korrents
Dario Amodei

Dario Amodei

@dario-amodei · 43 positions · On ppll ↗

Co-founder and CEO of Anthropic; previously VP of research at OpenAI.

Dario Amodei did not write this page.

We collected these quotes from things they published elsewhere, and every quote links to where it was said. They have no account here and have not endorsed this site. Quotes are word for word; the short line under each one is our own restatement, not their wording. Their own site. Is this you? Claim it or ask us to remove it. Or tell us what is wrong here.

3 of Dario Amodei's claims fit 3 mental models. Most often: Exponential growth, Incentives, Margin of safety.

Models they name

Their own words name the idea.

Exponential growth

Growth that doubles looks like nothing for a long time and then like everything; intuition is linear and gets it wrong.

Used by 13 others

The most surprising thing about the last three years is not the technology but how few people recognise we are near the end of the exponential.

  1. Dario Amodei Co-founder and CEO of Anthropic I will tell you though what the most surprising thing has been. The most surprising thing has been the lack of public recognition of how close we are to the end of the exponential. Dario Amodei — “We are near the end of the exponential”youtube.com · 13 Feb 2026 · 0:00:48 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    Their wordsI will tell you though what the most surprising thing has been. The most surprising thing has been the lack of public recognition of how close we are to the end of the exponential.

    Where this was said

    Watch from 0:00:48 plays here

    ↗Dario Amodei — “We are near the end of the exponential”youtube.com

    13 Feb 2026 · video · 2h 22m · spoken · machine transcript

Models we see in what they say

Our reading: their claim applies the idea without naming it. The claim is theirs; filing it here is ours.

Incentives

Look at what people are rewarded for; it explains more behaviour than what they say, your own included.

Used by 85 others

Chip export controls to China keep failing not because the case is weak but because there is too much money riding on the sale.

  1. Dario Amodei Co-founder and CEO of Anthropic The counterarguments against it are I'll politely call them fishy. Um, uh and yet it doesn't happen and we sell the chips because there's there's so much money. There's so much money riding on it. Dario Amodei — “We are near the end of the exponential”youtube.com · 13 Feb 2026 · 1:45:52 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    Their wordsThe counterarguments against it are I'll politely call them fishy. Um, uh and yet it doesn't happen and we sell the chips because there's there's so much money. There's so much money riding on it.

    Where this was said

    Watch from 1:45:52 plays here

    ↗Dario Amodei — “We are near the end of the exponential”youtube.com

    13 Feb 2026 · video · 2h 22m · spoken · machine transcript

Margin of safety

Leave room for being wrong, because sometimes you will be.

Used by 28 others

If a lab is off by a single year in its revenue forecast, no hedge on Earth stops the compute it already bought from bankrupting it.

  1. Dario Amodei Co-founder and CEO of Anthropic And if my if my revenue is not a trillion dollars, if it's even 800 billion, there's no force on Earth. There's there's no hedge on Earth that could stop me from going bankrupt if I if I buy that much compute. Dario Amodei — “We are near the end of the exponential”youtube.com · 13 Feb 2026 · 0:51:45 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    Their wordsAnd if my if my revenue is not a trillion dollars, if it's even 800 billion, there's no force on Earth. There's there's no hedge on Earth that could stop me from going bankrupt if I if I buy that much compute.

    Where this was said

    Watch from 0:51:45 plays here

    ↗Dario Amodei — “We are near the end of the exponential”youtube.com

    13 Feb 2026 · video · 2h 22m · spoken · machine transcript