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← An AI-caused recession requires the owners of capital to hit a hard…

17 connected korrents · 12 moments on record from 1 Jun 2022 to 3 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under government government Everything filed under venture capital venture capital Everything filed under interest rates interest rates Everything filed under AI and jobs AI and jobs Everything filed under America America Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: An AI-caused recession requires the owners of capital to hit a hard ceiling on spending and then refuse to invest the rest, which is a very improbable combination. An AI-caused recession requires the ownersof capital to hit a hard ceiling onspending and then refuse to invest therest, which is a very improbablecombination. Last stated 3 months ago 4 Jun 2026 AI Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: Most macroeconomic models cannot describe the AI transition, because they assume a single output that converts one-for-one into capital or consumption. — tap to centre the map on it Most macroeconomic models cannotdescribe the AI transition, becausethey assume a single output thatconverts one-for-one into capital orconsumption. Last stated 3 months ago 4 Jun 2026 PT Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: The long trend of making it easier for ordinary people to index more of the economy will resume, and AI itself will help by cutting the cost of going public. — tap to centre the map on it The long trend of making it easierfor ordinary people to index more ofthe economy will resume, and AIitself will help by cutting the costof going public. Last stated 3 months ago 4 Jun 2026 PT Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. — tap to centre the map on it We are already in an intelligenceexplosion and have been for decades,so AI will show up as more of thesame exponential rather than a breakin it. Last stated 11 months ago 17 Oct 2025 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI factories and foundries are too capital-intensive for venture money; they need government or sovereign funds behind them. — tap to centre the map on it AI factories and foundries are toocapital-intensive for venture money;they need government or sovereignfunds behind them. Last stated 3 months ago 18 Jun 2026 LT Lip-Bu Tan — holds since 2026-06-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: If AI permanently drives down demand for labour, long-term income support for a significant fraction of the workforce will likely become necessary. — tap to centre the map on it If AI permanently drives down demandfor labour, long-term income supportfor a significant fraction of theworkforce will likely becomenecessary. Last stated 3 months ago 1 Jun 2026 DA Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: The worry that AI's returns are locked away in private companies is overstated: well under a fifth of American market capitalisation is private. — tap to centre the map on it The worry that AI's returns arelocked away in private companies isoverstated: well under a fifth ofAmerican market capitalisation isprivate. Last stated 3 months ago 4 Jun 2026 PT Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: There is no AI bubble on the demand side: the shortage of computing capacity is global, and spans every company and industry. — tap to centre the map on it There is no AI bubble on the demandside: the shortage of computingcapacity is global, and spans everycompany and industry. Last stated 8 months ago 8 Jan 2026 JH Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-01-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: The software job losses of the past few years were caused more by the end of zero-interest-rate money and the post-COVID crash than by AI. — tap to centre the map on it The software job losses of the pastfew years were caused more by theend of zero-interest-rate money andthe post-COVID crash than by AI. Last stated a month ago 29 Jul 2026 HW Hillel Wayne — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: A broken criminal justice institution survives precisely because it serves the people who run it. — tap to centre the map on it A broken criminal justiceinstitution survives preciselybecause it serves the people who runit. Last stated 6 days ago 1 Sept 2026 RB Radley Balko — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country that builds a national health service becomes more aware of its own existence, because the experience of solidarity is what makes a nation real. — tap to centre the map on it A country that builds a nationalhealth service becomes more aware ofits own existence, because theexperience of solidarity is whatmakes a nation real. Last stated a week ago 30 Aug 2026 TS Timothy Snyder — holds since 2026-08-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: A government debt crisis is measurable and therefore visible well in advance; the diagnostic is mechanical rather than a matter of judgement. — tap to centre the map on it A government debt crisis ismeasurable and therefore visiblewell in advance; the diagnostic ismechanical rather than a matter ofjudgement. Last stated 2 weeks ago 21 Aug 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company that grows enough eventually has no need for investors. — tap to centre the map on it A company that grows enougheventually has no need forinvestors. Last stated 6 days ago 1 Sept 2026 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: About 5% is the most common final ownership stake for the founder of a VC-funded startup that works out. — tap to centre the map on it About 5% is the most common finalownership stake for the founder of aVC-funded startup that works out. Last stated 2 months ago 18 Jul 2026 PL Pieter Levels — holds since 2026-07-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Being formidable means getting what you want in any situation, and that is exactly why investors want it: a formidable founder's interests and theirs are the same. — tap to centre the map on it Being formidable means getting whatyou want in any situation, and thatis exactly why investors want it: aformidable founder's interests andtheirs are the same. Last stated 4 days ago 3 Sept 2026 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it A central bank can eliminate aself-fulfilling ('sunspot') debtcrisis simply by credibly committingto buy as many bonds as needed atthe low interest rate. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending. — tap to centre the map on it A government's debt dynamics are ahousehold's or a company's, exceptthat it can print money and tax --and those two powers are what changethe ending. Last stated 2 weeks ago 21 Aug 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases. — tap to centre the map on it A longer average debt maturityprotects a government from temporaryinterest-rate spikes and gives itmore time to adjust to permanentrate increases. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
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At the centre An AI-caused recession requires the owners of capital to hit a hard ceiling on spending and then refuse to invest the rest, which is a very improbable combination. Last stated 4 Jun 2026 · 3 months ago Holds Alex Imas Read this korrent →