Our readingWhat is a korrent?
The future is not determined, and it can be navigated better by understanding the likelihood of events that could affect us.
Drawn from what Shane Parrish said
What this subject means
mental models Thinking tools borrowed across disciplines: inversion, second-order effects, circles of competence, probabilities, incentives.
Mental modelProbabilistic thinking
On the topicWhich mental models help you think better?under our view: Think in probabilities, and bet big only when the odds are yours