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← Surprise usually comes from something that has not happened in one's…

17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 27 Sept 2022 to 27 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under world models world models Everything filed under recursive self-improvement recursive self-improvement Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under reinforcement learning reinforcement learning Everything filed under climate change climate change Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Surprise usually comes from something that has not happened in one's own lifetime but did happen before, so it is not seen or thought about. Surprise usually comes from something thathas not happened in one's own lifetime butdid happen before, so it is not seen orthought about. Last stated 4 years ago 27 Sept 2022 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2022-09-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: A system trained only on what is already known cannot produce genuine surprises, because a known thing stops being a surprise. — tap to centre the map on it A system trained only on what isalready known cannot produce genuinesurprises, because a known thingstops being a surprise. Last stated 3 weeks ago 18 Sept 2026 CD Cory Doctorow — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Humans collapse over the course of a life exactly as models do; children say shocking things because they have not overfitted yet. — tap to centre the map on it Humans collapse over the course of alife exactly as models do; childrensay shocking things because theyhave not overfitted yet. Last stated 12 months ago 17 Oct 2025 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: The world around people is completely mutable; most everything that happens is because a person made it happen. — tap to centre the map on it The world around people iscompletely mutable; most everythingthat happens is because a personmade it happen. Last stated 4 weeks ago 11 Sept 2026 MH Mitchell Hashimoto — holds since 2026-09-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: Seeing something many times does not put it into memory: familiarity with a thing and knowledge of it are different, and people confuse the two constantly. — tap to centre the map on it Seeing something many times does notput it into memory: familiarity witha thing and knowledge of it aredifferent, and people confuse thetwo constantly. Last stated 3 months ago 13 Jul 2026 AC Alan Castel — holds since 2026-07-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: A thought that was never captured was never uploaded, so AI has never seen it, and that is where humans remain unique. — tap to centre the map on it A thought that was never capturedwas never uploaded, so AI has neverseen it, and that is where humansremain unique. Last stated 2 months ago 10 Aug 2026 FL Fei-Fei Li — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: A work does not have to be unlike everything before it to be worth making; what makes it new is that this particular person made it. — tap to centre the map on it A work does not have to be unlikeeverything before it to be worthmaking; what makes it new is thatthis particular person made it. Last stated 3 months ago 29 Jun 2026 TC Ted Chiang — holds since 2024-08-31 — tap for who they are NC Nick Cave — holds since 2026-06-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: The historical occurrence of extreme natural events does not by itself show whether their odds have changed over time. — tap to centre the map on it The historical occurrence of extremenatural events does not by itselfshow whether their odds have changedover time. Last stated a month ago 28 Aug 2026 ZH Zeke Hausfather — holds since 2026-08-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: Coincidences happen and correlation does not equal causation. — tap to centre the map on it Coincidences happen and correlationdoes not equal causation. Last stated 2 weeks ago 27 Sept 2026 MB Matt Birchler — holds since 2026-09-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: A model that can predict the next frames of a video coherently understands the world, in the only sense of the word that is doing any work. — tap to centre the map on it A model that can predict the nextframes of a video coherentlyunderstands the world, in the onlysense of the word that is doing anywork. Last stated a year ago 23 Jul 2025 DH Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: An adaptive agent's world model cannot be a static representation learned once and fixed — tap to centre the map on it An adaptive agent's world modelcannot be a static representationlearned once and fixed Last stated a year ago 17 Jul 2025 FC François Chollet — holds since 2025-07-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: Coding is not just another application domain for AI; it is the meta-skill that lets AI generate its own training material and start the recursive self-improvement loop. — tap to centre the map on it Coding is not just anotherapplication domain for AI; it is themeta-skill that lets AI generate itsown training material and start therecursive self-improvement loop. Last stated 2 months ago 10 Aug 2026 FC François Chollet — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: A ban on self-recursive improvement in AI models would create a big incentive for some other parts of the world to invest a lot more in compute. — tap to centre the map on it A ban on self-recursive improvementin AI models would create a bigincentive for some other parts ofthe world to invest a lot more incompute. Last stated 2 weeks ago 22 Sept 2026 TC Tyler Cowen — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI is already inside the recursive self-improvement loop — what the labs have shipped in recent weeks shows the cycle has started. — tap to centre the map on it AI is already inside the recursiveself-improvement loop — what thelabs have shipped in recent weeksshows the cycle has started. Last stated 2 months ago 3 Aug 2026 CP Chamath Palihapitiya — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI research will be fully automated around 2030 or 2031, and AI will beat humans at essentially any job by about 2033. — tap to centre the map on it AI research will be fully automatedaround 2030 or 2031, and AI willbeat humans at essentially any jobby about 2033. Last stated 2 months ago 11 Aug 2026 RG Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: The goal was never good simulation; it was answering counterfactuals, and a value function does that job as well as a simulator does. — tap to centre the map on it The goal was never good simulation;it was answering counterfactuals,and a value function does that jobas well as a simulator does. Last stated a year ago 12 Sept 2025 SL Sergey Levine — holds since 2025-09-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it A feedback loop that reinforces abehavior pulls it toward whateverimproves the loop's own score. Last stated a month ago 26 Aug 2026 HK Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel. — tap to centre the map on it A physical AI company needs threeAIs, not one — the agent, thesimulator and the critic — turningdeployment into a flywheel. Last stated 2 months ago 3 Aug 2026 DD Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Surprise usually comes from something that has not happened in one's own lifetime but did happen before, so it is not seen or thought about. Last stated 27 Sept 2022 · 4 years ago Holds Ray Dalio Read this korrent →