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← Paying parents large sums of cash directly is the pronatal policy most…
17 connected korrents · 16 moments on record from 4 Jan 2023 to 31 Aug 2026. Nearly all of them are about demographics .
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housing
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education
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religion
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Read this korrent: Paying parents large sums of cash directly is the pronatal policy most likely to work, because every indirect policy has to guess what the real obstacle is.
Paying parents large sums of cash directly is the pronatal policy most likely to work, because every indirect policy has to guess what the real obstacle is.
Last stated 3 years ago
17 Jan 2024
RH
Robin Hanson — holds since 2024-01-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change. — tap to centre the map on it
A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
20 Aug 2026
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A religion cannot revive itself by encouraging its members to have more children. — tap to centre the map on it
A religion cannot revive itself by encouraging its members to have more children.
Last stated 2 weeks ago
24 Aug 2026
RB
Ryan Burge — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Any theory of the fall in birth rates must explain both the worldwide collapse and the differences between countries, and most theories explain only one. — tap to centre the map on it
Any theory of the fall in birth rates must explain both the worldwide collapse and the differences between countries, and most theories explain only one.
Last stated 2 years ago
1 Nov 2024
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2024-11-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Birth rates can move in whatever direction a society chooses, whenever it chooses; there is no ratchet. — tap to centre the map on it
Birth rates can move in whatever direction a society chooses, whenever it chooses; there is no ratchet.
Last stated a year ago
15 Jul 2025
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2025-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Calling the fall in birth rates a mystery is not humility but obscurantism: there is already a good causal account of it. — tap to centre the map on it
Calling the fall in birth rates a mystery is not humility but obscurantism: there is already a good causal account of it.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
20 Aug 2026
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Culture can be changed, so falling birth rates are a fixable problem rather than a one-way ratchet of modernity. — tap to centre the map on it
Culture can be changed, so falling birth rates are a fixable problem rather than a one-way ratchet of modernity.
Last stated a year ago
1 Jul 2025
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2025-07-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Demography is about to turn the rich world’s problem from finding a job for every person into finding a person for every job. — tap to centre the map on it
Demography is about to turn the rich world’s problem from finding a job for every person into finding a person for every job.
Last stated 3 years ago
29 Nov 2023
LP
Lant Pritchett — holds since 2023-11-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Earning more does not make a woman less likely to have children, except at the very bottom of the income distribution. — tap to centre the map on it
Earning more does not make a woman less likely to have children, except at the very bottom of the income distribution.
Last stated 11 months ago
14 Oct 2025
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2025-10-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A puzzle whose categories can only be seen by the broadly educated is elitist by construction. — tap to centre the map on it
A puzzle whose categories can only be seen by the broadly educated is elitist by construction.
Last stated 3 years ago
2 Sept 2023
RK
Raph Koster — holds since 2023-09-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A school should be judged on how fast its students are learning, not on how much they already know when measured. — tap to centre the map on it
A school should be judged on how fast its students are learning, not on how much they already know when measured.
Last stated a week ago
31 Aug 2026
JL
Joe Liemandt — holds since 2026-08-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A worked example whose scaffolding is progressively removed teaches faster than making a child figure the problem out unaided. — tap to centre the map on it
A worked example whose scaffolding is progressively removed teaches faster than making a child figure the problem out unaided.
Last stated a week ago
31 Aug 2026
JL
Joe Liemandt — holds since 2026-08-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A house is built by trades that barely coordinate with each other, which is what makes housing cheap to design and almost impossible to redesign. — tap to centre the map on it
A house is built by trades that barely coordinate with each other, which is what makes housing cheap to design and almost impossible to redesign.
Last stated 2 years ago
2 Apr 2024
BP
Brian Potter — holds since 2024-04-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Affordability is not a property of a building; it is a price set in a transaction, so there is no such thing as affordable housing, only affordable prices. — tap to centre the map on it
Affordability is not a property of a building; it is a price set in a transaction, so there is no such thing as affordable housing, only affordable prices.
Last stated 4 years ago
4 Jan 2023
DH
Daniel Herriges — holds since 2023-01-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Building a lot of housing in an expensive city will not lower rents there; it lowers them in the cheaper places that were absorbing its spillover demand. — tap to centre the map on it
Building a lot of housing in an expensive city will not lower rents there; it lowers them in the cheaper places that were absorbing its spillover demand.
