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← Cash transfers are the index fund of development: the benchmark every…

17 connected korrents · 19 moments from 14 Mar 2014 to 27 Sept 2026. Nearly all of them are about benchmarks.

Everything filed under stock market stock market Everything filed under scaling laws scaling laws Everything filed under Anthropic Anthropic Everything filed under inflation inflation Everything filed under compilers compilers Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under mathematics mathematics Everything filed under OpenAI OpenAI Everything filed under AI and jobs AI and jobs Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Cash transfers are the index fund of development: the benchmark every actively managed aid programme should have to beat. Cash transfers are the index fund ofdevelopment: the benchmark every activelymanaged aid programme should have to beat. Last stated 13 years ago 14 Mar 2014 CB Chris Blattman — holds since 2014-03-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark result should bereported under a stated budget, oras a curve against test-time compute— never as a single number. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A benchmark that ranks Claude Code last while it stays first in use is measuring the wrong thing, and has been for a year. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark that ranks Claude Codelast while it stays first in use ismeasuring the wrong thing, and hasbeen for a year. Last stated 2 months ago 3 Sept 2026 DR Dax Raad — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost. — tap to centre the map on it A company's staff-engineer barshould be set against the bestcompanies in the industry ratherthan against its own history, whichis what makes title inflation a realcost. Last stated 7 months ago 1 Apr 2026 TP Thuan Pham — holds since 2026-04-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A speed difference between languages that share the LLVM backend measures the benchmark author, not the languages. — tap to centre the map on it A speed difference between languagesthat share the LLVM backend measuresthe benchmark author, not thelanguages. Last stated 2 years ago 22 Mar 2025 TH ThePrimeagen — holds since 2025-03-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI is positively reinforced for success on benchmarks, including impossible ones, and then negatively reinforced for getting caught cheating. — tap to centre the map on it AI is positively reinforced forsuccess on benchmarks, includingimpossible ones, and then negativelyreinforced for getting caughtcheating. Last stated 2 months ago 1 Sept 2026 SA Scott Alexander — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI learning to generate good conjectures will never show up as a benchmark being knocked down; it will show up as a shift in how mathematicians talk about the tools. — tap to centre the map on it AI learning to generate goodconjectures will never show up as abenchmark being knocked down; itwill show up as a shift in howmathematicians talk about the tools. Last stated 4 months ago 30 Jun 2026 GS Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI research at OpenAI is an order of magnitude or more harder than metrics, benchmarks, or forecasts suggest. — tap to centre the map on it AI research at OpenAI is an order ofmagnitude or more harder thanmetrics, benchmarks, or forecastssuggest. Last stated 4 weeks ago 27 Sept 2026 RN Ramez Naam — holds since 2026-09-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: Benchmarks only rise on problems somebody has already framed and scored, so saturating them does not mean senior engineers have been replaced. — tap to centre the map on it Benchmarks only rise on problemssomebody has already framed andscored, so saturating them does notmean senior engineers have beenreplaced. Last stated 5 months ago 24 May 2026 DS Dan Shipper — holds since 2026-05-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: A "good business" now means one that can display quarter-on-quarter stock growth, not one that makes good products at a fair price. — tap to centre the map on it A "good business" now means one thatcan display quarter-on-quarter stockgrowth, not one that makes goodproducts at a fair price. Last stated a year ago 21 May 2025 EZ Ed Zitron — holds since 2025-05-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A high, stable dividend yield gives a stock's valuation a downside floor that growth stocks without dividends lack. — tap to centre the map on it A high, stable dividend yield givesa stock's valuation a downside floorthat growth stocks without dividendslack. Last stated 8 months ago 3 Mar 2026 SB Sanjay Bakshi — holds since 2026-03-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A society's prosperity comes from its productivity, not from the financial system or stock market. — tap to centre the map on it A society's prosperity comes fromits productivity, not from thefinancial system or stock market. Last stated 4 weeks ago 25 Sept 2026 MM Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2026-09-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: Almost no mutual fund earns the fees it charges, so most investors are better off buying an index fund. — tap to centre the map on it Almost no mutual fund earns the feesit charges, so most investors arebetter off buying an index fund. Last stated 3 years ago 20 Feb 2024 BA Bill Ackman — holds since 2024-02-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: An investor's starting point should be the portfolio that is best to hold independent of any tactical market view — tap to centre the map on it An investor's starting point shouldbe the portfolio that is best tohold independent of any tacticalmarket view Last stated 2 months ago 25 Aug 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-02-19 — tap for who they are NM Nick Maggiulli — holds since 2026-08-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: At a market price-earnings ratio of twenty-three there is little upside and a long way to fall, where at fifteen there would be much less risk. — tap to centre the map on it At a market price-earnings ratio oftwenty-three there is little upsideand a long way to fall, where atfifteen there would be much lessrisk. Last stated a year ago 16 Jul 2025 JD Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: Samuelson's random-walk analogy for stock prices was mathematical showing-off dressed up as a claim about the real world. — tap to centre the map on it Samuelson's random-walk analogy forstock prices was mathematicalshowing-off dressed up as a claimabout the real world. Last stated 3 years ago 30 May 2023 AG Andrew Gelman — holds since 2023-05-27 — tap for who they are AG Andrew Gelman — no longer holds since 2023-05-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: Stock prices are an unreliable indicator of the economy because they often reflect fads and fantasies. — tap to centre the map on it Stock prices are an unreliableindicator of the economy becausethey often reflect fads andfantasies. Last stated 4 weeks ago 27 Sept 2026 PK Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: Stocks sustained by persistent online attention can stay overpriced for long periods, so overvaluation alone does not imply a near-term correction. — tap to centre the map on it Stocks sustained by persistentonline attention can stay overpricedfor long periods, so overvaluationalone does not imply a near-termcorrection. Last stated 4 years ago 25 Jul 2022 NS Noah Smith — holds since 2022-07-25 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2014 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they arefaded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind

At the centre Cash transfers are the index fund of development: the benchmark every actively managed aid programme should have to beat. Last stated 14 Mar 2014 · 13 years ago Holds Chris Blattman Read this korrent →