Every scientific field eventually exhausts itself: progress within a paradigm follows an S-curve and then runs out.

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• Marketing channels do not settle onto a plateau; after the S-curve they sag, which is why the shape is an elephant and not an S. JCJason Cohen25 Jan 2026similar wording
• An exponential feels like it cannot possibly keep going, which is exactly why people keep expecting AI progress to stop. MZMark Zuckerberg10 Jun 2026similar wording
• The simple work gets automated away, but the hard sciences and the places where they intersect never will. JHJensen Huang26 Jul 2026similar wording
• The thing worth finding is the exponential with the steepest curve that will run the longest — decades ago that was Moore’s law, and today it is AI progress. AWAlexandr Wang29 Jul 2026similar wording
• The scaling curve really is S-shaped, but there are at least two cycles left in it, which means models sixteen times smarter and all knowledge work subsumed. SYSteve Yegge11 Mar 2026similar wording

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