Last stated 2 years ago
29 May 2024
DH
Daniel Herriges — holds since 2024-05-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Chinese factory workers are more motivated than American ones because what they want has been getting cheaper against their wages while American housing has not. — tap to centre the map on it
Chinese factory workers are more motivated than American ones because what they want has been getting cheaper against their wages while American housing has not.
Last stated 8 months ago
25 Dec 2025
MH
Molson Hart — holds since 2025-12-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Data centres mostly take farmland, of which America has too much, rather than housing land, of which it has too little. — tap to centre the map on it
Data centres mostly take farmland, of which America has too much, rather than housing land, of which it has too little.
Last stated 4 months ago
2 May 2026
AM
Andy Masley — holds since 2026-05-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Europe's housing shortages are worse than America's, and Europeans do not discuss zoning as their cause at all. — tap to centre the map on it
Europe's housing shortages are worse than America's, and Europeans do not discuss zoning as their cause at all.
Last stated 3 months ago
16 Jun 2026
SH
Samuel Hughes — holds since 2026-06-16 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone on record holding the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
Paying parents large sums of cash directly is the pronatal policy most likely to work, because every indirect policy has to guess what the real obstacle is.
Last stated 17 Jan 2024 · 3 years ago
Holds RH Robin Hanson
Read this korrent →
Same subject: demographics
A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change.
Last stated 20 Aug 2026 · 3 weeks ago
Holds LS Lyman Stone
Same subject: demographics
A religion cannot revive itself by encouraging its members to have more children.
Last stated 24 Aug 2026 · 2 weeks ago
Holds RB Ryan Burge
Same subject: demographics
Any theory of the fall in birth rates must explain both the worldwide collapse and the differences between countries, and most theories explain only one.
Last stated 1 Nov 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds AE Alice Evans
Same subject: demographics
Birth rates can move in whatever direction a society chooses, whenever it chooses; there is no ratchet.
Last stated 15 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds LS Lyman Stone
Same subject: demographics
Calling the fall in birth rates a mystery is not humility but obscurantism: there is already a good causal account of it.
Last stated 20 Aug 2026 · 3 weeks ago
Holds LS Lyman Stone
Same subject: demographics
Culture can be changed, so falling birth rates are a fixable problem rather than a one-way ratchet of modernity.
Last stated 1 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds AE Alice Evans
Same subject: demographics
Demography is about to turn the rich world’s problem from finding a job for every person into finding a person for every job.
Last stated 29 Nov 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds LP Lant Pritchett
Same subject: demographics
Earning more does not make a woman less likely to have children, except at the very bottom of the income distribution.
Last stated 14 Oct 2025 · 11 months ago
Holds LS Lyman Stone
Same subject: education
A puzzle whose categories can only be seen by the broadly educated is elitist by construction.
Last stated 2 Sept 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds RK Raph Koster
Same subject: education
A school should be judged on how fast its students are learning, not on how much they already know when measured.
Last stated 31 Aug 2026 · a week ago
Holds JL Joe Liemandt
Same subject: education
A worked example whose scaffolding is progressively removed teaches faster than making a child figure the problem out unaided.
Last stated 31 Aug 2026 · a week ago
Holds JL Joe Liemandt
Same subject: housing
A house is built by trades that barely coordinate with each other, which is what makes housing cheap to design and almost impossible to redesign.
Last stated 2 Apr 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds BP Brian Potter
Same subject: housing
Affordability is not a property of a building; it is a price set in a transaction, so there is no such thing as affordable housing, only affordable prices.
Last stated 4 Jan 2023 · 4 years ago
Holds DH Daniel Herriges
Same subject: housing
Building a lot of housing in an expensive city will not lower rents there; it lowers them in the cheaper places that were absorbing its spillover demand.
Last stated 29 May 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds DH Daniel Herriges
Same subject: America
Chinese factory workers are more motivated than American ones because what they want has been getting cheaper against their wages while American housing has not.
Last stated 25 Dec 2025 · 8 months ago
Holds MH Molson Hart
Same subject: America
Data centres mostly take farmland, of which America has too much, rather than housing land, of which it has too little.
Last stated 2 May 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds AM Andy Masley
Same subject: America
Europe's housing shortages are worse than America's, and Europeans do not discuss zoning as their cause at all.
Last stated 16 Jun 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds SH Samuel Hughes