Our readingWhat is a korrent?
Drawn from what Dario Amodei said
AI and science Models used to do science rather than to write: rediscovering laws from data, compressing decades of biology, refereeing a proof.
To summarize the above, my basic prediction is that AI-enabled biology and medicine will allow us to compress the progress that human biologists would have achieved over the next 50-100 years into 5-10 years.
Added to korrents 29 Aug 2026 · How quotes work · Something wrong? Tell us
Do you hold this korrent?Do you also believe this?
I hold this tooCannot both be true
Amodei says powerful AI compresses fifty to a hundred years of biological and medical progress into five to ten. Teslo and Trefethen hold jointly that it will not, because the binding constraint is not the part a model does. Both sides are talking about the same decade and the same technology, and one of them is counting the steps a model cannot take.
In tension with
About ninety per cent of drugs that enter clinical trials fail.
Lowe and Teslo hold jointly that about ninety per cent of drugs entering clinical trials fail, and Lowe adds that this happens with every control in place — so running trials faster and cheaper does not by itself move the number that matters. Amodei is forecasting compression of exactly that pipeline. If the failures are biology rather than throughput, speeding the throughput compresses the cheap half.
Shared subject first, then similar wording. They may agree or disagree.