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← The West's biggest blindspot is repeatedly underestimating China's speed and capabilities.
17 connected korrents · 19 moments from 6 Dec 2012 to 24 Sept 2026. Nearly all of them are about America .
Everything filed under China
China
Everything filed under Russia
Russia
Everything filed under Europe
Europe
Everything filed under tariffs
tariffs
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Read this korrent: The West's biggest blindspot is repeatedly underestimating China's speed and capabilities.
The West's biggest blindspot is repeatedly underestimating China's speed and capabilities.
Last stated 3 months ago
29 Jul 2026
DW
Dan Wang — holds since 2024-01-23 — tap for who they are
PL
Pieter Levels — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it
A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world.
Last stated 2 months ago
18 Aug 2026
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy. — tap to centre the map on it
A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
24 Sept 2026
PK
Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments. — tap to centre the map on it
A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments.
Last stated 14 years ago
6 Dec 2012
PT
Philip Tetlock — holds since 2012-12-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A superpower's deferential posture toward rival great powers can alienate its allies while yielding no strategic payoff in return. — tap to centre the map on it
A superpower's deferential posture toward rival great powers can alienate its allies while yielding no strategic payoff in return.
Last stated a month ago
2 Sept 2026
DD
Daniel W. Drezner — holds since 2026-09-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Almost nobody in America is paying attention to the space race with China, and a Chinese landing at the lunar south pole will change that. — tap to centre the map on it
Almost nobody in America is paying attention to the space race with China, and a Chinese landing at the lunar south pole will change that.
Last stated 2 months ago
18 Aug 2026
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: America cannot simply copy China's manufacturing methods, because which technology is correct depends on the local price of labour. — tap to centre the map on it
America cannot simply copy China's manufacturing methods, because which technology is correct depends on the local price of labour.
Last stated 8 months ago
12 Feb 2026
AV
Austin Vernon — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: America cannot win manufacturing back by repatriating what left; it wins only by inventing the next wave of manufacturing and building that here. — tap to centre the map on it
America cannot win manufacturing back by repatriating what left; it wins only by inventing the next wave of manufacturing and building that here.
Last stated 3 months ago
28 Jul 2026
BS
Blake Scholl — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: America will keep leading on zero-to-one breakthroughs, but it is diffusion that decides how much productivity a technology actually releases, and China is better at that. — tap to centre the map on it
America will keep leading on zero-to-one breakthroughs, but it is diffusion that decides how much productivity a technology actually releases, and China is better at that.
Last stated a year ago
13 Aug 2025
KJ
Keyu Jin — holds since 2025-08-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country should raise revenue by tariffing foreign countries rather than by taxing its own citizens. — tap to centre the map on it
A country should raise revenue by tariffing foreign countries rather than by taxing its own citizens.
Last stated 2 years ago
20 Jan 2025
DT
Donald Trump — holds since 2025-01-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A trade dispute escalated by aggressive tariffs can still end in a negotiated outcome that leaves all sides better off. — tap to centre the map on it
A trade dispute escalated by aggressive tariffs can still end in a negotiated outcome that leaves all sides better off.
Last stated a year ago
30 May 2025
GS
Guy Spier — holds since 2025-05-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Cutting off trade with tariffs would force a huge interest-rate spike and probably a debt crisis, because the budget deficit would have to be financed at home. — tap to centre the map on it
Cutting off trade with tariffs would force a huge interest-rate spike and probably a debt crisis, because the budget deficit would have to be financed at home.
Last stated 2 years ago
14 Apr 2025
JC
John H. Cochrane — holds since 2025-04-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company doing something at the edge of the Overton window has to hold two cultures at once — the true believers and the serious professionals who think they are crazy — and integrating them is what makes it work. — tap to centre the map on it
A company doing something at the edge of the Overton window has to hold two cultures at once — the true believers and the serious professionals who think they are crazy — and integrating them is what makes it work.
Last stated 2 months ago
7 Aug 2026
MH
Max Hodak — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A heavily centralised state is the most fragile kind: when Rome’s centre failed, its successors were left without the resources or administration to do what it had done. — tap to centre the map on it
A heavily centralised state is the most fragile kind: when Rome’s centre failed, its successors were left without the resources or administration to do what it had done.
