What Miles Brundage thinks about scaling laws

@miles-brundage · 33 positions · On ppll ↗

Independent AI policy researcher. Was head of policy research and then senior adviser for AGI readiness at OpenAI until October 2024, and now writes about AI governance from outside the labs.

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1 dated position, 2025, in their own words. Our reading of what Miles Brundage has said — not written or endorsed by them.

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1. 2 Feb 2025

   Our readingAI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard.

   Their wordsGPT-2, R1, and nearly every other AI model released since 2018 have all been part of a consistent story: AI capabilities that rival and ultimately exceed human intelligence are easier and cheaper to build than almost anyone can intuitively grasp, and this gets easier and cheaper every month.

   ↗The Real Lesson of DeepSeek's R1milesbrundage.substack.com 1st of 3 in this piece