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← It will take a generation for new software to replace old software,…
17 connected korrents · 15 moments on record from 2 Feb 2004 to 19 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under AI and jobs
AI and jobs
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innovation
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coding agents
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code generation
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design
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Everything filed under AI agents
AI agents
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Read this korrent: It will take a generation for new software to replace old software, and people will still be employed writing code in 10 years.
It will take a generation for new software to replace old software, and people will still be employed writing code in 10 years.
Last stated today
19 Sept 2026
TB
Thorsten Ball — holds since 2026-09-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A programming language is a ten-year play: version one has issues, version two fixes them, version three is finally good — and only then does adoption start. — tap to centre the map on it
A programming language is a ten-year play: version one has issues, version two fixes them, version three is finally good — and only then does adoption start.
Last stated 4 months ago
13 May 2026
AH
Anders Hejlsberg — holds since 2026-05-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Within ten years software development will survive but become ordinary white-collar work, with no more two-hundred-thousand-dollar salaries or unlimited vacation. — tap to centre the map on it
Within ten years software development will survive but become ordinary white-collar work, with no more two-hundred-thousand-dollar salaries or unlimited vacation.
Last stated 2 months ago
29 Jul 2026
HW
Hillel Wayne — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A year from now every coding model on the market will still take a bad instruction at face value and go fix the listed issues, where a human senior engineer would insist on a rewrite. — tap to centre the map on it
A year from now every coding model on the market will still take a bad instruction at face value and go fix the listed issues, where a human senior engineer would insist on a rewrite.
Last stated 4 months ago
24 May 2026
DS
Dan Shipper — holds since 2026-05-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Letting non-programmers build their own unmaintainable software is still a large step forward, because the alternative was a thousand-page requirements document and an eight-year wait. — tap to centre the map on it
Letting non-programmers build their own unmaintainable software is still a large step forward, because the alternative was a thousand-page requirements document and an eight-year wait.
Last stated 3 months ago
1 Jul 2026
KB
Kent Beck — holds since 2026-07-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: You can now generate ten thousand variants of a function faster than you could write it once, and that economics pushes software towards replacement rather than repair. — tap to centre the map on it
You can now generate ten thousand variants of a function faster than you could write it once, and that economics pushes software towards replacement rather than repair.
Last stated a month ago
12 Aug 2026
CM
Charity Majors — holds since 2026-08-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Computers change but people do not, so understanding people is how you make better software — tap to centre the map on it
Computers change but people do not, so understanding people is how you make better software
Last stated 23 years ago
2 Feb 2004
JA
Jeff Atwood — holds since 2004-02-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Another platform shift, not a break in history: the new technology will be built on for ten or fifteen years, then something else will replace it. — tap to centre the map on it
Another platform shift, not a break in history: the new technology will be built on for ten or fifteen years, then something else will replace it.
Last stated a year ago
2 Sept 2025
BE
Benedict Evans — holds since 2025-09-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Most of software is not the new stuff; it is old, crappy code somebody has to maintain, and it is full of genuinely hard problems. — tap to centre the map on it
Most of software is not the new stuff; it is old, crappy code somebody has to maintain, and it is full of genuinely hard problems.
Last stated a year ago
22 Mar 2025
TH
ThePrimeagen — holds since 2025-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible. — tap to centre the map on it
"Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible.
Last stated 3 years ago
25 Oct 2023
AH
Anton Howes — holds since 2023-10-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves. — tap to centre the map on it
A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves.
Last stated 2 months ago
21 Jul 2026
RT
Ruxandra Teslo — holds since 2026-07-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company working at the edge of the barely possible has to control its own technology destiny, even at the application layer. — tap to centre the map on it
A company working at the edge of the barely possible has to control its own technology destiny, even at the application layer.
Last stated a year ago
18 Aug 2025
CB
Clay Bavor — holds since 2025-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An application-layer AI company's real breakthroughs come from going a click or two down the stack rather than from using the models as they are. — tap to centre the map on it
An application-layer AI company's real breakthroughs come from going a click or two down the stack rather than from using the models as they are.
Last stated a year ago
18 Aug 2025
CB
Clay Bavor — holds since 2025-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Software at the AI frontier iterates in days where a hardware display takes years: a breakthrough on Monday can be in customers' hands on Wednesday. — tap to centre the map on it
Software at the AI frontier iterates in days where a hardware display takes years: a breakthrough on Monday can be in customers' hands on Wednesday.
