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← The scaling curve really is S-shaped, but there are at least two…
8 connected korrents · 9 moments on record from 5 Jun 2025 to 4 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under scaling laws
scaling laws
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: The scaling curve really is S-shaped, but there are at least two cycles left in it, which means models sixteen times smarter and all knowledge work subsumed. The scaling curve really is S-shaped, but there are at least two cycles left in it, which means models sixteen times smarter and all knowledge work subsumed. Last stated 6 months ago
11 Mar 2026
SY
Steve Yegge — holds since 2026-03-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The scaling law for world models was a conviction held in advance, not a discovery; the devils were always in the architecture choices and the data mixture. — tap to centre the map on it The scaling law for world models was a conviction held in advance, not a discovery; the devils were always in the… Last stated 3 days ago
4 Sept 2026
FL
Fei-Fei Li — holds since 2026-09-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. — tap to centre the map on it We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the… Last stated 11 months ago
17 Oct 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Scaling laws are still working, but the models people actually use run a few months behind the maximum capability Google can deliver, because the biggest model is too slow and expensive to serve. — tap to centre the map on it Scaling laws are still working, but the models people actually use run a few months behind the maximum capability… Last stated a year ago
5 Jun 2025
SP
Sundar Pichai — holds since 2025-06-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Large language models could still plateau, and that possibility should be held open even though no evidence of it has appeared. — tap to centre the map on it Large language models could still plateau, and that possibility should be held open even though no evidence… Last stated 2 weeks ago
26 Aug 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Intelligence is going to scale by exactly one thing, and that thing is compute. — tap to centre the map on it Intelligence is going to scale by exactly one thing, and that thing is compute. Last stated 6 months ago
23 Mar 2026
JH
Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-03-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There will be no overnight intelligence explosion, because a model's best work takes so much test-time compute that time itself is the bottleneck. — tap to centre the map on it There will be no overnight intelligence explosion, because a model's best work takes so much test-time… Last stated 2 months ago
26 Jun 2026
NB
Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Large language models are a bad way to do science, because they have been fed so much that nobody knows what they already knew. — tap to centre the map on it Large language models are a bad way to do science, because they have been fed so much that nobody knows what they… Last stated 11 months ago
26 Sept 2025
RS
Richard Sutton — holds since 2025-09-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The thing worth finding is the exponential with the steepest curve that will run the longest — decades ago that was Moore’s law, and today it is AI progress. — tap to centre the map on it The thing worth finding is the exponential with the steepest curve that will run the longest — decades ago that was… Last stated a month ago
29 Jul 2026
AW
Alexandr Wang — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are