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← Build where today's models succeed one percent of the time, not…

17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 10 Dec 2015 to 23 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under scaling laws scaling laws Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under neural networks neural networks Everything filed under humility humility Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Build where today's models succeed one percent of the time, not twenty: partial success means the capability is already arriving. Build where today's models succeed onepercent of the time, not twenty: partialsuccess means the capability is alreadyarriving. Last stated 3 months ago 30 Jul 2026 JD Jeff Dean — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: Before building on a gap in the general models, work out whether that gap survives six months or three years. — tap to centre the map on it Before building on a gap in thegeneral models, work out whetherthat gap survives six months orthree years. Last stated 3 months ago 30 Jul 2026 JD Jeff Dean — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: Building for where AI models are now and building for where they will be in a year are equally wrong. — tap to centre the map on it Building for where AI models are nowand building for where they will bein a year are equally wrong. Last stated 2 months ago 30 Aug 2026 TS Tara Seshan — holds since 2026-08-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: A project that only shows the models are not ready yet is a win if it leaves behind an eval to retry with later models. — tap to centre the map on it A project that only shows the modelsare not ready yet is a win if itleaves behind an eval to retry withlater models. Last stated a month ago 10 Sept 2026 MK Mike Krieger — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: Do not assume how good a model will or will not be at the thing you want it to do. — tap to centre the map on it Do not assume how good a model willor will not be at the thing you wantit to do. Last stated 2 months ago 11 Aug 2026 KZ Kyle Zantos — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: The one safe bet about AI is that models will improve, so what a company has to build is an organisation that gets better as models get better. — tap to centre the map on it The one safe bet about AI is thatmodels will improve, so what acompany has to build is anorganisation that gets better asmodels get better. Last stated a year ago 16 Oct 2025 DF Dylan Field — holds since 2025-10-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: Open-sourcing capable models matters because it is the only thing standing between us and a world where two or three companies control the frontier. — tap to centre the map on it Open-sourcing capable models mattersbecause it is the only thingstanding between us and a worldwhere two or three companies controlthe frontier. Last stated 2 years ago 19 Jun 2024 AS Aravind Srinivas — holds since 2024-06-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: The right response to more capable models is not more shipped features; it is spending that capability on understanding users and prototyping, so what ships actually works. — tap to centre the map on it The right response to more capablemodels is not more shipped features;it is spending that capability onunderstanding users and prototyping,so what ships actually works. Last stated 4 weeks ago 23 Sept 2026 TS Thariq Shihipar — holds since 2026-09-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: You need to build early with AI to have any intuition for when the models become capable. — tap to centre the map on it You need to build early with AI tohave any intuition for when themodels become capable. Last stated a month ago 10 Sept 2026 MK Mike Krieger — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: "Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next. — tap to centre the map on it "Scaling" was powerful because itwas one word: naming a researchdirection is what tells a wholefield what to do next. Last stated 11 months ago 25 Nov 2025 IS Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark result should bereported under a stated budget, oras a curve against test-time compute— never as a single number. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. — tap to centre the map on it A lab should spend most of itscompute on research rather than onbuilding the next model, becauseresearch is where the tenfold yearlyefficiency gains come from. Last stated 7 months ago 13 Mar 2026 DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: One pre-trained robot model now matches or beats the specialists that were fine-tuned with reinforcement learning for the very tasks they were built for. — tap to centre the map on it One pre-trained robot model nowmatches or beats the specialiststhat were fine-tuned withreinforcement learning for the verytasks they were built for. Last stated 2 months ago 12 Aug 2026 CF Chelsea Finn — holds since 2026-08-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: RL environments exist to make a model generalise, not to teach it each skill one at a time — exactly as pre-training does. — tap to centre the map on it RL environments exist to make amodel generalise, not to teach iteach skill one at a time — exactlyas pre-training does. Last stated 8 months ago 13 Feb 2026 DA Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it A feedback loop that reinforces abehavior pulls it toward whateverimproves the loop's own score. Last stated 2 months ago 26 Aug 2026 HK Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: Scaling the 2019-2023 recipe — same architecture, bigger model, more data — is not enough; further progress depends on new architectural ideas. — tap to centre the map on it Scaling the 2019-2023 recipe — samearchitecture, bigger model, moredata — is not enough; furtherprogress depends on newarchitectural ideas. Last stated 2 years ago 20 Dec 2024 FC François Chollet — holds since 2024-12-20 — tap for who they are GM Gary Marcus — holds since 2024-10-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: A layer should learn a residual with reference to its own input rather than an unreferenced function, which is what makes great depth trainable. — tap to centre the map on it A layer should learn a residual withreference to its own input ratherthan an unreferenced function, whichis what makes great depth trainable. Last stated 11 years ago 10 Dec 2015 JS Jian Sun — holds since 2015-12-10 — tap for who they are KH Kaiming He — holds since 2015-12-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: A small enough winning ticket learns faster than the network it was cut out of, and ends up more accurate than it. — tap to centre the map on it A small enough winning ticket learnsfaster than the network it was cutout of, and ends up more accuratethan it. Last stated 9 years ago 9 Mar 2018 MC Michael Carbin — holds since 2018-03-09 — tap for who they are JF Jonathan Frankle — holds since 2018-03-09 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Build where today's models succeed one percent of the time, not twenty: partial success means the capability is already arriving. Last stated 30 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago Holds Jeff Dean Read this korrent →