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← Wanting badly to launch is itself a hazard: the pressure to fly is what turns small anomalies into accidents.
17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 31 Jan 2013 to 24 Aug 2026.
Everything filed under aviation
aviation
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AI alignment
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physics
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America
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space
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nuclear power
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self-driving cars
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ambition Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Wanting badly to launch is itself a hazard: the pressure to fly is what turns small anomalies into accidents. Wanting badly to launch is itself a hazard: the pressure to fly is what turns small anomalies into accidents. Last stated 8 years ago
3 Mar 2019
WH
Wayne Hale — holds since 2019-03-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Anomalies cannot be sorted in advance: the same move that found Neptune failed completely for Mercury, so a field has to pursue both answers at once. — tap to centre the map on it Anomalies cannot be sorted in advance: the same move that found Neptune failed completely for Mercury, so a field has to pursue both answers at once. Last stated 7 months ago
7 Apr 2026
MN
Michael Nielsen — holds since 2026-04-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Loss-of-control accidents with AI have stopped being theoretical: one has now happened, and the goalposts moved rather than the risk receding. — tap to centre the map on it Loss-of-control accidents with AI have stopped being theoretical: one has now happened, and the goalposts moved rather than the risk receding. Last stated 3 months ago
28 Jul 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The Challenger accident was caused by managers who suppressed engineers' safety concerns for venal reasons. — tap to centre the map on it The Challenger accident was caused by managers who suppressed engineers' safety concerns for venal reasons. Last stated 14 years ago
31 Jan 2013
WH
Wayne Hale — no longer holds since 2013-01-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Spaceflight is not safe by any ordinary standard of safety, and pretending otherwise is what kills crews. — tap to centre the map on it Spaceflight is not safe by any ordinary standard of safety, and pretending otherwise is what kills crews. Last stated 2 years ago
5 Aug 2024
WH
Wayne Hale — holds since 2024-08-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Nuclear safety should be pursued by reducing the consequence of an accident rather than its odds, because something unpredictable always happens. — tap to centre the map on it Nuclear safety should be pursued by reducing the consequence of an accident rather than its odds, because something unpredictable always happens. Last stated 2 months ago
15 Aug 2026
IT
Isaiah Taylor — holds since 2026-08-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The AI safety community's fixation on a model escaping its box has pushed the other significant AI risks out of the discussion, with little progress to show for it. — tap to centre the map on it The AI safety community's fixation on a model escaping its box has pushed the other significant AI risks out of the discussion, with little progress to show for it. Last stated 3 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: One company doing one ill-advised thing damages an entire emerging industry, which is why safety is a shared problem rather than a competitive one. — tap to centre the map on it One company doing one ill-advised thing damages an entire emerging industry, which is why safety is a shared problem rather than a competitive one. Last stated 3 years ago
29 Dec 2023
PK
Philip Koopman — holds since 2023-12-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Being told to be realistic about your ambitions is how ambitions fail; the boundaries people accept about what they can do are the ones that stop them. — tap to centre the map on it Being told to be realistic about your ambitions is how ambitions fail; the boundaries people accept about what they can do are the ones that stop them. Last stated 2 months ago
24 Aug 2026
MH
Masud Husain — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A functioning institution is a rare exception and never grows by itself: it was assembled by a founder with good judgement. — tap to centre the map on it A functioning institution is a rare exception and never grows by itself: it was assembled by a founder with good judgement. Last stated 8 years ago
9 Jul 2018
SB
Samo Burja — holds since 2018-07-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A hybrid-electric airliner ends up heavier and more complex than the aircraft it replaces and delivers no fuel saving at all. — tap to centre the map on it A hybrid-electric airliner ends up heavier and more complex than the aircraft it replaces and delivers no fuel saving at all. Last stated 6 years ago
2 Apr 2021
BF
