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← Knowing that poverty and child mortality have actually fallen is what makes people think the future can improve.
17 connected korrents · 16 moments on record from 18 Aug 2011 to 26 Aug 2026.
Everything filed under demographics
demographics
Everything filed under economists
economists
Everything filed under inflation
inflation Rests on Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Knowing that poverty and child mortality have actually fallen is what makes people think the future can improve. Knowing that poverty and child mortality have actually fallen is what makes people think the future can improve. Last stated 8 months ago
13 Jan 2026
HR
Hannah Ritchie — holds since 2026-01-13 — tap for who they are
Rests on: Blanket fatalism about the world is unhelpful to anyone who wants to improve it. — tap to centre the map on it Blanket fatalism about the world is unhelpful to anyone who wants to improve it. Last stated 8 months ago
13 Jan 2026
HR
Hannah Ritchie — holds since 2026-01-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. — tap to centre the map on it A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
WM
William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Falling birth rates make a society less able to be hopeful, because nihilism creeps in when people have no stake in the future. — tap to centre the map on it Falling birth rates make a society less able to be hopeful, because nihilism creeps in when people have no… Last stated 2 weeks ago
26 Aug 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A world where altruists followed expected-value estimates would be one where nearly all of them helped distant strangers instead of the people around them, and that world would be worse. — tap to centre the map on it A world where altruists followed expected-value estimates would be one where nearly all of them helped… Last stated 15 years ago
18 Aug 2011
HK
Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2011-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The good old days are mostly an illusion: by almost every measure that can be counted, life today is better for almost everyone than it was fifty or a hundred years ago. — tap to centre the map on it The good old days are mostly an illusion: by almost every measure that can be counted, life today is better for… Last stated 3 years ago
14 Dec 2023
JB
Jeff Bezos — holds since 2023-12-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Development economists can contribute far less to a poor country’s growth policy in real time than either they or their critics assume. — tap to centre the map on it Development economists can contribute far less to a poor country’s growth policy in real time than either they or… Last stated 4 months ago
6 May 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-05-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Without the yield improvements of the last half-century the world would have cleared more than twice as much cropland. — tap to centre the map on it Without the yield improvements of the last half-century the world would have cleared more than twice as much cropland. Last stated 2 years ago
13 Mar 2024
LB
Linus Blomqvist — holds since 2024-03-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Industrialisation is still a live path for poor countries today, despite all the post-pandemic pessimism. — tap to centre the map on it Industrialisation is still a live path for poor countries today, despite all the post-pandemic pessimism. Last stated a year ago
14 Jul 2025
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2025-07-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Any theory of the fall in birth rates must explain both the worldwide collapse and the differences between countries, and most theories explain only one. — tap to centre the map on it Any theory of the fall in birth rates must explain both the worldwide collapse and the differences between countries… Last stated 2 years ago
1 Nov 2024
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2024-11-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Birth rates can move in whatever direction a society chooses, whenever it chooses; there is no ratchet. — tap to centre the map on it Birth rates can move in whatever direction a society chooses, whenever it chooses; there is no ratchet. Last stated a year ago
15 Jul 2025
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2025-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Calling the fall in birth rates a mystery is not humility but obscurantism: there is already a good causal account of it. — tap to centre the map on it Calling the fall in birth rates a mystery is not humility but obscurantism: there is already a good causal… Last stated 3 weeks ago
20 Aug 2026
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Among the leading candidates for greatest economist of all time, Adam Smith was analytically the weakest, save perhaps Malthus. — tap to centre the map on it Among the leading candidates for greatest economist of all time, Adam Smith was analytically the weakest, save… Last stated 3 years ago
1 Oct 2023
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2023-10-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An inability to see the viewpoints of people unlike oneself is a genuine weakness in a social scientist, not merely a separate moral failing. — tap to centre the map on it An inability to see the viewpoints of people unlike oneself is a genuine weakness in a social scientist, not… Last stated 3 years ago
1 Oct 2023
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2023-10-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: College is not a good career investment for most of the population. — tap to centre the map on it College is not a good career investment for most of the population. Last stated 2 years ago
19 Feb 2025
BC
Bryan Caplan — holds since 2025-02-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost. — tap to centre the map on it A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own… Last stated 5 months ago
1 Apr 2026
TP
Thuan Pham — holds since 2026-04-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022. — tap to centre the map on it Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022. Last stated 4 years ago
25 Jul 2022
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2022-07-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total. — tap to centre the map on it Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation… Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Knowing that poverty and child mortality have actually fallen is what makes people think the future can improve.
Holds HR Hannah RitchieRead this korrent →
Blanket fatalism about the world is unhelpful to anyone who wants to improve it.
Holds HR Hannah Ritchie
A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us.
Holds WM William MacAskill
Falling birth rates make a society less able to be hopeful, because nihilism creeps in when people have no stake in the future.
Holds
A world where altruists followed expected-value estimates would be one where nearly all of them helped distant strangers instead of the people around them, and that world would be worse.
Holds HK Holden Karnofsky
The good old days are mostly an illusion: by almost every measure that can be counted, life today is better for almost everyone than it was fifty or a hundred years ago.
Holds JB Jeff Bezos
Development economists can contribute far less to a poor country’s growth policy in real time than either they or their critics assume.
Holds
Without the yield improvements of the last half-century the world would have cleared more than twice as much cropland.
Holds LB Linus Blomqvist
Industrialisation is still a live path for poor countries today, despite all the post-pandemic pessimism.
Holds
Any theory of the fall in birth rates must explain both the worldwide collapse and the differences between countries, and most theories explain only one.
Holds AE Alice Evans
Birth rates can move in whatever direction a society chooses, whenever it chooses; there is no ratchet.
Holds LS Lyman Stone
Calling the fall in birth rates a mystery is not humility but obscurantism: there is already a good causal account of it.
Holds LS Lyman Stone
Among the leading candidates for greatest economist of all time, Adam Smith was analytically the weakest, save perhaps Malthus.
Holds TC Tyler Cowen
An inability to see the viewpoints of people unlike oneself is a genuine weakness in a social scientist, not merely a separate moral failing.
Holds TC Tyler Cowen
College is not a good career investment for most of the population.
Holds BC Bryan Caplan
A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost.
Holds TP Thuan Pham
Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022.
Holds
Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total.
Holds