An exponential feels like it cannot possibly keep going, which is exactly why people keep expecting AI progress to stop.

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• The thing worth finding is the exponential with the steepest curve that will run the longest — decades ago that was Moore’s law, and today it is AI progress. AWAlexandr Wang29 Jul 2026similar wording
• We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. AKAndrej Karpathy17 Oct 2025similar wording
• Expecting technology to keep accelerating is a bias of our particular moment; for most of human history the tools did not change at all. AFAdam Frank22 Dec 2024similar wording
• What AI still cannot do in mathematics is build cumulatively on partial progress; it is trial, error and brute force rather than an idea improving through use. TTTerence Tao20 Mar 2026similar wording
• Demand for inference may be growing exponentially while GPU production can only grow linearly, and the tightening happens where those two lines cross. DRDax Raad27 May 2026similar wording

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