energy superpower status. — tap to centre the map on it A ban on diesel exports would raiseoverall fuel prices and damageAmerica's energy superpower status. Last stated a month ago 1 Oct 2026 AE Alex Epstein — holds since 2026-10-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A ban on U.S. diesel fuel exports is more likely to raise prices than lower them. — tap to centre the map on it A ban on U.S. diesel fuel exports ismore likely to raise prices thanlower them. Last stated a month ago 23 Sept 2026 JM Josh Marshall — holds since 2026-09-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: A century of fire suppression policy in the American West has dangerously overloaded forests with fuel and made megafires more likely. — tap to centre the map on it A century of fire suppression policyin the American West has dangerouslyoverloaded forests with fuel andmade megafires more likely. Last stated 2 months ago 22 Aug 2026 JP Jennifer Pahlka — holds since 2026-08-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: A backlash against women's economic rise is not automatic; it happens only where politicians choose to mobilise it. — tap to centre the map on it A backlash against women's economicrise is not automatic; it happensonly where politicians choose tomobilise it. Last stated 2 years ago 1 Dec 2024 AE Alice Evans — holds since 2024-12-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A candidate's political success is increasingly disconnected from their actual record of accomplishment. — tap to centre the map on it A candidate's political success isincreasingly disconnected from theiractual record of accomplishment. Last stated 2 months ago 31 Aug 2026 DD Daniel W. Drezner — holds since 2026-08-31 — tap for who they are Same subject: A citizen deciding politically should ask what is good for the community, not what is good for themselves — tap to centre the map on it A citizen deciding politicallyshould ask what is good for thecommunity, not what is good forthemselves JT Joseph Tussman — holds since c. 2000 — tap for who they are Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it A Chinese crewed landing on the Moonbefore America returns would be adefeat for the free world. Last stated 2 months ago 18 Aug 2026 CH Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are EB Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A continental army's first mission is to keep the regime in power, not to defend the border — which is what the People's Liberation Army is for. — tap to centre the map on it A continental army's first missionis to keep the regime in power, notto defend the border — which is whatthe People's Liberation Army is for. Last stated 5 months ago 9 Jun 2026 SP Sarah Paine — holds since 2026-06-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country cannot fund its own industrial strategy and call the same policy cheating when China does it. — tap to centre the map on it A country cannot fund its ownindustrial strategy and call thesame policy cheating when China doesit. Last stated a year ago 15 May 2025 HR Hannah Ritchie — holds since 2025-05-15 — tap for who they are
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At the centre There is a reasonably good chance that the midterm outcome, especially in the Senate, won’t be clear by Tuesday night or early Wednesday morning. Last stated 1 Nov 2026 · yesterday Holds Nate Silver Read this korrent →