Tap a claim on the ring to put it at the centre.
← It seems much more likely that China would cooperate on AI safety if US AI capabilities were comfortably ahead.
17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 6 Dec 2012 to 24 Sept 2026. Nearly all of them are about America and China .
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under Europe
Europe
Everything filed under tariffs
tariffs
Everything filed under space
space
Everything filed under energy
energy
Everything filed under Russia
Russia
Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: It seems much more likely that China would cooperate on AI safety if US AI capabilities were comfortably ahead.
It seems much more likely that China would cooperate on AI safety if US AI capabilities were comfortably ahead.
Last stated a month ago
5 Sept 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Legitimate AI safety and cybersecurity concerns risk talking America, the global AI leader, into self-inflicted obsolescence and bureaucracy. — tap to centre the map on it
Legitimate AI safety and cybersecurity concerns risk talking America, the global AI leader, into self-inflicted obsolescence and bureaucracy.
Last stated a month ago
12 Sept 2026
GR
Guillermo Rauch — holds since 2026-09-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it
A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world.
Last stated 2 months ago
18 Aug 2026
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy. — tap to centre the map on it
A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
24 Sept 2026
PK
Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments. — tap to centre the map on it
A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments.
Last stated 14 years ago
6 Dec 2012
PT
Philip Tetlock — holds since 2012-12-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A superpower's deferential posture toward rival great powers can alienate its allies while yielding no strategic payoff in return. — tap to centre the map on it
A superpower's deferential posture toward rival great powers can alienate its allies while yielding no strategic payoff in return.
Last stated 2 months ago
2 Sept 2026
DD
Daniel W. Drezner — holds since 2026-09-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Almost nobody in America is paying attention to the space race with China, and a Chinese landing at the lunar south pole will change that. — tap to centre the map on it
Almost nobody in America is paying attention to the space race with China, and a Chinese landing at the lunar south pole will change that.
Last stated 2 months ago
18 Aug 2026
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: America cannot simply copy China's manufacturing methods, because which technology is correct depends on the local price of labour. — tap to centre the map on it
America cannot simply copy China's manufacturing methods, because which technology is correct depends on the local price of labour.
Last stated 8 months ago
12 Feb 2026
AV
Austin Vernon — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: America cannot win manufacturing back by repatriating what left; it wins only by inventing the next wave of manufacturing and building that here. — tap to centre the map on it
America cannot win manufacturing back by repatriating what left; it wins only by inventing the next wave of manufacturing and building that here.
Last stated 3 months ago
28 Jul 2026
BS
Blake Scholl — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad. — tap to centre the map on it
A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad.
Last stated a year ago
7 Oct 2025
MM
Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2025-10-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it
A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail.
Last stated 2 years ago
7 May 2024
BS
Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it
A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score.
Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
HK
Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country should raise revenue by tariffing foreign countries rather than by taxing its own citizens. — tap to centre the map on it
A country should raise revenue by tariffing foreign countries rather than by taxing its own citizens.
Last stated 2 years ago
20 Jan 2025
DT
Donald Trump — holds since 2025-01-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A trade dispute escalated by aggressive tariffs can still end in a negotiated outcome that leaves all sides better off. — tap to centre the map on it
A trade dispute escalated by aggressive tariffs can still end in a negotiated outcome that leaves all sides better off.
Last stated a year ago
30 May 2025
GS
Guy Spier — holds since 2025-05-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Cutting off trade with tariffs would force a huge interest-rate spike and probably a debt crisis, because the budget deficit would have to be financed at home. — tap to centre the map on it
Cutting off trade with tariffs would force a huge interest-rate spike and probably a debt crisis, because the budget deficit would have to be financed at home.
