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← The probability of a self-fulfilling bad equilibrium in sovereign debt…

17 connected korrents · 10 moments from 20 Oct 2018 to 16 Sept 2026. Nearly all of them are about JavaScript.

Everything filed under fiscal policy fiscal policy Everything filed under public debt public debt Everything filed under TypeScript TypeScript Everything filed under humility humility Everything filed under Anthropic Anthropic Everything filed under hiring hiring Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: The probability of a self-fulfilling bad equilibrium in sovereign debt markets depends little on the debt level itself, but is much reduced by a rule linking the primary balance to debt service increases. The probability of a self-fulfilling badequilibrium in sovereign debt marketsdepends little on the debt level itself,but is much reduced by a rule linking theprimary balance to debt service increases. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A designer's assumption about where a component belongs is a personal assumption and does not mean that the market or the users will react to the component that way. — tap to centre the map on it A designer's assumption about wherea component belongs is a personalassumption and does not mean thatthe market or the users will reactto the component that way. Last stated 7 months ago 2 Apr 2026 MS Marvin Schwaibold — holds since 2026-04-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: A proprietary language licensed from Microsoft had zero chance in the JavaScript ecosystem: TypeScript had to be open source or nobody would come. — tap to centre the map on it A proprietary language licensed fromMicrosoft had zero chance in theJavaScript ecosystem: TypeScript hadto be open source or nobody wouldcome. Last stated 5 months ago 13 May 2026 AH Anders Hejlsberg — holds since 2026-05-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Because its types are erased before the program runs, TypeScript can afford not to be sound: checking 99% beats the 0% JavaScript checked, and buys features a sound language cannot offer. — tap to centre the map on it Because its types are erased beforethe program runs, TypeScript canafford not to be sound: checking 99%beats the 0% JavaScript checked, andbuys features a sound languagecannot offer. Last stated 5 months ago 13 May 2026 AH Anders Hejlsberg — holds since 2026-05-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Fiscal multipliers vary across time and place but are generally nonzero, positive for spending, negative for taxes, and larger when monetary policy cannot offset them. — tap to centre the map on it Fiscal multipliers vary across timeand place but are generally nonzero,positive for spending, negative fortaxes, and larger when monetarypolicy cannot offset them. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Front-end is, at the end of the day, CSS and JavaScript, and Claude (Opus in particular) and Composer are really great at it. — tap to centre the map on it Front-end is, at the end of the day,CSS and JavaScript, and Claude (Opusin particular) and Composer arereally great at it. Last stated 5 months ago 26 May 2026 AM Andy Madrick — holds since 2026-05-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: Function colouring is the real cost of async/await, and green threads like Go's avoid it — but for an existing runtime such as JavaScript or C#, async/await was still the right solution. — tap to centre the map on it Function colouring is the real costof async/await, and green threadslike Go's avoid it — but for anexisting runtime such as JavaScriptor C#, async/await was still theright solution. Last stated 5 months ago 13 May 2026 AH Anders Hejlsberg — holds since 2026-05-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Getting candidates off script to see how they react and think on their feet gives a much more accurate idea of what working with them day-to-day is like. — tap to centre the map on it Getting candidates off script to seehow they react and think on theirfeet gives a much more accurate ideaof what working with them day-to-dayis like. Last stated 6 months ago 28 Apr 2026 PD Polly D'Arcy — holds since 2026-04-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: Good things happen when you do not test implementation details: tests written with the React and Vue testing libraries look almost identical. — tap to centre the map on it Good things happen when you do nottest implementation details: testswritten with the React and Vuetesting libraries look almostidentical. Last stated 8 years ago 20 Oct 2018 KD Kent C. Dodds — holds since 2018-10-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: During post-2008 fiscal consolidation, the costs of high public debt were overestimated and fiscal multipliers were underestimated, understating the output costs of austerity. — tap to centre the map on it During post-2008 fiscalconsolidation, the costs of highpublic debt were overestimated andfiscal multipliers wereunderestimated, understating theoutput costs of austerity. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Government borrowing through the financial crisis and the pandemic was a good trade, because it repaired household balance sheets. — tap to centre the map on it Government borrowing through thefinancial crisis and the pandemicwas a good trade, because itrepaired household balance sheets. Last stated 2 months ago 28 Aug 2026 BC Ben Carlson — holds since 2026-08-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: Republicans' long-term strategy since Reagan has been to spend heavily on things that don't benefit the non-rich, refuse to raise taxes, and thereby balloon the national debt. — tap to centre the map on it Republicans' long-term strategysince Reagan has been to spendheavily on things that don't benefitthe non-rich, refuse to raise taxes,and thereby balloon the nationaldebt. Last stated a month ago 16 Sept 2026 RS Richard Stallman — holds since 2026-09-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: Structural fiscal deficits have surpassed private sector lending and monetary policy as the primary driver of economic activity and inflation. — tap to centre the map on it Structural fiscal deficits havesurpassed private sector lending andmonetary policy as the primarydriver of economic activity andinflation. Last stated 2 years ago 8 Jan 2025 LA Lyn Alden — holds since 2025-01-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: The main obstacle to sound fiscal policy debate is a widespread, quasi-religious belief that public debt is inherently bad. — tap to centre the map on it The main obstacle to sound fiscalpolicy debate is a widespread,quasi-religious belief that publicdebt is inherently bad. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: The real danger of high government debt is the policy errors it provokes, not a debt crisis. — tap to centre the map on it The real danger of high governmentdebt is the policy errors itprovokes, not a debt crisis. Last stated 2 months ago 28 Aug 2026 BC Ben Carlson — holds since 2026-08-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it A central bank can eliminate aself-fulfilling ('sunspot') debtcrisis simply by credibly committingto buy as many bonds as needed atthe low interest rate. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output. — tap to centre the map on it A fiscal expansion when the economyis already at potential outputprompts monetary tightening thatdampens or eliminates its effect onoutput. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending. — tap to centre the map on it A government's debt dynamics are ahousehold's or a company's, exceptthat it can print money and tax --and those two powers are what changethe ending. Last stated 2 months ago 21 Aug 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are
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At the centre The probability of a self-fulfilling bad equilibrium in sovereign debt markets depends little on the debt level itself, but is much reduced by a rule linking the primary balance to debt service increases. Last stated 1 Jun 2022 · 4 years ago Holds Olivier Blanchard Read this korrent →