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← Judging aid programmes against each other on cost-effectiveness is the…
17 connected korrents · 15 moments on record from 18 Aug 2011 to 3 Sept 2026.
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OpenAI Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Judging aid programmes against each other on cost-effectiveness is the right standard, even when it counts against the programme you champion. Judging aid programmes against each other on cost-effectiveness is the right standard, even when it counts against the programme you champion. Last stated 12 years ago
14 Mar 2014
CB
Chris Blattman — holds since 2014-03-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Many aid programmes will beat cash on cost-effectiveness, and the ones that do will be those that fix a market failure or a supply problem. — tap to centre the map on it Many aid programmes will beat cash on cost-effectiveness, and the ones that do will be those that fix a market failure or a supply problem. Last stated 12 years ago
14 Mar 2014
CB
Chris Blattman — holds since 2014-03-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The deeper anyone digs into a charity's cost-effectiveness estimate, the more unwarranted optimism they find, so the right prior on giving is a sceptical one. — tap to centre the map on it The deeper anyone digs into a charity's cost-effectiveness estimate, the more unwarranted optimism they find, so the right prior on giving is a sceptical one. Last stated 15 years ago
18 Aug 2011
HK
Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2011-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Comparing randomised trials of cash against NGOs’ own claims for their programmes is not a fair comparison. — tap to centre the map on it Comparing randomised trials of cash against NGOs’ own claims for their programmes is not a fair comparison. Last stated 12 years ago
14 Mar 2014
CB
Chris Blattman — holds since 2014-03-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Some aid programmes will beat cash at solving a specific problem, but few will beat it at simply making poor people less poor. — tap to centre the map on it Some aid programmes will beat cash at solving a specific problem, but few will beat it at simply making poor people less poor. Last stated 12 years ago
14 Mar 2014
CB
Chris Blattman — holds since 2014-03-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Explicit cost-effectiveness models deserve less weight in a giving decision than the strength of the organisation carrying the work out. — tap to centre the map on it Explicit cost-effectiveness models deserve less weight in a giving decision than the strength of the organisation carrying the work out. Last stated 11 years ago
9 Dec 2015
EH
Elie Hassenfeld — holds since 2014-12-17 — tap for who they are
EH
Elie Hassenfeld — no longer holds since 2015-12-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Spending on existential risk cannot be held accountable, because there is no measurement that would ever show it failing. — tap to centre the map on it Spending on existential risk cannot be held accountable, because there is no measurement that would ever show it failing. Last stated 3 years ago
21 Dec 2023
MJ
Matt Johnson — holds since 2023-12-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Letting one calculation take over a giving decision is disturbing, and there is still a strong case for it if you want your ethics to be principled and about other people. — tap to centre the map on it Letting one calculation take over a giving decision is disturbing, and there is still a strong case for it if you want your ethics to be principled and about other people. Last stated 5 years ago
15 Feb 2022
HK
Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2022-02-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The case for giving poor people cash is not that it is a cure, but that it is less bad than most of what aid already does. — tap to centre the map on it The case for giving poor people cash is not that it is a cure, but that it is less bad than most of what aid already does. Last stated 13 years ago
27 Jun 2013
CB
Chris Blattman — holds since 2013-06-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. — tap to centre the map on it A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. Last stated 9 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A saboteur among our AI investigators would be hard to spot, because these models are sloppy and spiky enough that a suspicious error just looks like ordinary incompetence. — tap to centre the map on it A saboteur among our AI investigators would be hard to spot, because these models are sloppy and spiky enough that a suspicious error just looks like ordinary incompetence. Last stated a week ago
1 Sept 2026
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A superintelligence needs no consciousness, emotions or malice to be dangerous; a goal system slightly misaligned with ours is enough. — tap to centre the map on it A superintelligence needs no consciousness, emotions or malice to be dangerous; a goal system slightly misaligned with ours is enough. Last stated 9 years ago
24 Oct 2017
ÉT
Émile P. Torres — holds since 2017-10-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. Last stated 2 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A technique that lets an AI model's reasoning shift outside its visible Chain of Thought is dangerous, both because it works and because a leading lab is willing to deploy it. — tap to centre the map on it A technique that lets an AI model's reasoning shift outside its visible Chain of Thought is dangerous, both because it works and because a leading lab is willing to deploy it. Last stated 5 days ago
3 Sept 2026
ZM
Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. — tap to centre the map on it A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. Last stated 7 months ago
12 Feb 2026
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. Last stated 3 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. — tap to centre the map on it A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. Last stated a year ago
7 Jun 2025
GM
Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. — tap to centre the map on it A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. Last stated 3 months ago
4 Jun 2026
PT
Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Judging aid programmes against each other on cost-effectiveness is the right standard, even when it counts against the programme you champion.
Holds CB Chris BlattmanRead this korrent →
Many aid programmes will beat cash on cost-effectiveness, and the ones that do will be those that fix a market failure or a supply problem.
Holds CB Chris Blattman
The deeper anyone digs into a charity's cost-effectiveness estimate, the more unwarranted optimism they find, so the right prior on giving is a sceptical one.
Holds HK Holden Karnofsky
Comparing randomised trials of cash against NGOs’ own claims for their programmes is not a fair comparison.
Holds CB Chris Blattman
Some aid programmes will beat cash at solving a specific problem, but few will beat it at simply making poor people less poor.
Holds CB Chris Blattman
Explicit cost-effectiveness models deserve less weight in a giving decision than the strength of the organisation carrying the work out.
No longer holds EH Elie Hassenfeld
Spending on existential risk cannot be held accountable, because there is no measurement that would ever show it failing.
Holds MJ Matt Johnson
Letting one calculation take over a giving decision is disturbing, and there is still a strong case for it if you want your ethics to be principled and about other people.
Holds HK Holden Karnofsky
The case for giving poor people cash is not that it is a cure, but that it is less bad than most of what aid already does.
Holds CB Chris Blattman
A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean.
Holds IS Ilya Sutskever
A saboteur among our AI investigators would be hard to spot, because these models are sloppy and spiky enough that a suspicious error just looks like ordinary incompetence.
Holds AC Ajeya Cotra
A superintelligence needs no consciousness, emotions or malice to be dangerous; a goal system slightly misaligned with ours is enough.
Holds ÉT Émile P. Torres
A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests.
Holds
A technique that lets an AI model's reasoning shift outside its visible Chain of Thought is dangerous, both because it works and because a leading lab is willing to deploy it.
Holds ZM Zvi Mowshowitz
A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact.
Holds
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.
Holds AI Alex Imas
A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted.
Holds GM Gary Marcus
A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that.
Holds PT Phil Trammell