Last stated 2 years ago
14 Apr 2025
JC
John H. Cochrane — holds since 2025-04-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company doing something at the edge of the Overton window has to hold two cultures at once — the true believers and the serious professionals who think they are crazy — and integrating them is what makes it work. — tap to centre the map on it
A company doing something at the edge of the Overton window has to hold two cultures at once — the true believers and the serious professionals who think they are crazy — and integrating them is what makes it work.
Last stated 2 months ago
7 Aug 2026
MH
Max Hodak — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A heavily centralised state is the most fragile kind: when Rome’s centre failed, its successors were left without the resources or administration to do what it had done. — tap to centre the map on it
A heavily centralised state is the most fragile kind: when Rome’s centre failed, its successors were left without the resources or administration to do what it had done.
Last stated 5 years ago
28 Jan 2022
BD
Bret Devereaux — holds since 2022-01-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A new world order based on raw power is being drawn right now, and Europe has to fight for its place in it. — tap to centre the map on it
A new world order based on raw power is being drawn right now, and Europe has to fight for its place in it.
Last stated a year ago
10 Sept 2025
UL
Ursula von der Leyen — holds since 2025-09-10 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2012 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
It seems much more likely that China would cooperate on AI safety if US AI capabilities were comfortably ahead.
Last stated 5 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Noah Smith
Read this korrent →
Same subject: AI alignment, America
Legitimate AI safety and cybersecurity concerns risk talking America, the global AI leader, into self-inflicted obsolescence and bureaucracy.
Last stated 12 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Guillermo Rauch
Same subject: China, America
A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world.
Last stated 18 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Casey Handmer Eric Berger
Same subject: China, America
A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy.
Last stated 24 Sept 2026 · 4 weeks ago
Holds Paul Krugman
Same subject: China, America
A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments.
Last stated 6 Dec 2012 · 14 years ago
Holds Philip Tetlock
Same subject: China, America
A superpower's deferential posture toward rival great powers can alienate its allies while yielding no strategic payoff in return.
Last stated 2 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Daniel W. Drezner
Same subject: China, America
Almost nobody in America is paying attention to the space race with China, and a Chinese landing at the lunar south pole will change that.
Last stated 18 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Eric Berger
Same subject: China, America
America cannot simply copy China's manufacturing methods, because which technology is correct depends on the local price of labour.
Last stated 12 Feb 2026 · 8 months ago
Holds Austin Vernon
Same subject: China, America
America cannot win manufacturing back by repatriating what left; it wins only by inventing the next wave of manufacturing and building that here.
Last stated 28 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Blake Scholl
Same subject: AI alignment
A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad.
Last stated 7 Oct 2025 · a year ago
Holds Mr. Money Mustache
Same subject: AI alignment
A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail.
Last stated 7 May 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Buck Shlegeris
Same subject: AI alignment
A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score.
Last stated 26 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Henrik Karlsson
Same subject: tariffs
A country should raise revenue by tariffing foreign countries rather than by taxing its own citizens.
Last stated 20 Jan 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds Donald Trump
Same subject: tariffs
A trade dispute escalated by aggressive tariffs can still end in a negotiated outcome that leaves all sides better off.
Last stated 30 May 2025 · a year ago
Holds Guy Spier
Same subject: tariffs
Cutting off trade with tariffs would force a huge interest-rate spike and probably a debt crisis, because the budget deficit would have to be financed at home.
Last stated 14 Apr 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds John H. Cochrane
Same subject: Europe
A company doing something at the edge of the Overton window has to hold two cultures at once — the true believers and the serious professionals who think they are crazy — and integrating them is what makes it work.
Last stated 7 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Max Hodak
Same subject: Europe
A heavily centralised state is the most fragile kind: when Rome’s centre failed, its successors were left without the resources or administration to do what it had done.
Last stated 28 Jan 2022 · 5 years ago
Holds Bret Devereaux
Same subject: Europe
A new world order based on raw power is being drawn right now, and Europe has to fight for its place in it.
Last stated 10 Sept 2025 · a year ago
Holds Ursula von der Leyen