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← A statistical system that knows when it is wrong is a contradiction in terms.

17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 8 Feb 2022 to 21 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under AI writing AI writing Everything filed under OpenAI OpenAI Everything filed under scaling laws scaling laws Everything filed under AI and science AI and science Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under benchmarks benchmarks Everything filed under design design Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: A statistical system that knows when it is wrong is a contradiction in terms. A statistical system that knows when it iswrong is a contradiction in terms. Last stated a year ago 2 Sept 2025 BE Benedict Evans — holds since 2025-09-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI systems built on statistical inference cannot form intent, because they have nothing with which to form it. — tap to centre the map on it AI systems built on statisticalinference cannot form intent,because they have nothing with whichto form it. Last stated a month ago 21 Sept 2026 CD Cory Doctorow — holds since 2026-09-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: There is no route to AI alignment or safety that goes around reliability: a system that cannot reliably follow a known algorithm cannot be made safe. — tap to centre the map on it There is no route to AI alignment orsafety that goes around reliability:a system that cannot reliably followa known algorithm cannot be madesafe. Last stated a year ago 7 Jun 2025 GM Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: The error rate of these AI-generated mathematical results is impressively low. — tap to centre the map on it The error rate of these AI-generatedmathematical results is impressivelylow. Last stated 2 weeks ago 9 Oct 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-10-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: Success is probably measured wrongly when it is judged by the amount of output or the quality of that output. — tap to centre the map on it Success is probably measured wronglywhen it is judged by the amount ofoutput or the quality of thatoutput. Last stated 3 months ago 21 Jul 2026 PS Pablo Stanley — holds since 2026-07-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: No single way of modeling data and methods in code is universally correct; every approach is just a set of trade-offs. — tap to centre the map on it No single way of modeling data andmethods in code is universallycorrect; every approach is just aset of trade-offs. Last stated 5 years ago 8 Feb 2022 PH Phil Hagelberg — holds since 2022-02-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: Failing to adjust raw data for known measurement biases produces inaccurate results. — tap to centre the map on it Failing to adjust raw data for knownmeasurement biases producesinaccurate results. Last stated 3 months ago 27 Jul 2026 AD Andrew Dessler — holds since 2026-07-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: Because large language models behave chaotically, a single overall accuracy score cannot capture how reliable they are. — tap to centre the map on it Because large language models behavechaotically, a single overallaccuracy score cannot capture howreliable they are. Last stated 6 months ago 15 Apr 2026 KK Kyle Kingsbury — holds since 2026-04-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: How much machine learning can help a biological problem is set by the quality of the data around that problem, not by the algorithms. — tap to centre the map on it How much machine learning can help abiological problem is set by thequality of the data around thatproblem, not by the algorithms. Last stated 2 years ago 19 Sept 2024 DL Derek Lowe — holds since 2024-09-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: A PHP vulnerability found with GPT-5.6 Sol will cause havoc this week. — tap to centre the map on it A PHP vulnerability found withGPT-5.6 Sol will cause havoc thisweek. Last stated 2 days ago 21 Oct 2026 PS Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-10-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it A startup should not begin life as anonprofit and bolt a for-profit armon later, whatever OpenAI's ownhistory suggests. Last stated 3 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers. — tap to centre the map on it Advertising was a necessary phasefor the internet but a momentaryindustry, and an AI people pay foris better because they know theanswers are not influenced byadvertisers. Last stated 3 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: "Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next. — tap to centre the map on it "Scaling" was powerful because itwas one word: naming a researchdirection is what tells a wholefield what to do next. Last stated 11 months ago 25 Nov 2025 IS Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark result should bereported under a stated budget, oras a curve against test-time compute— never as a single number. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. — tap to centre the map on it A lab should spend most of itscompute on research rather than onbuilding the next model, becauseresearch is where the tenfold yearlyefficiency gains come from. Last stated 7 months ago 13 Mar 2026 DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: A CEO who sends out an AI-written strategy memo is modelling that it is fine to outsource thinking and strategy. — tap to centre the map on it A CEO who sends out an AI-writtenstrategy memo is modelling that itis fine to outsource thinking andstrategy. Last stated 4 weeks ago 27 Sept 2026 MG Molly Graham — holds since 2026-09-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: A stream of AI-written papers with any error rate at all becomes insufferable, because finding the error costs more than the paper is worth even at ninety-nine percent. — tap to centre the map on it A stream of AI-written papers withany error rate at all becomesinsufferable, because finding theerror costs more than the paper isworth even at ninety-nine percent. Last stated 4 months ago 30 Jun 2026 GS Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI can now produce in minutes work that used to take weeks to build. — tap to centre the map on it AI can now produce in minutes workthat used to take weeks to build. Last stated 5 months ago 26 May 2026 CB Carlos Alexandro Becker — holds since 2026-05-26 — tap for who they are
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At the centre A statistical system that knows when it is wrong is a contradiction in terms. Last stated 2 Sept 2025 · a year ago Holds Benedict Evans Read this korrent →