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← Whether AI will transform the economy is still unsettled, with little…
17 connected korrents · 16 moments on record from 5 Nov 2019 to 15 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under LLMs
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Everything filed under AI and jobs
AI and jobs
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measuring intelligence
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mathematics Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Whether AI will transform the economy is still unsettled, with little evidence so far of massive job losses or soaring productivity growth Whether AI will transform the economy is still unsettled, with little evidence so far of massive job losses or soaring productivity growth Last stated today
15 Sept 2026
PK
Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Economic growth from AI waits on change management, not on model capability: the work artifact and the workflow have to change first. — tap to centre the map on it Economic growth from AI waits on change management, not on model capability: the work artifact and the workflow have to change first. Last stated 10 months ago
12 Nov 2025
SN
Satya Nadella — holds since 2025-11-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Most current predictions about AI's imminent impact on the job market are naive. — tap to centre the map on it Most current predictions about AI's imminent impact on the job market are naive. Last stated 12 months ago
25 Sept 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-09-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The absence of a visible productivity jump from AI proves nothing, because a real ten percent uplift across the board would be impressive and almost invisible from outside. — tap to centre the map on it The absence of a visible productivity jump from AI proves nothing, because a real ten percent uplift across the board would be impressive and almost invisible from outside. Last stated 3 weeks ago
26 Aug 2026
CM
Casey Muratori — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. — tap to centre the map on it We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. Last stated 11 months ago
17 Oct 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Broad deployment of AI that can learn on the job will very likely produce rapid economic growth for some period of time. — tap to centre the map on it Broad deployment of AI that can learn on the job will very likely produce rapid economic growth for some period of time. Last stated 10 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The software job losses of the past few years were caused more by the end of zero-interest-rate money and the post-COVID crash than by AI. — tap to centre the map on it The software job losses of the past few years were caused more by the end of zero-interest-rate money and the post-COVID crash than by AI. Last stated 2 months ago
29 Jul 2026
HW
Hillel Wayne — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is no private evidence behind frontier-lab confidence in fast AI progress; the evidence is public and outsiders have simply not absorbed it. — tap to centre the map on it There is no private evidence behind frontier-lab confidence in fast AI progress; the evidence is public and outsiders have simply not absorbed it. Last stated 2 years ago
20 Dec 2024
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2024-12-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: It would be disappointing and surprising if the next five years of AI progress in mathematics produced no economically valuable improvements traceable to it. — tap to centre the map on it It would be disappointing and surprising if the next five years of AI progress in mathematics produced no economically valuable improvements traceable to it. Last stated 3 months ago
30 Jun 2026
GS
Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company must cut half its engineers to pay for the other half's tokens, and that is what the layoffs are actually about. — tap to centre the map on it A company must cut half its engineers to pay for the other half's tokens, and that is what the layoffs are actually about. Last stated 6 months ago
11 Mar 2026
SY
Steve Yegge — holds since 2026-03-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A productivity improvement means fewer people doing the same job, and that should be said plainly by the people defending it as good. — tap to centre the map on it A productivity improvement means fewer people doing the same job, and that should be said plainly by the people defending it as good. Last stated 3 weeks ago
26 Aug 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A universal basic income is a dangerous power-sharing arrangement, because it puts everyone's basic needs at the mercy of whoever holds office. — tap to centre the map on it A universal basic income is a dangerous power-sharing arrangement, because it puts everyone's basic needs at the mercy of whoever holds office. Last stated 3 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. Last stated 2 months ago
15 Jul 2026
DH
Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A child who has seen ten cats learns what a machine needs the whole internet of cat photos for, by a learning pathway nobody has solved. — tap to centre the map on it A child who has seen ten cats learns what a machine needs the whole internet of cat photos for, by a learning pathway nobody has solved. Last stated a month ago
10 Aug 2026
FL
Fei-Fei Li — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A frontier model is measurably more intelligent with no system prompt at all; the prompts that remain are there for the product, not the model. — tap to centre the map on it A frontier model is measurably more intelligent with no system prompt at all; the prompts that remain are there for the product, not the model. Last stated 2 months ago
27 Jul 2026
BC
Boris Cherny — holds since 2026-07-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: If intelligence is the process of acquiring skills, no single task demonstrates intelligence unless it is a meta-task of skill-acquisition across many tasks. — tap to centre the map on it If intelligence is the process of acquiring skills, no single task demonstrates intelligence unless it is a meta-task of skill-acquisition across many tasks. Last stated 7 years ago
5 Nov 2019
FC
François Chollet — holds since 2019-11-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Language models are already a form of AGI; what the labs are chasing is a further step, not the arrival of general intelligence. — tap to centre the map on it Language models are already a form of AGI; what the labs are chasing is a further step, not the arrival of general intelligence. Last stated 2 years ago
3 Feb 2025
NL
Nathan Lambert — holds since 2025-02-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Solely measuring skill at any given task falls short of measuring intelligence, because skill is heavily modulated by prior knowledge and experience. — tap to centre the map on it Solely measuring skill at any given task falls short of measuring intelligence, because skill is heavily modulated by prior knowledge and experience. Last stated 7 years ago
5 Nov 2019
FC
François Chollet — holds since 2019-11-05 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Whether AI will transform the economy is still unsettled, with little evidence so far of massive job losses or soaring productivity growth
Holds PK Paul KrugmanRead this korrent →
Economic growth from AI waits on change management, not on model capability: the work artifact and the workflow have to change first.
Holds SN Satya Nadella
Most current predictions about AI's imminent impact on the job market are naive.
Holds
The absence of a visible productivity jump from AI proves nothing, because a real ten percent uplift across the board would be impressive and almost invisible from outside.
Holds CM Casey Muratori
We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it.
Holds
Broad deployment of AI that can learn on the job will very likely produce rapid economic growth for some period of time.
Holds IS Ilya Sutskever
The software job losses of the past few years were caused more by the end of zero-interest-rate money and the post-COVID crash than by AI.
Holds HW Hillel Wayne
There is no private evidence behind frontier-lab confidence in fast AI progress; the evidence is public and outsiders have simply not absorbed it.
Holds MB Miles Brundage
It would be disappointing and surprising if the next five years of AI progress in mathematics produced no economically valuable improvements traceable to it.
Holds GS Grant Sanderson
A company must cut half its engineers to pay for the other half's tokens, and that is what the layoffs are actually about.
Holds SY Steve Yegge
A productivity improvement means fewer people doing the same job, and that should be said plainly by the people defending it as good.
Holds
A universal basic income is a dangerous power-sharing arrangement, because it puts everyone's basic needs at the mercy of whoever holds office.
Holds AI Alex Imas
A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.
Holds DH Dex Horthy
A child who has seen ten cats learns what a machine needs the whole internet of cat photos for, by a learning pathway nobody has solved.
Holds FL Fei-Fei Li
A frontier model is measurably more intelligent with no system prompt at all; the prompts that remain are there for the product, not the model.
Holds
If intelligence is the process of acquiring skills, no single task demonstrates intelligence unless it is a meta-task of skill-acquisition across many tasks.
Holds
Language models are already a form of AGI; what the labs are chasing is a further step, not the arrival of general intelligence.
Holds NL Nathan Lambert
Solely measuring skill at any given task falls short of measuring intelligence, because skill is heavily modulated by prior knowledge and experience.
Holds