korrents

On the map

Tap a claim on the ring to put it at the centre.

← This decade, AI could propose a conjecture connecting two things…

17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 7 Sept 2008 to 24 Aug 2026.

Everything filed under AI and science AI and science Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under mathematics mathematics Everything filed under AGI AGI In tensionIn tensionSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: This decade, AI could propose a conjecture connecting two things nobody thought were related, with a real chance of it being correct and meaningful. This decade, AI could propose a conjectureconnecting two things nobody thought wererelated, with a real chance of it beingcorrect and meaningful. Last stated a year ago 14 Jun 2025 TT Terence Tao — holds since 2025-06-14 — tap for who they are In tension: AI in chess and mathematics does not explain anything; it says which position is better, and humans build the theory from that. — tap to centre the map on it AI in chess and mathematics does notexplain anything; it says whichposition is better, and humans buildthe theory from that. Last stated a year ago 14 Jun 2025 LF Lex Fridman — holds since 2025-06-14 — tap for who they are In tension: Current AI models cannot produce insights beyond human understanding, however impressive they seem — tap to centre the map on it Current AI models cannot produceinsights beyond human understanding,however impressive they seem Last stated a year ago 23 Jun 2025 EM Ethan Mollick — holds since 2025-06-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: As AI advances, thinking philosophically about its implications will become a common job and pastime for large numbers of people. — tap to centre the map on it As AI advances, thinkingphilosophically about itsimplications will become a commonjob and pastime for large numbers ofpeople. Last stated 2 months ago 24 Aug 2026 JC Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: It would be disappointing and surprising if the next five years of AI progress in mathematics produced no economically valuable improvements traceable to it. — tap to centre the map on it It would be disappointing andsurprising if the next five years ofAI progress in mathematics producedno economically valuableimprovements traceable to it. Last stated 4 months ago 30 Jun 2026 GS Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: Within a decade AI will do the bulk of what mathematicians spend their time on, and we will discover that was never the important part of the job. — tap to centre the map on it Within a decade AI will do the bulkof what mathematicians spend theirtime on, and we will discover thatwas never the important part of thejob. Last stated 7 months ago 20 Mar 2026 TT Terence Tao — holds since 2026-03-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI is likely to help people be smarter. — tap to centre the map on it AI is likely to help people besmarter. Last stated 3 years ago 14 May 2023 JG John Graham-Cumming — holds since 2023-05-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level artificial intelligenceis plausibly centuries or millenniaaway, and no trend supports ashorter estimate. Last stated 3 years ago 13 Dec 2023 SA Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are SA Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Neither the AI enthusiasts nor the AI sceptics are making it up; both camps are looking at real trends. — tap to centre the map on it Neither the AI enthusiasts nor theAI sceptics are making it up; bothcamps are looking at real trends. Last stated 2 months ago 12 Aug 2026 CM Charity Majors — holds since 2026-08-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI has changed software development enough that some old assumptions about it no longer hold. — tap to centre the map on it AI has changed software developmentenough that some old assumptionsabout it no longer hold. Last stated 9 months ago 15 Jan 2026 SK Steve Klabnik — holds since 2026-01-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: The mathematical problems whose solutions have not yet been invented will be solved by humans working alongside AI, not by either alone. — tap to centre the map on it The mathematical problems whosesolutions have not yet been inventedwill be solved by humans workingalongside AI, not by either alone. Last stated 2 months ago 10 Aug 2026 FL Fei-Fei Li — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: A compound's AI origin story is not by itself a reason to expect it to do better in the clinic. — tap to centre the map on it A compound's AI origin story is notby itself a reason to expect it todo better in the clinic. Last stated 2 years ago 13 May 2024 DL Derek Lowe — holds since 2024-05-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: A computational discovery platform does not make a biotech fast, because the thousand other steps of drug development are still the bottleneck. — tap to centre the map on it A computational discovery platformdoes not make a biotech fast,because the thousand other steps ofdrug development are still thebottleneck. Last stated 2 years ago 17 Sept 2024 AT Alex Telford — holds since 2024-09-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: A computational method can regularly predict protein structures with atomic accuracy even when no similar structure is known. — tap to centre the map on it A computational method can regularlypredict protein structures withatomic accuracy even when no similarstructure is known. Last stated 5 years ago 15 Jul 2021 DH Demis Hassabis — holds since 2021-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Accurate computational approaches are needed to close the protein structural coverage gap and enable large-scale structural bioinformatics. — tap to centre the map on it Accurate computational approachesare needed to close the proteinstructural coverage gap and enablelarge-scale structuralbioinformatics. Last stated 5 years ago 15 Jul 2021 DH Demis Hassabis — holds since 2021-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI models can be more accurate than physical experiments by averaging out noise, incorporating priors from large datasets, and interpolating between data points. — tap to centre the map on it AI models can be more accurate thanphysical experiments by averagingout noise, incorporating priors fromlarge datasets, and interpolatingbetween data points. Last stated 11 months ago 23 Nov 2025 EH Elliot Hershberg — holds since 2025-11-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI will not produce a big breakthrough in biological understanding any time soon, because biology has nothing like the clean, complete, high-quality data that made protein-structure prediction work. — tap to centre the map on it AI will not produce a bigbreakthrough in biologicalunderstanding any time soon, becausebiology has nothing like the clean,complete, high-quality data thatmade protein-structure predictionwork. Last stated 2 years ago 19 Sept 2024 DL Derek Lowe — holds since 2024-09-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: As AI systems get better at scientific research tasks, it becomes more likely they will soon be capable of improving and building themselves. — tap to centre the map on it As AI systems get better atscientific research tasks, itbecomes more likely they will soonbe capable of improving and buildingthemselves. Last stated 2 months ago 17 Aug 2026 JC Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-17 — tap for who they are
in tensionsame subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2008 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they arefaded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind

At the centre This decade, AI could propose a conjecture connecting two things nobody thought were related, with a real chance of it being correct and meaningful. Last stated 14 Jun 2025 · a year ago Holds Terence Tao Read this korrent →