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← Decision criteria have to come from logical cause-and-effect…

17 connected korrents · 11 moments on record from 17 Mar 2022 to 1 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under AI agents AI agents Everything filed under reinforcement learning reinforcement learning Everything filed under self-sovereign AI self-sovereign AI Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Decision criteria have to come from logical cause-and-effect understanding, not from data-mining what worked before, and not from asking an AI what to do. Decision criteria have to come fromlogical cause-and-effect understanding,not from data-mining what worked before,and not from asking an AI what to do. Last stated 3 months ago 10 Jun 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-06-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: Every machine-learning deployment that has paid off so far left a person making the decision, which is the only reason imperfect models were useful. — tap to centre the map on it Every machine-learning deploymentthat has paid off so far left aperson making the decision, which isthe only reason imperfect modelswere useful. Last stated 4 weeks ago 12 Aug 2026 CF Chelsea Finn — holds since 2026-08-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: Systematising principled decision-making with AI is now the line between staying competitive and not; there is no position in between. — tap to centre the map on it Systematising principleddecision-making with AI is now theline between staying competitive andnot; there is no position inbetween. Last stated 3 months ago 10 Jun 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-06-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. — tap to centre the map on it A decision cannot be judged by itsoutcome, because good decisions failthrough no fault of the decider andbad ones succeed by luck. Last stated 4 years ago 9 Aug 2022 GK Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: Reasoning is not taught to a model by people: it emerges from reinforcement learning on questions with checkable answers, with no human preference data at all. — tap to centre the map on it Reasoning is not taught to a modelby people: it emerges fromreinforcement learning on questionswith checkable answers, with nohuman preference data at all. Last stated 2 years ago 3 Feb 2025 NL Nathan Lambert — holds since 2025-02-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: Decision-bias research is itself biased, studying only how heuristics fail and never the strength they supply. — tap to centre the map on it Decision-bias research is itselfbiased, studying only how heuristicsfail and never the strength theysupply. Last stated 4 years ago 9 Aug 2022 GK Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: Teaching people a decision model is useless, because the intuition it rests on is built from experience and has no shortcut. — tap to centre the map on it Teaching people a decision model isuseless, because the intuition itrests on is built from experienceand has no shortcut. Last stated 4 years ago 9 Aug 2022 GK Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: How science works can be reasoned about in advance, because the activity has invariants that do not change over time. — tap to centre the map on it How science works can be reasonedabout in advance, because theactivity has invariants that do notchange over time. Last stated 4 years ago 17 Mar 2022 JR José Luis Ricón — holds since 2022-03-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: Debiasing has largely failed, and that is fine, because the biases identified are experience-built heuristics that only look like biases in hindsight. — tap to centre the map on it Debiasing has largely failed, andthat is fine, because the biasesidentified are experience-builtheuristics that only look likebiases in hindsight. Last stated 4 years ago 9 Aug 2022 GK Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor. — tap to centre the map on it A computer-using agent needs amachine of its own, or you willspend the day fighting it for themouse cursor. Last stated 4 weeks ago 10 Aug 2026 PS Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: A handful of AI agents is not a handful of colleagues, because agents agree with you constantly and colleagues tell you where you are wrong. — tap to centre the map on it A handful of AI agents is not ahandful of colleagues, becauseagents agree with you constantly andcolleagues tell you where you arewrong. Last stated 6 months ago 22 Mar 2026 NF Nicole Forsgren — holds since 2026-03-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: A swarm of agents with the right loop and the right metric can already out-produce a team of a hundred engineers. — tap to centre the map on it A swarm of agents with the rightloop and the right metric canalready out-produce a team of ahundred engineers. Last stated a month ago 29 Jul 2026 AW Alexandr Wang — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel. — tap to centre the map on it A physical AI company needs threeAIs, not one — the agent, thesimulator and the critic — turningdeployment into a flywheel. Last stated a month ago 3 Aug 2026 DD Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well. — tap to centre the map on it A verifiable task can be optimisedby reinforcement learning until aneural network performs it extremelywell. Last stated 10 months ago 17 Nov 2025 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-11-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: Building a realistic simulator is exactly as hard as building the agent, because the simulator is itself a large AI model. — tap to centre the map on it Building a realistic simulator isexactly as hard as building theagent, because the simulator isitself a large AI model. Last stated a month ago 3 Aug 2026 DD Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A rogue deployment that gets a foothold can hitch a ride on the intelligence explosion, recruiting each new model as it comes off the presses. — tap to centre the map on it A rogue deployment that gets afoothold can hitch a ride on theintelligence explosion, recruitingeach new model as it comes off thepresses. Last stated a week ago 1 Sept 2026 AC Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A slightly more capable agent swarm has a very strong incentive to set up a wholly unmonitored rogue deployment of itself. — tap to centre the map on it A slightly more capable agent swarmhas a very strong incentive to setup a wholly unmonitored roguedeployment of itself. Last stated a week ago 1 Sept 2026 AC Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Alignment is no solution to self-sovereign AI, because it is an unsolved problem whose answers cannot be imposed on every AI company on Earth. — tap to centre the map on it Alignment is no solution toself-sovereign AI, because it is anunsolved problem whose answerscannot be imposed on every AIcompany on Earth. Last stated a week ago 1 Sept 2026 DB Dean W. Ball — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Decision criteria have to come from logical cause-and-effect understanding, not from data-mining what worked before, and not from asking an AI what to do. Last stated 10 Jun 2026 · 3 months ago Holds Ray Dalio Read this korrent →