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← Satoshi Nakamoto and Vitalik Buterin are substantially more capable…

17 connected korrents · 14 moments from 6 Dec 2012 to 15 Oct 2026. Nearly all of them are about interest rates.

Everything filed under America America Everything filed under crypto crypto Everything filed under public debt public debt Everything filed under fiscal policy fiscal policy Everything filed under surgical outcomes surgical outcomes Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Satoshi Nakamoto and Vitalik Buterin are substantially more capable than the officials at institutions like the Federal Reserve, a fact the US establishment fails to recognize. Satoshi Nakamoto and Vitalik Buterin aresubstantially more capable than theofficials at institutions like the FederalReserve, a fact the US establishment failsto recognize. Last stated 3 months ago 12 Jul 2026 BS Balaji Srinivasan — holds since 2026-07-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it. — tap to centre the map on it A bank should be managed against thefat tails it can imagine, notagainst the stress test itsregulator hands it. Last stated a year ago 16 Jul 2025 JD Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it A central bank can eliminate aself-fulfilling ('sunspot') debtcrisis simply by credibly committingto buy as many bonds as needed atthe low interest rate. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A Fed easing move being immediately followed by a sharp jump in long-term rates suggests the Federal Reserve has lost control over the narrative governing bond-market expectations. — tap to centre the map on it A Fed easing move being immediatelyfollowed by a sharp jump inlong-term rates suggests the FederalReserve has lost control over thenarrative governing bond-marketexpectations. Last stated 3 days ago 15 Oct 2026 BD Brad DeLong — holds since 2026-10-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output. — tap to centre the map on it A fiscal expansion when the economyis already at potential outputprompts monetary tightening thatdampens or eliminates its effect onoutput. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending. — tap to centre the map on it A government's debt dynamics are ahousehold's or a company's, exceptthat it can print money and tax --and those two powers are what changethe ending. Last stated 2 months ago 21 Aug 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases. — tap to centre the map on it A longer average debt maturityprotects a government from temporaryinterest-rate spikes and gives itmore time to adjust to permanentrate increases. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A new monetary network with its own unit can only bootstrap from zero to mass adoption through a period of upward price volatility. — tap to centre the map on it A new monetary network with its ownunit can only bootstrap from zero tomass adoption through a period ofupward price volatility. Last stated a year ago 6 Jul 2025 LA Lyn Alden — holds since 2025-07-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: A persistently low safe interest rate signals that capital is not very productive at the margin, an underlying economic problem rather than a policy variable. — tap to centre the map on it A persistently low safe interestrate signals that capital is notvery productive at the margin, anunderlying economic problem ratherthan a policy variable. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: The world today is dividing into three poles: the American establishment, the Chinese Communist Party, and the global Bitcoin/crypto network. — tap to centre the map on it The world today is dividing intothree poles: the Americanestablishment, the Chinese CommunistParty, and the global Bitcoin/cryptonetwork. Last stated 3 months ago 12 Jul 2026 BS Balaji Srinivasan — holds since 2026-07-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: A century of fire suppression policy in the American West has dangerously overloaded forests with fuel and made megafires more likely. — tap to centre the map on it A century of fire suppression policyin the American West has dangerouslyoverloaded forests with fuel andmade megafires more likely. Last stated 2 months ago 22 Aug 2026 JP Jennifer Pahlka — holds since 2026-08-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it A Chinese crewed landing on the Moonbefore America returns would be adefeat for the free world. Last stated 2 months ago 18 Aug 2026 CH Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are EB Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A tracing requirement in an encrypted messenger gives up the confidentiality of who sent what, which is the part that protects the sender. — tap to centre the map on it A tracing requirement in anencrypted messenger gives up theconfidentiality of who sent what,which is the part that protects thesender. Last stated 5 years ago 1 Aug 2021 MG Matthew Green — holds since 2021-08-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: As Bitcoin's ecosystem matures and regulatory clarity increases, idiosyncratic 'Black Swan' shocks to its price will become less frequent. — tap to centre the map on it As Bitcoin's ecosystem matures andregulatory clarity increases,idiosyncratic 'Black Swan' shocks toits price will become less frequent. Last stated 2 years ago 24 Sept 2024 LA Lyn Alden — holds since 2024-09-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: Bitcoin creates more upside and downside than traditional money because it makes users power users with no system administrator to fall back on. — tap to centre the map on it Bitcoin creates more upside anddownside than traditional moneybecause it makes users power userswith no system administrator to fallback on. Last stated 3 months ago 12 Jul 2026 BS Balaji Srinivasan — holds since 2026-07-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy. — tap to centre the map on it A diesel export ban would probablydo little for U.S. affordability,would deter business investment, andwould weaken America's hand againstChina on energy. Last stated 3 weeks ago 24 Sept 2026 PK Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments. — tap to centre the map on it A fox who sees many factors in playcannot judge in a blink; they reason'on the one hand, and on the other'and must reconcile the conflictingarguments. Last stated 14 years ago 6 Dec 2012 PT Philip Tetlock — holds since 2012-12-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: A large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them. — tap to centre the map on it A large, sustained AI capabilitylead by either the US or China couldshift the global balance of powerbetween them. Last stated a month ago 5 Sept 2026 NS Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-05 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2012 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are

At the centre Satoshi Nakamoto and Vitalik Buterin are substantially more capable than the officials at institutions like the Federal Reserve, a fact the US establishment fails to recognize. Last stated 12 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago Holds Balaji Srinivasan Read this korrent →