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← An AI-caused recession requires the owners of capital to hit a hard…

17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 22 Mar 2025 to 18 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under AI and jobs AI and jobs Everything filed under investing investing Everything filed under stock market stock market Everything filed under interest rates interest rates Everything filed under AGI AGI Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: An AI-caused recession requires the owners of capital to hit a hard ceiling on spending and then refuse to invest the rest, which is a very improbable combination. An AI-caused recession requires the ownersof capital to hit a hard ceiling onspending and then refuse to invest therest, which is a very improbablecombination. Last stated 5 months ago 4 Jun 2026 AI Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: The AI boom will depress the demand for labor in the economy. — tap to centre the map on it The AI boom will depress the demandfor labor in the economy. Last stated 5 days ago 18 Oct 2026 PK Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-10-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Most macroeconomic models cannot describe the AI transition, because they assume a single output that converts one-for-one into capital or consumption. — tap to centre the map on it Most macroeconomic models cannotdescribe the AI transition, becausethey assume a single output thatconverts one-for-one into capital orconsumption. Last stated 5 months ago 4 Jun 2026 PT Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: If AI investment pulled back, the capital and resources involved would shift to other productive uses rather than sit idle. — tap to centre the map on it If AI investment pulled back, thecapital and resources involved wouldshift to other productive usesrather than sit idle. Last stated a month ago 10 Sept 2026 MY Matthew Yglesias — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: The long trend of making it easier for ordinary people to index more of the economy will resume, and AI itself will help by cutting the cost of going public. — tap to centre the map on it The long trend of making it easierfor ordinary people to index more ofthe economy will resume, and AIitself will help by cutting the costof going public. Last stated 5 months ago 4 Jun 2026 PT Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI, not macroeconomic factors like interest rates, is directly responsible for a significant share of current job losses. — tap to centre the map on it AI, not macroeconomic factors likeinterest rates, is directlyresponsible for a significant shareof current job losses. Last stated 2 months ago 28 Aug 2026 CN Casey Newton — holds since 2026-08-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: The simplest explanation for rising long-term interest rates is a surge in demand for funds from the AI boom. — tap to centre the map on it The simplest explanation for risinglong-term interest rates is a surgein demand for funds from the AIboom. Last stated a month ago 10 Sept 2026 PK Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI may bring about widespread supply- and technologically-induced deflation. — tap to centre the map on it AI may bring about widespreadsupply- and technologically-induceddeflation. Last stated a week ago 13 Oct 2026 JC John H. Cochrane — holds since 2026-10-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. — tap to centre the map on it We are already in an intelligenceexplosion and have been for decades,so AI will show up as more of thesame exponential rather than a breakin it. Last stated a year ago 17 Oct 2025 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company must cut half its engineers to pay for the other half's tokens, and that is what the layoffs are actually about. — tap to centre the map on it A company must cut half itsengineers to pay for the otherhalf's tokens, and that is what thelayoffs are actually about. Last stated 7 months ago 11 Mar 2026 SY Steve Yegge — holds since 2026-03-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: A likely outcome is that many occupations are eventually mostly replaced by AI while humans still have plenty to do. — tap to centre the map on it A likely outcome is that manyoccupations are eventually mostlyreplaced by AI while humans stillhave plenty to do. Last stated 2 months ago 7 Sept 2026 NS Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A lot of jobs will probably be created because of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A lot of jobs will probably becreated because of AI. Last stated 4 weeks ago 27 Sept 2026 MG Molly Graham — holds since 2026-09-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI will not eliminate software engineering jobs, but engineers who are highly skilled with AI tools could displace those who are not. — tap to centre the map on it AI will not eliminate softwareengineering jobs, but engineers whoare highly skilled with AI toolscould displace those who are not. Last stated 6 months ago 27 Apr 2026 JS Jon Seager — holds since 2026-04-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: As a capability becomes abundant, its remaining scarce complements become more valuable. — tap to centre the map on it As a capability becomes abundant,its remaining scarce complementsbecome more valuable. Last stated a month ago 13 Sept 2026 VR Venkatesh Rao — holds since 2026-09-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Leaning on AI trades knowledge for speed, and the price may be a generation of programmers in which juniors stay juniors forever. — tap to centre the map on it Leaning on AI trades knowledge forspeed, and the price may be ageneration of programmers in whichjuniors stay juniors forever. Last stated 2 years ago 22 Mar 2025 TH ThePrimeagen — holds since 2025-03-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI coding assistants are leveling the skill gap between software developers who can afford to use them. — tap to centre the map on it AI coding assistants are levelingthe skill gap between softwaredevelopers who can afford to usethem. Last stated 6 months ago 3 May 2026 YX Yihui Xie — holds since 2026-05-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI coding assistants remove repetitive work without replacing human judgment. — tap to centre the map on it AI coding assistants removerepetitive work without replacinghuman judgment. Last stated 8 months ago 17 Feb 2026 EB Emanuele Bartolesi — holds since 2026-02-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI models have reached the level of a junior engineer on longer-running, agent-based coding tasks. — tap to centre the map on it AI models have reached the level ofa junior engineer on longer-running,agent-based coding tasks. Last stated 3 months ago 30 Jul 2026 JD Jeff Dean — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are
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At the centre An AI-caused recession requires the owners of capital to hit a hard ceiling on spending and then refuse to invest the rest, which is a very improbable combination. Last stated 4 Jun 2026 · 5 months ago Holds Alex Imas Read this korrent →