Our readingWhat is a korrent?
Bayesian thinking lets a person use all relevant prior information when making decisions.
Drawn from what Shane Parrish said
Subjectmental models
What this subject means
mental models Thinking tools borrowed across disciplines: inversion, second-order effects, circles of competence, probabilities, incentives.
Mental modelProbabilistic thinking
On the topicWhich mental models help you think better?under our view: Think in probabilities, and bet big only when the odds are yours