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← Technological progress does not deliver the most important…
17 connected korrents · 14 moments on record from 24 Feb 2018 to 12 Jul 2026.
Everything filed under economists
economists
Everything filed under interest rates
interest rates
Everything filed under inflation
inflation
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Read this korrent: Technological progress does not deliver the most important technologies first; what people choose to work on decides what exists.
Technological progress does not deliver the most important technologies first; what people choose to work on decides what exists.
Last stated 3 years ago
2 Feb 2024
JT
Jacob Trefethen — holds since 2024-02-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Technological determinism is only believable low down the tech tree; higher up we already choose which paths not to take. — tap to centre the map on it
Technological determinism is only believable low down the tech tree; higher up we already choose which paths not to take.
Last stated 5 months ago
7 Apr 2026
MN
Michael Nielsen — holds since 2026-04-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Humanity matters more than technology, because it is humanity that dictates whether and how a technology gets adopted. — tap to centre the map on it
Humanity matters more than technology, because it is humanity that dictates whether and how a technology gets adopted.
Last stated 4 months ago
26 Apr 2026
ES
Evan Spiegel — holds since 2026-04-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Producing moral, not just technological, progress requires introducing new moral premises that invert what people previously believed. — tap to centre the map on it
Producing moral, not just technological, progress requires introducing new moral premises that invert what people previously believed.
Last stated 2 months ago
12 Jul 2026
BS
Balaji Srinivasan — holds since 2026-07-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Technologies are almost always preceded by slightly worse versions of themselves, and there is no reason for AI to be the exception. — tap to centre the map on it
Technologies are almost always preceded by slightly worse versions of themselves, and there is no reason for AI to be the exception.
Last stated 9 years ago
24 Feb 2018
PC
Paul Christiano — holds since 2018-02-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Most of the tech tree will never be explored by anyone at all, which is exactly why the choice of which direction to explore matters so much. — tap to centre the map on it
Most of the tech tree will never be explored by anyone at all, which is exactly why the choice of which direction to explore matters so much.
Last stated 5 months ago
7 Apr 2026
MN
Michael Nielsen — holds since 2026-04-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Technology is a lever on the world -- the way to make more with less -- and productivity growth is the main driver of wages, industries and jobs. — tap to centre the map on it
Technology is a lever on the world -- the way to make more with less -- and productivity growth is the main driver of wages, industries and jobs.
Last stated 3 years ago
16 Oct 2023
MA
Marc Andreessen — holds since 2023-10-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Progress is not natural or automatic: it happens only while people believe it is possible and desirable, and it can stop. — tap to centre the map on it
Progress is not natural or automatic: it happens only while people believe it is possible and desirable, and it can stop.
Last stated 6 years ago
12 Sept 2020
JC
Jason Crawford — holds since 2020-09-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Most real economic growth comes from scientific and technological progress, so the AI that matters is the one that significantly increases the rate of scientific discovery. — tap to centre the map on it
Most real economic growth comes from scientific and technological progress, so the AI that matters is the one that significantly increases the rate of scientific discovery.
Last stated 2 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Among the leading candidates for greatest economist of all time, Adam Smith was analytically the weakest, save perhaps Malthus. — tap to centre the map on it
Among the leading candidates for greatest economist of all time, Adam Smith was analytically the weakest, save perhaps Malthus.
Last stated 3 years ago
1 Oct 2023
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2023-10-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An inability to see the viewpoints of people unlike oneself is a genuine weakness in a social scientist, not merely a separate moral failing. — tap to centre the map on it
An inability to see the viewpoints of people unlike oneself is a genuine weakness in a social scientist, not merely a separate moral failing.
Last stated 3 years ago
1 Oct 2023
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2023-10-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: College is not a good career investment for most of the population. — tap to centre the map on it
College is not a good career investment for most of the population.
Last stated 2 years ago
19 Feb 2025
BC
Bryan Caplan — holds since 2025-02-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost. — tap to centre the map on it
A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost.
Last stated 5 months ago
1 Apr 2026
TP
Thuan Pham — holds since 2026-04-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022. — tap to centre the map on it
Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022.
Last stated 4 years ago
25 Jul 2022
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2022-07-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total. — tap to centre the map on it
Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it. — tap to centre the map on it
A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it.
Last stated a year ago
16 Jul 2025
JD
Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it
A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output. — tap to centre the map on it
A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone on record holding the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
Technological progress does not deliver the most important technologies first; what people choose to work on decides what exists.
Last stated 2 Feb 2024 · 3 years ago
Holds JT Jacob Trefethen
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
Technological determinism is only believable low down the tech tree; higher up we already choose which paths not to take.
Last stated 7 Apr 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds MN Michael Nielsen
Similar wording
Humanity matters more than technology, because it is humanity that dictates whether and how a technology gets adopted.
Last stated 26 Apr 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds ES Evan Spiegel
Similar wording
Producing moral, not just technological, progress requires introducing new moral premises that invert what people previously believed.
Last stated 12 Jul 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Balaji Srinivasan
Similar wording
Technologies are almost always preceded by slightly worse versions of themselves, and there is no reason for AI to be the exception.
Last stated 24 Feb 2018 · 9 years ago
Holds PC Paul Christiano
Similar wording
Most of the tech tree will never be explored by anyone at all, which is exactly why the choice of which direction to explore matters so much.
Last stated 7 Apr 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds MN Michael Nielsen
Similar wording
Technology is a lever on the world -- the way to make more with less -- and productivity growth is the main driver of wages, industries and jobs.
Last stated 16 Oct 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds Marc Andreessen
Similar wording
Progress is not natural or automatic: it happens only while people believe it is possible and desirable, and it can stop.
Last stated 12 Sept 2020 · 6 years ago
Holds JC Jason Crawford
Similar wording
Most real economic growth comes from scientific and technological progress, so the AI that matters is the one that significantly increases the rate of scientific discovery.
Last stated 18 Mar 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Sam Altman
Same subject: economists
Among the leading candidates for greatest economist of all time, Adam Smith was analytically the weakest, save perhaps Malthus.
Last stated 1 Oct 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds TC Tyler Cowen
Same subject: economists
An inability to see the viewpoints of people unlike oneself is a genuine weakness in a social scientist, not merely a separate moral failing.
Last stated 1 Oct 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds TC Tyler Cowen
Same subject: economists
College is not a good career investment for most of the population.
Last stated 19 Feb 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds BC Bryan Caplan
Same subject: inflation
A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost.
Last stated 1 Apr 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds TP Thuan Pham
Same subject: inflation
Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022.
Last stated 25 Jul 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Noah Smith
Same subject: inflation
Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total.
Last stated 1 Jun 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Olivier Blanchard
Same subject: interest rates
A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it.
Last stated 16 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds JD Jamie Dimon
Same subject: interest rates
A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate.
Last stated 1 Jun 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Olivier Blanchard
Same subject: interest rates
A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output.
Last stated 1 Jun 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Olivier Blanchard