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← Scaling laws are still working, but the models people actually use run…

17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 11 Oct 2018 to 19 Sept 2026. Nearly all of them are about scaling laws.

Everything filed under Google Google Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under benchmarks benchmarks Everything filed under AI agents AI agents In tensionSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Scaling laws are still working, but the models people actually use run a few months behind the maximum capability Google can deliver, because the biggest model is too slow and expensive to serve. Scaling laws are still working, but themodels people actually use run a fewmonths behind the maximum capabilityGoogle can deliver, because the biggestmodel is too slow and expensive to serve. Last stated a year ago 5 Jun 2025 SP Sundar Pichai — holds since 2025-06-05 — tap for who they are In tension: Future AI, say in fifteen years, will not be built on the LLM stack; it will have to move to symbolic learning. — tap to centre the map on it Future AI, say in fifteen years,will not be built on the LLM stack;it will have to move to symboliclearning. Last stated 2 months ago 7 Aug 2026 FC François Chollet — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark result should bereported under a stated budget, oras a curve against test-time compute— never as a single number. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. — tap to centre the map on it A lab should spend most of itscompute on research rather than onbuilding the next model, becauseresearch is where the tenfold yearlyefficiency gains come from. Last stated 7 months ago 13 Mar 2026 DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: After pre-training, post-training and test-time scaling, the fourth scaling law is agentic: multiplying AI by spawning agents, and the whole loop scales on one thing, compute. — tap to centre the map on it After pre-training, post-trainingand test-time scaling, the fourthscaling law is agentic: multiplyingAI by spawning agents, and the wholeloop scales on one thing, compute. Last stated 7 months ago 23 Mar 2026 JH Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-03-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI scaling laws require exponentially more compute and resources to produce only linear gains in model intelligence. — tap to centre the map on it AI scaling laws requireexponentially more compute andresources to produce only lineargains in model intelligence. Last stated a month ago 19 Sept 2026 NL Nathan Lambert — holds since 2026-09-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: As models keep scaling up, modularity will become essential to how they are developed. — tap to centre the map on it As models keep scaling up,modularity will become essential tohow they are developed. Last stated 4 years ago 23 Feb 2023 SR Sebastian Ruder — holds since 2023-02-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: Bet on a system that is maximally learned and minimally constrained, and add structure only where it improves the scaling laws. — tap to centre the map on it Bet on a system that is maximallylearned and minimally constrained,and add structure only where itimproves the scaling laws. Last stated 3 months ago 3 Aug 2026 DD Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: Current AI techniques are four to six orders of magnitude away from optimal in data efficiency and test-time compute efficiency. — tap to centre the map on it Current AI techniques are four tosix orders of magnitude away fromoptimal in data efficiency andtest-time compute efficiency. Last stated 2 months ago 7 Aug 2026 FC François Chollet — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: Current techniques restrict pre-trained representation power because standard language models are unidirectional. — tap to centre the map on it Current techniques restrictpre-trained representation powerbecause standard language models areunidirectional. Last stated 8 years ago 11 Oct 2018 KT Kristina Toutanova — holds since 2018-10-11 — tap for who they are MC Ming-Wei Chang — holds since 2018-10-11 — tap for who they are KL Kenton Lee — holds since 2018-10-11 — tap for who they are JD Jacob Devlin — holds since 2018-10-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company that is a genuine climate champion should not need to be forced into climate action. — tap to centre the map on it A company that is a genuine climatechampion should not need to beforced into climate action. Last stated 2 months ago 19 Aug 2026 EA Emily Atkin — holds since 2026-08-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost. — tap to centre the map on it A company's staff-engineer barshould be set against the bestcompanies in the industry ratherthan against its own history, whichis what makes title inflation a realcost. Last stated 7 months ago 1 Apr 2026 TP Thuan Pham — holds since 2026-04-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A crewed rocket cannot be made safe by making the booster reliable, so the only real way to improve safety is to carry an escape system. — tap to centre the map on it A crewed rocket cannot be made safeby making the booster reliable, sothe only real way to improve safetyis to carry an escape system. Last stated 3 years ago 14 Dec 2023 JB Jeff Bezos — holds since 2023-12-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: Generative AI's climate harm comes mainly from wasteful system design and forced-on features, not from the computational cost of individual queries. — tap to centre the map on it Generative AI's climate harm comesmainly from wasteful system designand forced-on features, not from thecomputational cost of individualqueries. Last stated 4 months ago 1 Jul 2026 KJ Ketan Joshi — holds since 2026-07-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Google had the data, the technology and the engineers to ship ChatGPT in 2019, and bureaucracy alone is why it did not. — tap to centre the map on it Google had the data, the technologyand the engineers to ship ChatGPT in2019, and bureaucracy alone is whyit did not. Last stated 2 years ago 20 Aug 2024 PL Pieter Levels — holds since 2024-08-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: LLMs can write a large fraction of the tedious code a developer will ever need to write, and most code on most projects is tedious. — tap to centre the map on it LLMs can write a large fraction ofthe tedious code a developer willever need to write, and most code onmost projects is tedious. Last stated a year ago 2 Jun 2025 TP Thomas Ptacek — holds since 2025-06-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: Agents are going to be incorporated into mainstream interfaces — tap to centre the map on it Agents are going to be incorporatedinto mainstream interfaces Last stated 7 months ago 25 Mar 2026 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-03-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: Chatbot interfaces are the wrong tool for meaningful coding work, because you are mostly hoping the model recalls the right answer and correcting it requires a human in the loop. — tap to centre the map on it Chatbot interfaces are the wrongtool for meaningful coding work,because you are mostly hoping themodel recalls the right answer andcorrecting it requires a human inthe loop. Last stated 9 months ago 5 Feb 2026 MH Mitchell Hashimoto — holds since 2026-02-05 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Scaling laws are still working, but the models people actually use run a few months behind the maximum capability Google can deliver, because the biggest model is too slow and expensive to serve. Last stated 5 Jun 2025 · a year ago Holds Sundar Pichai Read this korrent →