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← Every scientific field eventually exhausts itself: progress within a paradigm follows an S-curve and then runs out.

17 connected korrents · 16 moments on record from 5 Apr 2017 to 1 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under AI and science AI and science Everything filed under Trauma Trauma Everything filed under venture capital venture capital Everything filed under physics physics Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Every scientific field eventually exhausts itself: progress within a paradigm follows an S-curve and then runs out. Every scientific field eventually exhaustsitself: progress within a paradigm followsan S-curve and then runs out. Last stated 6 years ago 20 Jun 2020 JR José Luis Ricón — holds since 2020-06-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: Marketing channels do not settle onto a plateau; after the S-curve they sag, which is why the shape is an elephant and not an S. — tap to centre the map on it Marketing channels do not settleonto a plateau; after the S-curvethey sag, which is why the shape isan elephant and not an S. Last stated 7 months ago 25 Jan 2026 JC Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: An exponential feels like it cannot possibly keep going, which is exactly why people keep expecting AI progress to stop. — tap to centre the map on it An exponential feels like it cannotpossibly keep going, which isexactly why people keep expecting AIprogress to stop. Last stated 3 months ago 10 Jun 2026 MZ Mark Zuckerberg — holds since 2026-06-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: The simple work gets automated away, but the hard sciences and the places where they intersect never will. — tap to centre the map on it The simple work gets automated away,but the hard sciences and the placeswhere they intersect never will. Last stated a month ago 26 Jul 2026 JH Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-07-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: The thing worth finding is the exponential with the steepest curve that will run the longest — decades ago that was Moore’s law, and today it is AI progress. — tap to centre the map on it The thing worth finding is theexponential with the steepest curvethat will run the longest — decadesago that was Moore’s law, and todayit is AI progress. Last stated a month ago 29 Jul 2026 AW Alexandr Wang — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: The scaling curve really is S-shaped, but there are at least two cycles left in it, which means models sixteen times smarter and all knowledge work subsumed. — tap to centre the map on it The scaling curve really isS-shaped, but there are at least twocycles left in it, which meansmodels sixteen times smarter and allknowledge work subsumed. Last stated 6 months ago 11 Mar 2026 SY Steve Yegge — holds since 2026-03-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: Progress is not driven mainly by material resources, so running out of them is not what would stop it. — tap to centre the map on it Progress is not driven mainly bymaterial resources, so running outof them is not what would stop it. Last stated 6 years ago 12 Sept 2020 JC Jason Crawford — holds since 2020-09-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: String theory, the leading candidate for decades, is slowly going out of fashion because it is not matching experiment. — tap to centre the map on it String theory, the leading candidatefor decades, is slowly going out offashion because it is not matchingexperiment. Last stated a year ago 14 Jun 2025 TT Terence Tao — holds since 2025-06-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: Purely digital progress runs out: to keep learning, the machines will have to run experiments and ask the universe questions. — tap to centre the map on it Purely digital progress runs out: tokeep learning, the machines willhave to run experiments and ask theuniverse questions. Last stated 6 months ago 20 Mar 2026 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-03-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: "The body keeps the score" is only half the story, and the missing half matters: a body described only as a harbinger of the past is a body people learn to avoid. — tap to centre the map on it "The body keeps the score" is onlyhalf the story, and the missing halfmatters: a body described only as aharbinger of the past is a bodypeople learn to avoid. Last stated 2 weeks ago 25 Aug 2026 AS Arielle Schwartz — holds since 2026-08-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: Childhood trauma is the template for every addiction, including the socially rewarded ones. — tap to centre the map on it Childhood trauma is the template forevery addiction, including thesocially rewarded ones. Last stated 9 years ago 5 Apr 2017 GM Gabor Mate — holds since 2017-04-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: Coming into a project with a guess about what the data will show has, again and again, turned out to be wrong. — tap to centre the map on it Coming into a project with a guessabout what the data will show has,again and again, turned out to bewrong. Last stated 4 months ago 8 May 2026 DR David Reich — holds since 2026-05-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI could compete with human mathematicians once it acquires a mathematical sense of smell: knowing which way of splitting a problem makes it easier rather than harder. — tap to centre the map on it AI could compete with humanmathematicians once it acquires amathematical sense of smell: knowingwhich way of splitting a problemmakes it easier rather than harder. Last stated a year ago 14 Jun 2025 TT Terence Tao — holds since 2025-06-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI in chess and mathematics does not explain anything; it says which position is better, and humans build the theory from that. — tap to centre the map on it AI in chess and mathematics does notexplain anything; it says whichposition is better, and humans buildthe theory from that. Last stated a year ago 14 Jun 2025 LF Lex Fridman — holds since 2025-06-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI will transform how scientific discovery is done, and within two or three years a working scientist's job will already look dramatically different. — tap to centre the map on it AI will transform how scientificdiscovery is done, and within two orthree years a working scientist'sjob will already look dramaticallydifferent. Last stated 3 weeks ago 18 Aug 2026 MK Michael Kratsios — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company that grows enough eventually has no need for investors. — tap to centre the map on it A company that grows enougheventually has no need forinvestors. Last stated 6 days ago 1 Sept 2026 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: About 5% is the most common final ownership stake for the founder of a VC-funded startup that works out. — tap to centre the map on it About 5% is the most common finalownership stake for the founder of aVC-funded startup that works out. Last stated 2 months ago 18 Jul 2026 PL Pieter Levels — holds since 2026-07-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI factories and foundries are too capital-intensive for venture money; they need government or sovereign funds behind them. — tap to centre the map on it AI factories and foundries are toocapital-intensive for venture money;they need government or sovereignfunds behind them. Last stated 3 months ago 18 Jun 2026 LT Lip-Bu Tan — holds since 2026-06-18 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Every scientific field eventually exhausts itself: progress within a paradigm follows an S-curve and then runs out. Last stated 20 Jun 2020 · 6 years ago Holds José Luis Ricón Read this korrent →