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← The wise bet heavily when the world offers them the odds, and not the rest of the time

17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 22 Feb 2022 to 3 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under investing investing Everything filed under ambition ambition Everything filed under optimism optimism Everything filed under design design Everything filed under happiness happiness Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: The wise bet heavily when the world offers them the odds, and not the rest of the time The wise bet heavily when the world offersthem the odds, and not the rest of thetime CM Charlie Munger — holds since c. 1994 — tap for who they are Same subject: A life spent without taking bets on being early on an idea is one not lived to the fullest — tap to centre the map on it A life spent without taking bets onbeing early on an idea is one notlived to the fullest Last stated 2 years ago 8 Jun 2024 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2024-06-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: It is a mistake, made even by many who think themselves wise, to believe the world holds more evil than good — tap to centre the map on it It is a mistake, made even by manywho think themselves wise, tobelieve the world holds more evilthan good MM Moses Maimonides — holds since c. 1190 — tap for who they are Same subject: Many highly intelligent people tend to be insecure and risk-averse. — tap to centre the map on it Many highly intelligent people tendto be insecure and risk-averse. Last stated 5 years ago 22 Feb 2022 NN Neel Nanda — holds since 2022-02-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: Investors have collectively absorbed the idea of increasing returns and power laws, and that belief is what makes them take ever more risk. — tap to centre the map on it Investors have collectively absorbedthe idea of increasing returns andpower laws, and that belief is whatmakes them take ever more risk. Last stated 4 months ago 9 Jun 2026 BG Bill Gurley — holds since 2026-06-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: A board game conquers the world when chance and strategy are in balance in it. — tap to centre the map on it A board game conquers the world whenchance and strategy are in balancein it. Last stated 10 months ago 12 Dec 2025 IF Irving Finkel — holds since 2025-12-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: To bear misfortune well, it is wise to have cultivated a width of interests in happier times — tap to centre the map on it To bear misfortune well, it is wiseto have cultivated a width ofinterests in happier times BR Bertrand Russell — holds since c. 1930 — tap for who they are Same subject: Giving something 60-40 odds and being wrong is not itself a mistake. — tap to centre the map on it Giving something 60-40 odds andbeing wrong is not itself a mistake. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Feb 2023 SA Scott Alexander — holds since 2023-02-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable. — tap to centre the map on it Thinking harder about a decision hasdiminishing returns because realityis inherently unknowable. Last stated 5 years ago 22 Feb 2022 NN Neel Nanda — holds since 2022-02-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bubble can only be identified in retrospect, so arguing about whether one is happening now cannot be settled now. — tap to centre the map on it A bubble can only be identified inretrospect, so arguing about whetherone is happening now cannot besettled now. Last stated 10 months ago 9 Dec 2025 HM Howard Marks — holds since 2025-12-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it A central bank can eliminate aself-fulfilling ('sunspot') debtcrisis simply by credibly committingto buy as many bonds as needed atthe low interest rate. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A government debt crisis is measurable and therefore visible well in advance; the diagnostic is mechanical rather than a matter of judgement. — tap to centre the map on it A government debt crisis ismeasurable and therefore visiblewell in advance; the diagnostic ismechanical rather than a matter ofjudgement. Last stated 2 months ago 21 Aug 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: Almost no mutual fund earns the fees it charges, so most investors are better off buying an index fund. — tap to centre the map on it Almost no mutual fund earns the feesit charges, so most investors arebetter off buying an index fund. Last stated 3 years ago 20 Feb 2024 BA Bill Ackman — holds since 2024-02-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: An investor's starting point should be the portfolio that is best to hold independent of any tactical market view — tap to centre the map on it An investor's starting point shouldbe the portfolio that is best tohold independent of any tacticalmarket view Last stated a month ago 25 Aug 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-02-19 — tap for who they are NM Nick Maggiulli — holds since 2026-08-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: At a market price-earnings ratio of twenty-three there is little upside and a long way to fall, where at fifteen there would be much less risk. — tap to centre the map on it At a market price-earnings ratio oftwenty-three there is little upsideand a long way to fall, where atfifteen there would be much lessrisk. Last stated a year ago 16 Jul 2025 JD Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: An investor who passes on a pitch they find truly novel will often still refer it to another investor, to get credit for having found it. — tap to centre the map on it An investor who passes on a pitchthey find truly novel will oftenstill refer it to another investor,to get credit for having found it. Last stated 2 months ago 5 Aug 2026 ZH Zach Holman — holds since 2026-08-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: Being formidable means getting what you want in any situation, and that is exactly why investors want it: a formidable founder's interests and theirs are the same. — tap to centre the map on it Being formidable means getting whatyou want in any situation, and thatis exactly why investors want it: aformidable founder's interests andtheirs are the same. Last stated a month ago 3 Sept 2026 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: If whatever is being done is done well enough, investors won't be needed at all. — tap to centre the map on it If whatever is being done is donewell enough, investors won't beneeded at all. Last stated a month ago 1 Sept 2026 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
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At the centre The wise bet heavily when the world offers them the odds, and not the rest of the time Last stated c. 1994 Holds Charlie Munger Read this korrent →