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← The robustness of apparent biases about economics suggests that the judgemental anomaly is real.

17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 1 Apr 2002 to 4 Nov 2026.

Everything filed under behavioural science behavioural science Everything filed under attitude change attitude change Everything filed under management management Everything filed under motivation motivation Everything filed under economists economists Everything filed under optimism optimism Everything filed under market efficiency market efficiency Everything filed under tariffs tariffs Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: The robustness of apparent biases about economics suggests that the judgemental anomaly is real. The robustness of apparent biases abouteconomics suggests that the judgementalanomaly is real. Last stated 25 years ago 1 Apr 2002 BC Bryan Caplan — holds since 2002-04-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Differences between the public's and economists' economic views do not solely reflect economists' self-serving bias. — tap to centre the map on it Differences between the public's andeconomists' economic views do notsolely reflect economists'self-serving bias. Last stated 25 years ago 1 Apr 2002 BC Bryan Caplan — holds since 2002-04-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: The direction of polling bias is unpredictable — tap to centre the map on it The direction of polling bias isunpredictable Last stated yesterday 4 Nov 2026 NS Nate Silver — holds since 2026-11-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: Debiasing has largely failed, and that is fine, because the biases identified are experience-built heuristics that only look like biases in hindsight. — tap to centre the map on it Debiasing has largely failed, andthat is fine, because the biasesidentified are experience-builtheuristics that only look likebiases in hindsight. Last stated 4 years ago 9 Aug 2022 GK Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: Far more probability estimates err on the over-optimistic side than the under-optimistic side. — tap to centre the map on it Far more probability estimates erron the over-optimistic side than theunder-optimistic side. Last stated 8 years ago 14 May 2018 SP Shane Parrish — holds since 2018-05-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: Differences between the public's and economists' positive economic views resemble judgemental anomalies in which laypeople and experts systematically disagree. — tap to centre the map on it Differences between the public's andeconomists' positive economic viewsresemble judgemental anomalies inwhich laypeople and expertssystematically disagree. Last stated 25 years ago 1 Apr 2002 BC Bryan Caplan — holds since 2002-04-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Samuelson's random-walk analogy for stock prices was mathematical showing-off dressed up as a claim about the real world. — tap to centre the map on it Samuelson's random-walk analogy forstock prices was mathematicalshowing-off dressed up as a claimabout the real world. Last stated 3 years ago 30 May 2023 AG Andrew Gelman — holds since 2023-05-27 — tap for who they are AG Andrew Gelman — no longer holds since 2023-05-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: Tariff policy is too erratic to reliably predict or plan around. — tap to centre the map on it Tariff policy is too erratic toreliably predict or plan around. Last stated 2 years ago 31 Mar 2025 NB Nat Bullard — holds since 2025-03-31 — tap for who they are Same subject: With any new subject people tend first to overrate it, then by reaction to undervalue it — tap to centre the map on it With any new subject people tendfirst to overrate it, then byreaction to undervalue it AL Ada Lovelace — holds since c. 1843 — tap for who they are Same subject: "Follow your skill" is better advice for young people than "follow your passion". — tap to centre the map on it "Follow your skill" is better advicefor young people than "follow yourpassion". Last stated 10 months ago 9 Jan 2026 AB Andrew Bosworth — holds since 2026-01-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: "Proxy action" - an easy task that feels like progress - lets people avoid the hard work of actually making progress. — tap to centre the map on it "Proxy action" - an easy task thatfeels like progress - lets peopleavoid the hard work of actuallymaking progress. Last stated 2 months ago 8 Sept 2026 JF Jason Feifer — holds since 2026-09-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out. — tap to centre the map on it A drop in agency is the earliestsign of burnout, arriving before youconsciously notice you are burningout. Last stated 3 years ago 10 Jan 2024 CH Cate Hall — holds since 2024-01-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: 2016 was when a large part of the West stopped believing the story that globalization and liberalization would create paradise — tap to centre the map on it 2016 was when a large part of theWest stopped believing the storythat globalization andliberalization would create paradise Last stated 10 years ago 21 Feb 2017 YH Yuval Noah Harari — holds since 2017-02-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: Accurately informing people about the climate crisis increases their desire to act. — tap to centre the map on it Accurately informing people aboutthe climate crisis increases theirdesire to act. Last stated 4 weeks ago 9 Oct 2026 BM Bill McKibben — holds since 2026-10-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI is not the cause of the breakdown of honor codes but an accelerant of a culture shift already under way. — tap to centre the map on it AI is not the cause of the breakdownof honor codes but an accelerant ofa culture shift already under way. Last stated 6 months ago 16 May 2026 AR Asha Rangappa — holds since 2026-05-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: "Corporate communications" is now an oxymoron, since nothing meaningful can be communicated by a faceless committee. — tap to centre the map on it "Corporate communications" is now anoxymoron, since nothing meaningfulcan be communicated by a facelesscommittee. Last stated 3 years ago 19 Mar 2024 LM Lulu Cheng Meservey — holds since 2024-03-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: "Hire great people and get out of their way" is dangerous advice for anyone in a leadership role. — tap to centre the map on it "Hire great people and get out oftheir way" is dangerous advice foranyone in a leadership role. Last stated 2 years ago 17 Dec 2024 CM Charity Majors — holds since 2024-12-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: "Hire smart people and get out of their way" is bad management advice; leaders should stay closely involved, building trust and working through hard problems with their people to create alignment. — tap to centre the map on it "Hire smart people and get out oftheir way" is bad management advice;leaders should stay closelyinvolved, building trust and workingthrough hard problems with theirpeople to create alignment. Last stated 4 weeks ago 9 Oct 2026 CR Carl Rivera — holds since 2026-10-09 — tap for who they are
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At the centre The robustness of apparent biases about economics suggests that the judgemental anomaly is real. Last stated 1 Apr 2002 · 25 years ago Holds Bryan Caplan Read this korrent →