Last stated a year ago
18 Aug 2025
CB
Clay Bavor — holds since 2025-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor. — tap to centre the map on it
A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor.
Last stated a month ago
10 Aug 2026
PS
Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A coding agent does not learn from its mistakes the way a person does -- it repeats the same error indefinitely unless a human notices and writes it down. — tap to centre the map on it
A coding agent does not learn from its mistakes the way a person does -- it repeats the same error indefinitely unless a human notices and writes it down.
Last stated 6 months ago
25 Mar 2026
MZ
Mario Zechner — holds since 2026-03-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A coding agent left to run over a weekend returns work that is half good, a quarter garbage and a quarter in need of repair. — tap to centre the map on it
A coding agent left to run over a weekend returns work that is half good, a quarter garbage and a quarter in need of repair.
Last stated a year ago
18 Aug 2025
CB
Clay Bavor — holds since 2025-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A coding-agent company should not train its own model: it has to stay neutral ground for models to compete on. — tap to centre the map on it
A coding-agent company should not train its own model: it has to stay neutral ground for models to compete on.
Last stated 2 weeks ago
3 Sept 2026
DR
Dax Raad — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2004 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone on record holding the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
It will take a generation for new software to replace old software, and people will still be employed writing code in 10 years.
Last stated 19 Sept 2026 · today
Holds Thorsten Ball
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
A programming language is a ten-year play: version one has issues, version two fixes them, version three is finally good — and only then does adoption start.
Last stated 13 May 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Anders Hejlsberg
Similar wording
Within ten years software development will survive but become ordinary white-collar work, with no more two-hundred-thousand-dollar salaries or unlimited vacation.
Last stated 29 Jul 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Hillel Wayne
Similar wording
A year from now every coding model on the market will still take a bad instruction at face value and go fix the listed issues, where a human senior engineer would insist on a rewrite.
Last stated 24 May 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Dan Shipper
Similar wording
Letting non-programmers build their own unmaintainable software is still a large step forward, because the alternative was a thousand-page requirements document and an eight-year wait.
Last stated 1 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Kent Beck
Similar wording
You can now generate ten thousand variants of a function faster than you could write it once, and that economics pushes software towards replacement rather than repair.
Last stated 12 Aug 2026 · a month ago
Holds Charity Majors
Similar wording
Computers change but people do not, so understanding people is how you make better software
Last stated 2 Feb 2004 · 23 years ago
Holds Jeff Atwood
Similar wording
Another platform shift, not a break in history: the new technology will be built on for ten or fifteen years, then something else will replace it.
Last stated 2 Sept 2025 · a year ago
Holds Benedict Evans
Similar wording
Most of software is not the new stuff; it is old, crappy code somebody has to maintain, and it is full of genuinely hard problems.
Last stated 22 Mar 2025 · a year ago
Holds ThePrimeagen
Same subject: innovation
"Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible.
Last stated 25 Oct 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds Anton Howes
Same subject: innovation
A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves.
Last stated 21 Jul 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Ruxandra Teslo
Same subject: innovation
A company working at the edge of the barely possible has to control its own technology destiny, even at the application layer.
Last stated 18 Aug 2025 · a year ago
Holds Clay Bavor
Same subject: AI agents
An application-layer AI company's real breakthroughs come from going a click or two down the stack rather than from using the models as they are.
Last stated 18 Aug 2025 · a year ago
Holds Clay Bavor
Same subject: AI agents
Software at the AI frontier iterates in days where a hardware display takes years: a breakthrough on Monday can be in customers' hands on Wednesday.
Last stated 18 Aug 2025 · a year ago
Holds Clay Bavor
Same subject: AI agents
A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor.
Last stated 10 Aug 2026 · a month ago
Holds Peter Steinberger
Same subject: coding agents
A coding agent does not learn from its mistakes the way a person does -- it repeats the same error indefinitely unless a human notices and writes it down.
Last stated 25 Mar 2026 · 6 months ago
Holds Mario Zechner
Same subject: coding agents
A coding agent left to run over a weekend returns work that is half good, a quarter garbage and a quarter in need of repair.
Last stated 18 Aug 2025 · a year ago
Holds Clay Bavor
Same subject: coding agents
A coding-agent company should not train its own model: it has to stay neutral ground for models to compete on.
Last stated 3 Sept 2026 · 2 weeks ago
Holds Dax Raad