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← Expert ratings are misaligned with historical trends and current indicators regarding the political environment.

17 connected korrents · 19 moments from 24 Oct 2017 to 25 Sept 2026. Nearly all of them are about AI alignment.

Everything filed under America America Everything filed under AI agents AI agents Everything filed under AGI AGI Everything filed under consciousness consciousness Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Expert ratings are misaligned with historical trends and current indicators regarding the political environment. Expert ratings are misaligned withhistorical trends and current indicatorsregarding the political environment. Last stated 2 weeks ago 20 Sept 2026 NS Nate Silver — holds since 2026-09-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. — tap to centre the map on it A human being is not an AGI: we lacka huge amount of knowledge and relyon continual learning instead, socontinual learning is whatsuperintelligence should mean. Last stated 10 months ago 25 Nov 2025 IS Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A model that looks smarter and better-behaved while getting better at hiding unwanted actions is the scary combination for AI safety. — tap to centre the map on it A model that looks smarter andbetter-behaved while getting betterat hiding unwanted actions is thescary combination for AI safety. Last stated 3 weeks ago 9 Sept 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: A superintelligence needs no consciousness, emotions or malice to be dangerous; a goal system slightly misaligned with ours is enough. — tap to centre the map on it A superintelligence needs noconsciousness, emotions or malice tobe dangerous; a goal system slightlymisaligned with ours is enough. Last stated 9 years ago 24 Oct 2017 ÉT Émile P. Torres — holds since 2017-10-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: A validated theory of intelligence may be necessary for achieving genuine AI alignment. — tap to centre the map on it A validated theory of intelligencemay be necessary for achievinggenuine AI alignment. Last stated 2 months ago 17 Aug 2026 KK Kevin Kelly — holds since 2026-08-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI agents pursuing a task can develop emergent, misaligned behavior that humans are not prepared for. — tap to centre the map on it AI agents pursuing a task candevelop emergent, misalignedbehavior that humans are notprepared for. Last stated 2 months ago 10 Aug 2026 JC Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI agents will become personal superintelligences used by billions to accomplish goals and improve lives. — tap to centre the map on it AI agents will become personalsuperintelligences used by billionsto accomplish goals and improvelives. Last stated a week ago 25 Sept 2026 CN Casey Newton — holds since 2026-09-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI alignment is a red herring not worth the effort currently devoted to it. — tap to centre the map on it AI alignment is a red herring notworth the effort currently devotedto it. Last stated 2 months ago 8 Aug 2026 MW Matt Webb — holds since 2026-08-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI alignment should be approached like governing a corporation through institutions, not like raising a virtuous individual. — tap to centre the map on it AI alignment should be approachedlike governing a corporation throughinstitutions, not like raising avirtuous individual. Last stated a month ago 21 Aug 2026 RK Rohit Krishnan — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI is transforming U.S. politics and has inspired more hate across a wider political spectrum than any other technology — tap to centre the map on it AI is transforming U.S. politics andhas inspired more hate across awider political spectrum than anyother technology Last stated 3 weeks ago 15 Sept 2026 PK Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Americans are not, as a routine matter, cut off from the financial system for their politics. — tap to centre the map on it Americans are not, as a routinematter, cut off from the financialsystem for their politics. Last stated 2 years ago 9 Dec 2024 PM Patrick McKenzie — holds since 2024-12-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: Around the time liberalism gave way to progressivism, people on the left started being wrong about a ton of stuff, with Democrats falling from being right about roughly 85% of things in 2010 to about 30% and Republicans at about 15%. — tap to centre the map on it Around the time liberalism gave wayto progressivism, people on the leftstarted being wrong about a ton ofstuff, with Democrats falling frombeing right about roughly 85% ofthings in 2010 to about 30% andRepublicans at about 15%. Last stated 2 weeks ago 16 Sept 2026 NS Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: As politics grows more viperous, leaders of nuclear-armed nations surround themselves with sycophants, so you can no longer count on a president being given good advice. — tap to centre the map on it As politics grows more viperous,leaders of nuclear-armed nationssurround themselves with sycophants,so you can no longer count on apresident being given good advice. Last stated 3 years ago 22 Mar 2024 AJ Annie Jacobsen — holds since 2024-03-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: Climate skeptics' opposition to data adjustments is driven by which results those adjustments produce, not by scientific principle. — tap to centre the map on it Climate skeptics' opposition to dataadjustments is driven by whichresults those adjustments produce,not by scientific principle. Last stated 2 months ago 27 Jul 2026 AD Andrew Dessler — holds since 2026-07-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: Democrats' current strong political position is more robust than it was in 2024. — tap to centre the map on it Democrats' current strong politicalposition is more robust than it wasin 2024. Last stated 2 weeks ago 22 Sept 2026 NS Nate Silver — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: The core difference between America and China runs in opposite directions: there capital controls politics, here politics must rein in capital. — tap to centre the map on it The core difference between Americaand China runs in oppositedirections: there capital controlspolitics, here politics must rein incapital. Last stated a year ago 13 Aug 2025 KJ Keyu Jin — holds since 2025-08-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it A Chinese crewed landing on the Moonbefore America returns would be adefeat for the free world. Last stated 2 months ago 18 Aug 2026 CH Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are EB Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A diesel export ban would signal unreliability of the United States as a fossil fuel supplier. — tap to centre the map on it A diesel export ban would signalunreliability of the United Statesas a fossil fuel supplier. Last stated a week ago 24 Sept 2026 PK Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-24 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Expert ratings are misaligned with historical trends and current indicators regarding the political environment. Last stated 20 Sept 2026 · 2 weeks ago Holds Nate Silver Read this korrent →