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← AI systems are getting good at performing increasingly automated…

17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 12 Aug 2023 to 21 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under OpenAI OpenAI Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under recursive self-improvement recursive self-improvement Everything filed under AGI AGI Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: AI systems are getting good at performing increasingly automated science, as they already have at automated AI R&D. AI systems are getting good at performingincreasingly automated science, as theyalready have at automated AI R&D. Last stated 4 weeks ago 5 Oct 2026 JC Jack Clark — holds since 2026-10-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: As AI systems get better at scientific research tasks, it becomes more likely they will soon be capable of improving and building themselves. — tap to centre the map on it As AI systems get better atscientific research tasks, itbecomes more likely they will soonbe capable of improving and buildingthemselves. Last stated 2 months ago 17 Aug 2026 JC Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI research will be fully automated around 2030 or 2031, and AI will beat humans at essentially any job by about 2033. — tap to centre the map on it AI research will be fully automatedaround 2030 or 2031, and AI willbeat humans at essentially any jobby about 2033. Last stated 3 months ago 11 Aug 2026 RG Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: The pace of progress in AI, and in science as a whole, should be expected to speed up in the coming years. — tap to centre the map on it The pace of progress in AI, and inscience as a whole, should beexpected to speed up in the comingyears. Last stated 2 weeks ago 19 Oct 2026 JC Jack Clark — holds since 2026-10-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI systems built to automate science may be about to dramatically speed up the pace of scientific discovery. — tap to centre the map on it AI systems built to automate sciencemay be about to dramatically speedup the pace of scientific discovery. Last stated a month ago 28 Sept 2026 JC Jack Clark — holds since 2026-09-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: If AI systems can truly accelerate human scientists, we should prepare for a boom in demand for parts of the scientific supply chain. — tap to centre the map on it If AI systems can truly acceleratehuman scientists, we should preparefor a boom in demand for parts ofthe scientific supply chain. Last stated 4 weeks ago 5 Oct 2026 JC Jack Clark — holds since 2026-10-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: The likeliest bad path is not a coup but sloppiness: AI does everything verifiable well, research races ahead, and the subtle work of keeping AI safe is what gets done badly. — tap to centre the map on it The likeliest bad path is not a coupbut sloppiness: AI does everythingverifiable well, research racesahead, and the subtle work ofkeeping AI safe is what gets donebadly. Last stated 3 months ago 11 Aug 2026 RG Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI is likely to become a more relevant issue before 2028. — tap to centre the map on it AI is likely to become a morerelevant issue before 2028. Last stated 3 weeks ago 6 Oct 2026 NS Nate Silver — holds since 2026-10-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI research is on a good trajectory overall — good for science and good for society — and existential concerns will only become relevant in the distant future. — tap to centre the map on it AI research is on a good trajectoryoverall — good for science and goodfor society — and existentialconcerns will only become relevantin the distant future. Last stated 3 years ago 12 Aug 2023 YB Yoshua Bengio — holds since 2023-08-12 — tap for who they are YB Yoshua Bengio — no longer holds since 2023-08-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supplychain should just buy the index —which works only in the world whereAI ends up commoditised rather thanconcentrated. Last stated 5 months ago 4 Jun 2026 AI Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. — tap to centre the map on it A language model is no substitutefor a well-specified conventionalalgorithm, so it cannot simply bedropped into a complex problem andtrusted. Last stated a year ago 7 Jun 2025 GM Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A model that could learn effectively from raw bitstrings or bytestrings would be extremely powerful, able to learn from any data modality — tap to centre the map on it A model that could learn effectivelyfrom raw bitstrings or bytestringswould be extremely powerful, able tolearn from any data modality Last stated 3 years ago 10 Oct 2023 CH Chip Huyen — holds since 2023-10-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A badly written AI outbound email isevidence of a bad vendor, not of alimit of AI. Last stated 10 months ago 1 Jan 2026 JL Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does notgive you a smarter model; theintelligence of the model is whatdecides how much of that window itcan actually attend to. Last stated 4 months ago 15 Jul 2026 DH Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it A body of publications is easy forAI models to consume via pretrainingcorpora but cumbersome for mosthumans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts,and paywalls. Last stated a month ago 17 Sept 2026 PC Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: A PHP vulnerability found with GPT-5.6 Sol will cause havoc this week. — tap to centre the map on it A PHP vulnerability found withGPT-5.6 Sol will cause havoc thisweek. Last stated a week ago 21 Oct 2026 PS Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-10-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it A startup should not begin life as anonprofit and bolt a for-profit armon later, whatever OpenAI's ownhistory suggests. Last stated 3 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. — tap to centre the map on it A tiny language model inventing aplausible-sounding name is the samephenomenon as a large oneconfidently stating a false fact. Last stated 9 months ago 12 Feb 2026 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they arefaded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind

At the centre AI systems are getting good at performing increasingly automated science, as they already have at automated AI R&D. Last stated 5 Oct 2026 · 4 weeks ago Holds Jack Clark Read this korrent →