The pull of fundamentals that used to reverse market momentum has weakened, so betting on mean reversion is more dangerous than it was.

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• Most active investors are not hunting for information; they are betting on mean reversion in data everyone already has. ADAswath Damodaran18 Jun 2026similar wording
• At a market price-earnings ratio of twenty-three there is little upside and a long way to fall, where at fifteen there would be much less risk. JDJamie Dimon16 Jul 2025similar wording
• The stock market has become less informationally efficient over the past thirty-plus years, particularly in the relative pricing of common stocks over medium horizons. CACliff Asness3 Sept 2024similar wording
• The S&P 500’s price-to-sales ratio no longer signals what it once did, because today’s companies earn higher margins. NMNick Maggiulli25 Aug 2026similar wording
• The froth visible in US markets in 2025 was the 2021 mania returning, and reason enough to take risk off. NMNick Maggiulli26 Aug 2025similar wording

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