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← The robustness of apparent biases about economics suggests that the judgemental anomaly is real.

15 connected korrents · 15 moments on record from 1 Apr 2002 to 4 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under investing investing Everything filed under market efficiency market efficiency Everything filed under economists economists Everything filed under stock market stock market Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: The robustness of apparent biases about economics suggests that the judgemental anomaly is real. The robustness of apparent biases abouteconomics suggests that the judgementalanomaly is real. Last stated 24 years ago 1 Apr 2002 BC Bryan Caplan — holds since 2002-04-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Differences between the public's and economists' economic views do not solely reflect economists' self-serving bias. — tap to centre the map on it Differences between the public's andeconomists' economic views do notsolely reflect economists'self-serving bias. Last stated 24 years ago 1 Apr 2002 BC Bryan Caplan — holds since 2002-04-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Debiasing has largely failed, and that is fine, because the biases identified are experience-built heuristics that only look like biases in hindsight. — tap to centre the map on it Debiasing has largely failed, andthat is fine, because the biasesidentified are experience-builtheuristics that only look likebiases in hindsight. Last stated 4 years ago 9 Aug 2022 GK Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: Differences between the public's and economists' positive economic views resemble judgemental anomalies in which laypeople and experts systematically disagree. — tap to centre the map on it Differences between the public's andeconomists' positive economic viewsresemble judgemental anomalies inwhich laypeople and expertssystematically disagree. Last stated 24 years ago 1 Apr 2002 BC Bryan Caplan — holds since 2002-04-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Samuelson's random-walk analogy for stock prices was mathematical showing-off dressed up as a claim about the real world. — tap to centre the map on it Samuelson's random-walk analogy forstock prices was mathematicalshowing-off dressed up as a claimabout the real world. Last stated 3 years ago 30 May 2023 AG Andrew Gelman — holds since 2023-05-27 — tap for who they are AG Andrew Gelman — no longer holds since 2023-05-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: The efficient market hypothesis is at best a very lossy heuristic — tap to centre the map on it The efficient market hypothesis isat best a very lossy heuristic Last stated 6 days ago 4 Sept 2026 NF Nat Friedman — holds since 2026-09-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: Decision-bias research is itself biased, studying only how heuristics fail and never the strength they supply. — tap to centre the map on it Decision-bias research is itselfbiased, studying only how heuristicsfail and never the strength theysupply. Last stated 4 years ago 9 Aug 2022 GK Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: Even the most advanced AI cannot be followed blindly in investing, where value added is zero-sum and what is widely known is therefore worth little. — tap to centre the map on it Even the most advanced AI cannot befollowed blindly in investing, wherevalue added is zero-sum and what iswidely known is therefore worthlittle. Last stated 3 months ago 10 Jun 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-06-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: Stocks sustained by persistent online attention can stay overpriced for long periods, so overvaluation alone does not imply a near-term correction. — tap to centre the map on it Stocks sustained by persistentonline attention can stay overpricedfor long periods, so overvaluationalone does not imply a near-termcorrection. Last stated 4 years ago 25 Jul 2022 NS Noah Smith — holds since 2022-07-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: Technology has made markets less efficient at long horizons rather than more efficient. — tap to centre the map on it Technology has made markets lessefficient at long horizons ratherthan more efficient. Last stated 2 years ago 3 Sept 2024 CA Cliff Asness — holds since 2024-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: Almost all of the dot-com era's exuberance turned out to be warranted; we remember the failures and forget the value that era created. — tap to centre the map on it Almost all of the dot-com era'sexuberance turned out to bewarranted; we remember the failuresand forget the value that eracreated. Last stated a year ago 18 Aug 2025 BT Bret Taylor — holds since 2025-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Almost no mutual fund earns the fees it charges, so most investors are better off buying an index fund. — tap to centre the map on it Almost no mutual fund earns the feesit charges, so most investors arebetter off buying an index fund. Last stated 3 years ago 20 Feb 2024 BA Bill Ackman — holds since 2024-02-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: An investor's starting point should be the portfolio that is best to hold independent of any tactical market view — tap to centre the map on it An investor's starting point shouldbe the portfolio that is best tohold independent of any tacticalmarket view Last stated 2 weeks ago 25 Aug 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-02-19 — tap for who they are NM Nick Maggiulli — holds since 2026-08-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it A central bank can eliminate aself-fulfilling ('sunspot') debtcrisis simply by credibly committingto buy as many bonds as needed atthe low interest rate. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company priced in the trillions is not thereby overpriced; the test is what revenues and margins that price actually requires. — tap to centre the map on it A company priced in the trillions isnot thereby overpriced; the test iswhat revenues and margins that priceactually requires. Last stated 9 months ago 3 Dec 2025 AD Aswath Damodaran — holds since 2025-12-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company that grows enough eventually has no need for investors. — tap to centre the map on it A company that grows enougheventually has no need forinvestors. Last stated a week ago 1 Sept 2026 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
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At the centre The robustness of apparent biases about economics suggests that the judgemental anomaly is real. Last stated 1 Apr 2002 · 24 years ago Holds Bryan Caplan Read this korrent →