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← It seems much more likely that China would cooperate on AI safety if US AI capabilities were comfortably ahead.

17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 6 Dec 2012 to 24 Sept 2026. Nearly all of them are about America and China.

Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under Europe Europe Everything filed under tariffs tariffs Everything filed under space space Everything filed under energy energy Everything filed under Russia Russia Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: It seems much more likely that China would cooperate on AI safety if US AI capabilities were comfortably ahead. It seems much more likely that China wouldcooperate on AI safety if US AIcapabilities were comfortably ahead. Last stated a month ago 5 Sept 2026 NS Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: Legitimate AI safety and cybersecurity concerns risk talking America, the global AI leader, into self-inflicted obsolescence and bureaucracy. — tap to centre the map on it Legitimate AI safety andcybersecurity concerns risk talkingAmerica, the global AI leader, intoself-inflicted obsolescence andbureaucracy. Last stated a month ago 12 Sept 2026 GR Guillermo Rauch — holds since 2026-09-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it A Chinese crewed landing on the Moonbefore America returns would be adefeat for the free world. Last stated 2 months ago 18 Aug 2026 CH Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are EB Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy. — tap to centre the map on it A diesel export ban would probablydo little for U.S. affordability,would deter business investment, andwould weaken America's hand againstChina on energy. Last stated 4 weeks ago 24 Sept 2026 PK Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments. — tap to centre the map on it A fox who sees many factors in playcannot judge in a blink; they reason'on the one hand, and on the other'and must reconcile the conflictingarguments. Last stated 14 years ago 6 Dec 2012 PT Philip Tetlock — holds since 2012-12-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: A superpower's deferential posture toward rival great powers can alienate its allies while yielding no strategic payoff in return. — tap to centre the map on it A superpower's deferential posturetoward rival great powers canalienate its allies while yieldingno strategic payoff in return. Last stated 2 months ago 2 Sept 2026 DD Daniel W. Drezner — holds since 2026-09-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: Almost nobody in America is paying attention to the space race with China, and a Chinese landing at the lunar south pole will change that. — tap to centre the map on it Almost nobody in America is payingattention to the space race withChina, and a Chinese landing at thelunar south pole will change that. Last stated 2 months ago 18 Aug 2026 EB Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: America cannot simply copy China's manufacturing methods, because which technology is correct depends on the local price of labour. — tap to centre the map on it America cannot simply copy China'smanufacturing methods, because whichtechnology is correct depends on thelocal price of labour. Last stated 8 months ago 12 Feb 2026 AV Austin Vernon — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: America cannot win manufacturing back by repatriating what left; it wins only by inventing the next wave of manufacturing and building that here. — tap to centre the map on it America cannot win manufacturingback by repatriating what left; itwins only by inventing the next waveof manufacturing and building thathere. Last stated 3 months ago 28 Jul 2026 BS Blake Scholl — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad. — tap to centre the map on it A company that uses an algorithm tonudge customers into behavior thatisn't good for them is doingsomething bad. Last stated a year ago 7 Oct 2025 MM Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2025-10-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it A control evaluation that reportsunder one per cent risk should beread as several per cent, becausethe evaluation can itself fail. Last stated 2 years ago 7 May 2024 BS Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it A feedback loop that reinforces abehavior pulls it toward whateverimproves the loop's own score. Last stated 2 months ago 26 Aug 2026 HK Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country should raise revenue by tariffing foreign countries rather than by taxing its own citizens. — tap to centre the map on it A country should raise revenue bytariffing foreign countries ratherthan by taxing its own citizens. Last stated 2 years ago 20 Jan 2025 DT Donald Trump — holds since 2025-01-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: A trade dispute escalated by aggressive tariffs can still end in a negotiated outcome that leaves all sides better off. — tap to centre the map on it A trade dispute escalated byaggressive tariffs can still end ina negotiated outcome that leaves allsides better off. Last stated a year ago 30 May 2025 GS Guy Spier — holds since 2025-05-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: Cutting off trade with tariffs would force a huge interest-rate spike and probably a debt crisis, because the budget deficit would have to be financed at home. — tap to centre the map on it Cutting off trade with tariffs wouldforce a huge interest-rate spike andprobably a debt crisis, because thebudget deficit would have to befinanced at home. Last stated 2 years ago 14 Apr 2025 JC John H. Cochrane — holds since 2025-04-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company doing something at the edge of the Overton window has to hold two cultures at once — the true believers and the serious professionals who think they are crazy — and integrating them is what makes it work. — tap to centre the map on it A company doing something at theedge of the Overton window has tohold two cultures at once — the truebelievers and the seriousprofessionals who think they arecrazy — and integrating them is whatmakes it work. Last stated 2 months ago 7 Aug 2026 MH Max Hodak — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A heavily centralised state is the most fragile kind: when Rome’s centre failed, its successors were left without the resources or administration to do what it had done. — tap to centre the map on it A heavily centralised state is themost fragile kind: when Rome’scentre failed, its successors wereleft without the resources oradministration to do what it haddone. Last stated 5 years ago 28 Jan 2022 BD Bret Devereaux — holds since 2022-01-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: A new world order based on raw power is being drawn right now, and Europe has to fight for its place in it. — tap to centre the map on it A new world order based on raw poweris being drawn right now, and Europehas to fight for its place in it. Last stated a year ago 10 Sept 2025 UL Ursula von der Leyen — holds since 2025-09-10 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2012 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are

At the centre It seems much more likely that China would cooperate on AI safety if US AI capabilities were comfortably ahead. Last stated 5 Sept 2026 · a month ago Holds Noah Smith Read this korrent →