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← Many aid programmes will beat cash on cost-effectiveness, and the ones…
17 connected korrents · 13 moments from 18 Aug 2011 to 12 Aug 2026.
Everything filed under benchmarks
benchmarks
Everything filed under measuring intelligence
measuring intelligence
Everything filed under scaling laws
scaling laws
Everything filed under ARC-AGI
ARC-AGI
Everything filed under optimism
optimism
Everything filed under metascience
metascience Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Many aid programmes will beat cash on cost-effectiveness, and the ones that do will be those that fix a market failure or a supply problem. Many aid programmes will beat cash on cost-effectiveness, and the ones that do will be those that fix a market failure or a supply problem. Last stated 13 years ago
14 Mar 2014
CB
Chris Blattman — holds since 2014-03-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Some aid programmes will beat cash at solving a specific problem, but few will beat it at simply making poor people less poor. — tap to centre the map on it Some aid programmes will beat cash at solving a specific problem, but few will beat it at simply making poor people less poor. Last stated 13 years ago
14 Mar 2014
CB
Chris Blattman — holds since 2014-03-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The case for giving poor people cash is not that it is a cure, but that it is less bad than most of what aid already does. — tap to centre the map on it The case for giving poor people cash is not that it is a cure, but that it is less bad than most of what aid already does. Last stated 13 years ago
27 Jun 2013
CB
Chris Blattman — holds since 2013-06-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Judging aid programmes against each other on cost-effectiveness is the right standard, even when it counts against the programme you champion. — tap to centre the map on it Judging aid programmes against each other on cost-effectiveness is the right standard, even when it counts against the programme you champion. Last stated 13 years ago
14 Mar 2014
CB
Chris Blattman — holds since 2014-03-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Aid is not development: transfers can relieve poverty, but the work that actually lifts a country out of it is not work donors do. — tap to centre the map on it Aid is not development: transfers can relieve poverty, but the work that actually lifts a country out of it is not work donors do. Last stated 2 years ago
12 Feb 2025
CB
Chris Blattman — holds since 2013-06-27 — tap for who they are
OK
Oliver Kim — holds since 2025-02-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The deeper anyone digs into a charity's cost-effectiveness estimate, the more unwarranted optimism they find, so the right prior on giving is a sceptical one. — tap to centre the map on it The deeper anyone digs into a charity's cost-effectiveness estimate, the more unwarranted optimism they find, so the right prior on giving is a sceptical one. Last stated 15 years ago
18 Aug 2011
HK
Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2011-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Comparing randomised trials of cash against NGOs’ own claims for their programmes is not a fair comparison. — tap to centre the map on it Comparing randomised trials of cash against NGOs’ own claims for their programmes is not a fair comparison. Last stated 13 years ago
14 Mar 2014
CB
Chris Blattman — holds since 2014-03-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Cash transfers are the index fund of development: the benchmark every actively managed aid programme should have to beat. — tap to centre the map on it Cash transfers are the index fund of development: the benchmark every actively managed aid programme should have to beat. Last stated 13 years ago
14 Mar 2014
CB
Chris Blattman — holds since 2014-03-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Cash helps a poor person whose only obstacle is a lack of capital, and does little for anyone whose obstacle is something else. — tap to centre the map on it Cash helps a poor person whose only obstacle is a lack of capital, and does little for anyone whose obstacle is something else. Last stated 13 years ago
27 Jun 2013
CB
Chris Blattman — holds since 2013-06-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next. — tap to centre the map on it "Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next. Last stated 11 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. — tap to centre the map on it A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. Last stated 7 months ago
13 Mar 2026
DP
Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: After pre-training, post-training and test-time scaling, the fourth scaling law is agentic: multiplying AI by spawning agents, and the whole loop scales on one thing, compute. — tap to centre the map on it After pre-training, post-training and test-time scaling, the fourth scaling law is agentic: multiplying AI by spawning agents, and the whole loop scales on one thing, compute. Last stated 7 months ago
23 Mar 2026
JH
Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-03-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Combining an avocado and a chair into one image is evidence a model conceptually understands both, not that it memorised pictures of them. — tap to centre the map on it Combining an avocado and a chair into one image is evidence a model conceptually understands both, not that it memorised pictures of them. Last stated 2 months ago
12 Aug 2026
CF
Chelsea Finn — holds since 2026-08-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Passing ARC-AGI does not amount to achieving AGI: o3 still fails on some very easy tasks, indicating fundamental differences from human intelligence. — tap to centre the map on it Passing ARC-AGI does not amount to achieving AGI: o3 still fails on some very easy tasks, indicating fundamental differences from human intelligence. Last stated 2 years ago
20 Dec 2024
FC
François Chollet — holds since 2024-12-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus can measure human-like general fluid intelligence and enable fair comparisons between AI systems and humans. — tap to centre the map on it The Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus can measure human-like general fluid intelligence and enable fair comparisons between AI systems and humans. Last stated 7 years ago
5 Nov 2019
FC
François Chollet — holds since 2019-11-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject. — tap to centre the map on it A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject. Last stated a year ago
10 Jun 2025
SH
Samuel Hammond — holds since 2025-06-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AGI research made no progress in its first six decades. — tap to centre the map on it AGI research made no progress in its first six decades. Last stated 14 years ago
3 Oct 2012
DD
David Deutsch — holds since 2012-10-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An AI that cannot work out new physics has not equalled human intelligence, let alone surpassed it, because humans have worked out new physics. — tap to centre the map on it An AI that cannot work out new physics has not equalled human intelligence, let alone surpassed it, because humans have worked out new physics. Last stated 3 years ago
9 Nov 2023
EM
Elon Musk — holds since 2023-11-09 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Many aid programmes will beat cash on cost-effectiveness, and the ones that do will be those that fix a market failure or a supply problem.
Holds Read this korrent →
Some aid programmes will beat cash at solving a specific problem, but few will beat it at simply making poor people less poor.
Holds
The case for giving poor people cash is not that it is a cure, but that it is less bad than most of what aid already does.
Holds
Judging aid programmes against each other on cost-effectiveness is the right standard, even when it counts against the programme you champion.
Holds
Aid is not development: transfers can relieve poverty, but the work that actually lifts a country out of it is not work donors do.
Holds
The deeper anyone digs into a charity's cost-effectiveness estimate, the more unwarranted optimism they find, so the right prior on giving is a sceptical one.
Holds
Comparing randomised trials of cash against NGOs’ own claims for their programmes is not a fair comparison.
Holds
Cash transfers are the index fund of development: the benchmark every actively managed aid programme should have to beat.
Holds
Cash helps a poor person whose only obstacle is a lack of capital, and does little for anyone whose obstacle is something else.
Holds
"Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next.
Holds
A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from.
Holds
After pre-training, post-training and test-time scaling, the fourth scaling law is agentic: multiplying AI by spawning agents, and the whole loop scales on one thing, compute.
Holds
Combining an avocado and a chair into one image is evidence a model conceptually understands both, not that it memorised pictures of them.
Holds
Passing ARC-AGI does not amount to achieving AGI: o3 still fails on some very easy tasks, indicating fundamental differences from human intelligence.
Holds
The Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus can measure human-like general fluid intelligence and enable fair comparisons between AI systems and humans.
Holds
A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject.
Holds
AGI research made no progress in its first six decades.
Holds
An AI that cannot work out new physics has not equalled human intelligence, let alone surpassed it, because humans have worked out new physics.
Holds