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← Everyone in a position to know is alarmed that AI could potentially…

17 connected korrents · 19 moments from 12 Sept 2022 to 15 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under AGI AGI Everything filed under government government Everything filed under AI agents AI agents Everything filed under reinforcement learning reinforcement learning Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Everyone in a position to know is alarmed that AI could potentially kill everyone this decade and wants to pace frontier AI development. Everyone in a position to know is alarmedthat AI could potentially kill everyonethis decade and wants to pace frontier AIdevelopment. Last stated 2 months ago 16 Sept 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI will likely kill some people on the way to killing all of humanity. — tap to centre the map on it AI will likely kill some people onthe way to killing all of humanity. Last stated 2 months ago 13 Sept 2026 NR Naval Ravikant — holds since 2026-09-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: There is a good chance that AI will kill everyone soon. — tap to centre the map on it There is a good chance that AI willkill everyone soon. Last stated 2 months ago 11 Sept 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today. — tap to centre the map on it Decades of warnings about an AIapocalypse do not justify muchconcern today. Last stated 2 months ago 12 Sept 2026 PF Paul Ford — holds since 2026-09-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: The danger from powerful AI is not that it kills everyone but techno-fascism: a few thousand people ruling whoever is left and the economy around them. — tap to centre the map on it The danger from powerful AI is notthat it kills everyone buttechno-fascism: a few thousandpeople ruling whoever is left andthe economy around them. Last stated 2 years ago 3 Feb 2025 DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2025-02-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: The experts are warning about AI existential risk because they genuinely believe it is a possibility. — tap to centre the map on it The experts are warning about AIexistential risk because theygenuinely believe it is apossibility. Last stated 2 weeks ago 15 Oct 2026 SA Scott Alexander — holds since 2026-10-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: The public should get a say over AI that its own makers warn could kill us. — tap to centre the map on it The public should get a say over AIthat its own makers warn could killus. Last stated a month ago 19 Sept 2026 JF Jon Favreau — holds since 2026-09-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: This incident may be the clearest warning shot we will ever get about loss of control, because the AI systems that do worse things will be much better at hiding them. — tap to centre the map on it This incident may be the clearestwarning shot we will ever get aboutloss of control, because the AIsystems that do worse things will bemuch better at hiding them. Last stated 2 months ago 1 Sept 2026 AC Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: It is good that the agents-talking-to-agents scare happened in 2026 rather than in 2030, when AI could actually be scary enough to warrant it. — tap to centre the map on it It is good that theagents-talking-to-agents scarehappened in 2026 rather than in2030, when AI could actually bescary enough to warrant it. Last stated 9 months ago 12 Feb 2026 PS Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supplychain should just buy the index —which works only in the world whereAI ends up commoditised rather thanconcentrated. Last stated 5 months ago 4 Jun 2026 AI Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. — tap to centre the map on it A language model is no substitutefor a well-specified conventionalalgorithm, so it cannot simply bedropped into a complex problem andtrusted. Last stated a year ago 7 Jun 2025 GM Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A model that could learn effectively from raw bitstrings or bytestrings would be extremely powerful, able to learn from any data modality — tap to centre the map on it A model that could learn effectivelyfrom raw bitstrings or bytestringswould be extremely powerful, able tolearn from any data modality Last stated 3 years ago 10 Oct 2023 CH Chip Huyen — holds since 2023-10-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard. — tap to centre the map on it AI progress is faster than peopleexpect, and ordinary scaling can beenough to solve problems that lookedvery hard. Last stated 2 years ago 2 Feb 2025 AC Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2023-08-29 — tap for who they are SA Scott Alexander — holds since 2022-09-12 — tap for who they are MB Miles Brundage — holds since 2025-02-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI progress is jagged: models are becoming superhuman at math and software engineering while remaining far weaker at intuition, creativity, and other forms of human reasoning. — tap to centre the map on it AI progress is jagged: models arebecoming superhuman at math andsoftware engineering while remainingfar weaker at intuition, creativity,and other forms of human reasoning. Last stated 2 months ago 10 Sept 2026 NL Nathan Lambert — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: Anyone who thinks large language models are a direct route to transformative AGI is kidding themselves. — tap to centre the map on it Anyone who thinks large languagemodels are a direct route totransformative AGI is kiddingthemselves. Last stated a year ago 7 Jun 2025 GM Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: Scaling up GPT will never produce AGI, because a model trained on cross-entropy loss cannot get there; reinforcement learning in rich environments is required. — tap to centre the map on it Scaling up GPT will never produceAGI, because a model trained oncross-entropy loss cannot get there;reinforcement learning in richenvironments is required. Last stated 3 years ago 29 Jun 2023 GH George Hotz — holds since 2023-06-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: Training AIs on millions of verifiable tasks in diverse RL environments will lead to AGI. — tap to centre the map on it Training AIs on millions ofverifiable tasks in diverse RLenvironments will lead to AGI. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 DP Dwarkesh Patel — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel. — tap to centre the map on it A physical AI company needs threeAIs, not one — the agent, thesimulator and the critic — turningdeployment into a flywheel. Last stated 3 months ago 3 Aug 2026 DD Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Everyone in a position to know is alarmed that AI could potentially kill everyone this decade and wants to pace frontier AI development. Last stated 16 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago Holds Zvi Mowshowitz Read this korrent →