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← In a simple model of AI-aided growth, intelligence and Polanyi…
17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 22 Mar 2025 to 5 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under AI and jobs
AI and jobs
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
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America
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social media Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: In a simple model of AI-aided growth, intelligence and Polanyi knowledge are mostly complements, with fairly limited substitutability in producing output. In a simple model of AI-aided growth, intelligence and Polanyi knowledge are mostly complements, with fairly limited substitutability in producing output. Last stated a month ago
13 Sept 2026
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2026-09-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The core prediction is that a huge positive shock to AI-boosted Intelligence increases marginal returns, employment, and real wages in the Polanyi (tacit) knowledge sector. — tap to centre the map on it The core prediction is that a huge positive shock to AI-boosted Intelligence increases marginal returns, employment, and real wages in the Polanyi (tacit) knowledge sector. Last stated a month ago
13 Sept 2026
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2026-09-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Even generalised superintelligence will change society more slowly than the AGI community expects, because intelligence is not the only rate limiter. — tap to centre the map on it Even generalised superintelligence will change society more slowly than the AGI community expects, because intelligence is not the only rate limiter. Last stated a year ago
18 Aug 2025
BT
Bret Taylor — holds since 2025-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The long-run equilibrium with powerful AI may require people to merge with it, so that whatever the AI understands is transmitted wholesale to its human. — tap to centre the map on it The long-run equilibrium with powerful AI may require people to merge with it, so that whatever the AI understands is transmitted wholesale to its human. Last stated 11 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: If AI can build the new theory that crystallises how to think about a subject, it would be surprising if that capability did not spill into the rest of the economy. — tap to centre the map on it If AI can build the new theory that crystallises how to think about a subject, it would be surprising if that capability did not spill into the rest of the economy. Last stated 4 months ago
30 Jun 2026
GS
Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: In an AI world growth and economic value come easily; distribution, wealth and political freedom are the hard parts, and that is where policy belongs. — tap to centre the map on it In an AI world growth and economic value come easily; distribution, wealth and political freedom are the hard parts, and that is where policy belongs. Last stated 8 months ago
13 Feb 2026
DA
Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The productivity AI creates should be shared out as a universal basic provision, with rare skills still buying you more than that. — tap to centre the map on it The productivity AI creates should be shared out as a universal basic provision, with rare skills still buying you more than that. Last stated a year ago
23 Jul 2025
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI is creating user surplus and capital deepening, even if it is not yet showing up in TFP data. — tap to centre the map on it AI is creating user surplus and capital deepening, even if it is not yet showing up in TFP data. Last stated 3 weeks ago
5 Oct 2026
BD
Brad DeLong — holds since 2026-10-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Broad deployment of AI that can learn on the job will very likely produce rapid economic growth for some period of time. — tap to centre the map on it Broad deployment of AI that can learn on the job will very likely produce rapid economic growth for some period of time. Last stated 11 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company must cut half its engineers to pay for the other half's tokens, and that is what the layoffs are actually about. — tap to centre the map on it A company must cut half its engineers to pay for the other half's tokens, and that is what the layoffs are actually about. Last stated 8 months ago
11 Mar 2026
SY
Steve Yegge — holds since 2026-03-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A home is an asset that is likely to perform poorly exactly when a person needs it most due to its correlation with local labor market shocks. — tap to centre the map on it A home is an asset that is likely to perform poorly exactly when a person needs it most due to its correlation with local labor market shocks. Last stated 3 months ago
30 Jul 2026
JD
Jerusalem Demsas — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A labor market stuck in a low-hiring equilibrium will see employment decline outright unless hiring rates recover. — tap to centre the map on it A labor market stuck in a low-hiring equilibrium will see employment decline outright unless hiring rates recover. Last stated 10 months ago
11 Jan 2026
JP
Joseph Politano — holds since 2026-01-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI will not eliminate software engineering jobs, but engineers who are highly skilled with AI tools could displace those who are not. — tap to centre the map on it AI will not eliminate software engineering jobs, but engineers who are highly skilled with AI tools could displace those who are not. Last stated 6 months ago
27 Apr 2026
JS
Jon Seager — holds since 2026-04-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Leaning on AI trades knowledge for speed, and the price may be a generation of programmers in which juniors stay juniors forever. — tap to centre the map on it Leaning on AI trades knowledge for speed, and the price may be a generation of programmers in which juniors stay juniors forever. Last stated 2 years ago
22 Mar 2025
TH
ThePrimeagen — holds since 2025-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Many things only worked because there is a limit to the rate at which humans can operate. — tap to centre the map on it Many things only worked because there is a limit to the rate at which humans can operate. Last stated 4 weeks ago
2 Oct 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-10-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI coding assistants are leveling the skill gap between software developers who can afford to use them. — tap to centre the map on it AI coding assistants are leveling the skill gap between software developers who can afford to use them. Last stated 6 months ago
3 May 2026
YX
Yihui Xie — holds since 2026-05-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI coding assistants remove repetitive work without replacing human judgment. — tap to centre the map on it AI coding assistants remove repetitive work without replacing human judgment. Last stated 8 months ago
17 Feb 2026
EB
Emanuele Bartolesi — holds since 2026-02-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI models have reached the level of a junior engineer on longer-running, agent-based coding tasks. — tap to centre the map on it AI models have reached the level of a junior engineer on longer-running, agent-based coding tasks. Last stated 3 months ago
30 Jul 2026
JD
Jeff Dean — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are
At the centre
In a simple model of AI-aided growth, intelligence and Polanyi knowledge are mostly complements, with fairly limited substitutability in producing output.
Holds Read this korrent →
The core prediction is that a huge positive shock to AI-boosted Intelligence increases marginal returns, employment, and real wages in the Polanyi (tacit) knowledge sector.
Holds
Even generalised superintelligence will change society more slowly than the AGI community expects, because intelligence is not the only rate limiter.
Holds
The long-run equilibrium with powerful AI may require people to merge with it, so that whatever the AI understands is transmitted wholesale to its human.
Holds
If AI can build the new theory that crystallises how to think about a subject, it would be surprising if that capability did not spill into the rest of the economy.
Holds
In an AI world growth and economic value come easily; distribution, wealth and political freedom are the hard parts, and that is where policy belongs.
Holds
The productivity AI creates should be shared out as a universal basic provision, with rare skills still buying you more than that.
Holds
AI is creating user surplus and capital deepening, even if it is not yet showing up in TFP data.
Holds
Broad deployment of AI that can learn on the job will very likely produce rapid economic growth for some period of time.
Holds
A company must cut half its engineers to pay for the other half's tokens, and that is what the layoffs are actually about.
Holds
A home is an asset that is likely to perform poorly exactly when a person needs it most due to its correlation with local labor market shocks.
Holds
A labor market stuck in a low-hiring equilibrium will see employment decline outright unless hiring rates recover.
Holds
AI will not eliminate software engineering jobs, but engineers who are highly skilled with AI tools could displace those who are not.
Holds
Leaning on AI trades knowledge for speed, and the price may be a generation of programmers in which juniors stay juniors forever.
Holds
Many things only worked because there is a limit to the rate at which humans can operate.
Holds
AI coding assistants are leveling the skill gap between software developers who can afford to use them.
Holds
AI coding assistants remove repetitive work without replacing human judgment.
Holds
AI models have reached the level of a junior engineer on longer-running, agent-based coding tasks.
Holds