Last stated 5 years ago
28 Jan 2022
BD
Bret Devereaux — holds since 2022-01-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A new world order based on raw power is being drawn right now, and Europe has to fight for its place in it. — tap to centre the map on it
A new world order based on raw power is being drawn right now, and Europe has to fight for its place in it.
Last stated a year ago
10 Sept 2025
UL
Ursula von der Leyen — holds since 2025-09-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A ceasefire along the current lines would end the killing and still leave a long-term settlement between Russia and Ukraine possible. — tap to centre the map on it
A ceasefire along the current lines would end the killing and still leave a long-term settlement between Russia and Ukraine possible.
Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
BM
Branko Milanovic — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A pro-West stance is mostly right: a world more aligned with the CCP or Russia seems a bad one. — tap to centre the map on it
A pro-West stance is mostly right: a world more aligned with the CCP or Russia seems a bad one.
Last stated 2 years ago
15 Oct 2024
NQ
Nabeel S. Qureshi — holds since 2024-10-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Believing that Trump might yet help Ukraine is not harmless optimism: it is part of a manoeuvre that buys Putin time. — tap to centre the map on it
Believing that Trump might yet help Ukraine is not harmless optimism: it is part of a manoeuvre that buys Putin time.
Last stated 2 months ago
23 Aug 2026
PO
Phillips P. OBrien — holds since 2026-08-23 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2012 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
The West's biggest blindspot is repeatedly underestimating China's speed and capabilities.
Last stated 29 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Dan Wang Pieter Levels
Read this korrent →
Same subject: China, America
A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world.
Last stated 18 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Casey Handmer Eric Berger
Same subject: China, America
A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy.
Last stated 24 Sept 2026 · 3 weeks ago
Holds Paul Krugman
Same subject: China, America
A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments.
Last stated 6 Dec 2012 · 14 years ago
Holds Philip Tetlock
Same subject: China, America
A superpower's deferential posture toward rival great powers can alienate its allies while yielding no strategic payoff in return.
Last stated 2 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Daniel W. Drezner
Same subject: China, America
Almost nobody in America is paying attention to the space race with China, and a Chinese landing at the lunar south pole will change that.
Last stated 18 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Eric Berger
Same subject: China, America
America cannot simply copy China's manufacturing methods, because which technology is correct depends on the local price of labour.
Last stated 12 Feb 2026 · 8 months ago
Holds Austin Vernon
Same subject: China, America
America cannot win manufacturing back by repatriating what left; it wins only by inventing the next wave of manufacturing and building that here.
Last stated 28 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Blake Scholl
Same subject: China, America
America will keep leading on zero-to-one breakthroughs, but it is diffusion that decides how much productivity a technology actually releases, and China is better at that.
Last stated 13 Aug 2025 · a year ago
Holds Keyu Jin
Same subject: tariffs
A country should raise revenue by tariffing foreign countries rather than by taxing its own citizens.
Last stated 20 Jan 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds Donald Trump
Same subject: tariffs
A trade dispute escalated by aggressive tariffs can still end in a negotiated outcome that leaves all sides better off.
Last stated 30 May 2025 · a year ago
Holds Guy Spier
Same subject: tariffs
Cutting off trade with tariffs would force a huge interest-rate spike and probably a debt crisis, because the budget deficit would have to be financed at home.
Last stated 14 Apr 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds John H. Cochrane
Same subject: Europe
A company doing something at the edge of the Overton window has to hold two cultures at once — the true believers and the serious professionals who think they are crazy — and integrating them is what makes it work.
Last stated 7 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Max Hodak
Same subject: Europe
A heavily centralised state is the most fragile kind: when Rome’s centre failed, its successors were left without the resources or administration to do what it had done.
Last stated 28 Jan 2022 · 5 years ago
Holds Bret Devereaux
Same subject: Europe
A new world order based on raw power is being drawn right now, and Europe has to fight for its place in it.
Last stated 10 Sept 2025 · a year ago
Holds Ursula von der Leyen
Same subject: Russia
A ceasefire along the current lines would end the killing and still leave a long-term settlement between Russia and Ukraine possible.
Last stated 26 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Branko Milanovic
Same subject: Russia
A pro-West stance is mostly right: a world more aligned with the CCP or Russia seems a bad one.
Last stated 15 Oct 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Nabeel S. Qureshi
Same subject: Russia
Believing that Trump might yet help Ukraine is not harmless optimism: it is part of a manoeuvre that buys Putin time.
Last stated 23 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Phillips P. OBrien