Bjorn Fehrm — holds since 2021-04-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A radically new product needs many separate technologies to arrive together, and waiting for that convergence can take decades. — tap to centre the map on it A radically new product needs many separate technologies to arrive together, and waiting for that convergence can take decades. Last stated 4 years ago
5 Nov 2022
RB
Rodney Brooks — holds since 2022-11-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Batteries are a long way from rivalling liquid fuels; superbatteries for intercontinental flight may not arrive even by 2070 — tap to centre the map on it Batteries are a long way from rivalling liquid fuels; superbatteries for intercontinental flight may not arrive even by 2070 Last stated 4 years ago
29 Nov 2022
VS
Vaclav Smil — holds since 2022-11-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Battery-electric airliners do not work even on optimistic assumptions, and the arithmetic said so before anyone built one. — tap to centre the map on it Battery-electric airliners do not work even on optimistic assumptions, and the arithmetic said so before anyone built one. Last stated 6 years ago
2 Apr 2021
BF
Bjorn Fehrm — holds since 2021-04-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The multicopter air taxi is energy-intensive by construction, which holds its range to about twenty miles however good the batteries get. — tap to centre the map on it The multicopter air taxi is energy-intensive by construction, which holds its range to about twenty miles however good the batteries get. Last stated 4 years ago
8 Jul 2022
BF
Bjorn Fehrm — holds since 2022-07-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A small, highly aerodynamic aircraft can beat an airliner on fuel per passenger mile, because drag reduction gets harder as the fuselage grows. — tap to centre the map on it A small, highly aerodynamic aircraft can beat an airliner on fuel per passenger mile, because drag reduction gets harder as the fuselage grows. Last stated 5 years ago
by 25 Oct 2021
AV
Austin Vernon — holds since 2021-10-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A supersonic engine can be sold on the ground as a power turbine, and that is how you finance an airliner nobody would otherwise fund. — tap to centre the map on it A supersonic engine can be sold on the ground as a power turbine, and that is how you finance an airliner nobody would otherwise fund. Last stated 3 months ago
28 Jul 2026
BS
Blake Scholl — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI's energy use is an easier end-use to decarbonize than aviation. — tap to centre the map on it AI's energy use is an easier end-use to decarbonize than aviation. Last stated 3 months ago
5 Aug 2026
ZH
Zeke Hausfather — holds since 2026-08-05 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Wanting badly to launch is itself a hazard: the pressure to fly is what turns small anomalies into accidents.
Holds Read this korrent →
Anomalies cannot be sorted in advance: the same move that found Neptune failed completely for Mercury, so a field has to pursue both answers at once.
Holds
Loss-of-control accidents with AI have stopped being theoretical: one has now happened, and the goalposts moved rather than the risk receding.
Holds
The Challenger accident was caused by managers who suppressed engineers' safety concerns for venal reasons.
No longer holds
Spaceflight is not safe by any ordinary standard of safety, and pretending otherwise is what kills crews.
Holds
Nuclear safety should be pursued by reducing the consequence of an accident rather than its odds, because something unpredictable always happens.
Holds
The AI safety community's fixation on a model escaping its box has pushed the other significant AI risks out of the discussion, with little progress to show for it.
Holds
One company doing one ill-advised thing damages an entire emerging industry, which is why safety is a shared problem rather than a competitive one.
Holds
Being told to be realistic about your ambitions is how ambitions fail; the boundaries people accept about what they can do are the ones that stop them.
Holds
A functioning institution is a rare exception and never grows by itself: it was assembled by a founder with good judgement.
Holds
A hybrid-electric airliner ends up heavier and more complex than the aircraft it replaces and delivers no fuel saving at all.
Holds
A radically new product needs many separate technologies to arrive together, and waiting for that convergence can take decades.
Holds
Batteries are a long way from rivalling liquid fuels; superbatteries for intercontinental flight may not arrive even by 2070
Holds
Battery-electric airliners do not work even on optimistic assumptions, and the arithmetic said so before anyone built one.
Holds
The multicopter air taxi is energy-intensive by construction, which holds its range to about twenty miles however good the batteries get.
Holds
A small, highly aerodynamic aircraft can beat an airliner on fuel per passenger mile, because drag reduction gets harder as the fuselage grows.
Holds
A supersonic engine can be sold on the ground as a power turbine, and that is how you finance an airliner nobody would otherwise fund.
Holds
AI's energy use is an easier end-use to decarbonize than aviation.
Holds