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← Ruling out every measurable cause because none explains all the…
17 connected korrents · 16 moments on record from 7 Nov 2014 to 26 Aug 2026.
Everything filed under demographics
demographics
Everything filed under America
America
Everything filed under inflation
inflation
Everything filed under immigration
immigration
Everything filed under government
government Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Ruling out every measurable cause because none explains all the variation, and putting an unmeasured one in their place, is not an explanation. Ruling out every measurable cause because none explains all the variation, and putting an unmeasured one in their place, is not an explanation. Last stated 3 weeks ago
20 Aug 2026
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "There is no empirical evidence against my position" is not an argument for it. — tap to centre the map on it "There is no empirical evidence against my position" is not an argument for it. Last stated 12 years ago
7 Nov 2014
DL
Dan Luu — holds since 2014-11-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: If you can predict it, it does not count as emergence. — tap to centre the map on it If you can predict it, it does not count as emergence. Last stated 3 years ago
1 Sept 2023
NO
Neri Oxman — holds since 2023-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The causes of an outcome cannot be divided into slices that add up to 100 per cent, so a large effect from one cause does not leave a small remainder for the others. — tap to centre the map on it The causes of an outcome cannot be divided into slices that add up to 100 per cent, so a large effect from one cause does not leave a small remainder for the others. Last stated a year ago
24 Apr 2025
SD
Saloni Dattani — holds since 2025-04-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change. — tap to centre the map on it A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change. Last stated 3 weeks ago
20 Aug 2026
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Calling the fall in birth rates a mystery is not humility but obscurantism: there is already a good causal account of it. — tap to centre the map on it Calling the fall in birth rates a mystery is not humility but obscurantism: there is already a good causal account of it. Last stated 3 weeks ago
20 Aug 2026
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Biology keeps turning up whole classes of things nobody knew existed, and that is what defeats attempts to model it. — tap to centre the map on it Biology keeps turning up whole classes of things nobody knew existed, and that is what defeats attempts to model it. Last stated 2 years ago
19 Sept 2024
DL
Derek Lowe — holds since 2024-09-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at, and whether a five percent rise is good, are both art rather than science. — tap to centre the map on it Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at, and whether a five percent rise is good, are both art rather than science. Last stated 12 months ago
21 Sept 2025
JZ
Julie Zhuo — holds since 2025-09-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Complex systems do not have one root cause, so root-cause analysis is the wrong thing to be doing. — tap to centre the map on it Complex systems do not have one root cause, so root-cause analysis is the wrong thing to be doing. Last stated 7 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country benefits from immigration in proportion to whether the people arriving are net contributors who assimilate. — tap to centre the map on it A country benefits from immigration in proportion to whether the people arriving are net contributors who assimilate. Last stated 2 weeks ago
26 Aug 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: America treats its inability to build and to admit skilled migrants as mysteries to be endured rather than problems to be solved. — tap to centre the map on it America treats its inability to build and to admit skilled migrants as mysteries to be endured rather than problems to be solved. Last stated 3 years ago
23 Jan 2024
DW
Dan Wang — holds since 2024-01-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Anti-immigration parties gain ground by generating fear, not by winning the argument about what immigration does. — tap to centre the map on it Anti-immigration parties gain ground by generating fear, not by winning the argument about what immigration does. Last stated 3 years ago
29 Nov 2023
LP
Lant Pritchett — holds since 2023-11-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost. — tap to centre the map on it A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost. Last stated 5 months ago
1 Apr 2026
TP
Thuan Pham — holds since 2026-04-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022. — tap to centre the map on it Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022. Last stated 4 years ago
25 Jul 2022
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2022-07-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total. — tap to centre the map on it Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A government taking a stake in its chipmaker is ordinary infrastructure policy — Taiwan, Japan and Singapore all did it. — tap to centre the map on it A government taking a stake in its chipmaker is ordinary infrastructure policy — Taiwan, Japan and Singapore all did it. Last stated 3 months ago
18 Jun 2026
LT
Lip-Bu Tan — holds since 2026-06-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: American shipyards are unproductive rather than expensive: their workers are paid about what Korean and Japanese shipyard workers are paid. — tap to centre the map on it American shipyards are unproductive rather than expensive: their workers are paid about what Korean and Japanese shipyard workers are paid. Last stated 3 years ago
3 Jan 2024
AV
Austin Vernon — holds since 2024-01-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Commercial shipbuilding keeps moving to whichever country has the cheapest labour, and America has never been that country. — tap to centre the map on it Commercial shipbuilding keeps moving to whichever country has the cheapest labour, and America has never been that country. Last stated 2 years ago
5 Sept 2024
BP
Brian Potter — holds since 2024-09-05 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Ruling out every measurable cause because none explains all the variation, and putting an unmeasured one in their place, is not an explanation.
Holds LS Lyman StoneRead this korrent →
"There is no empirical evidence against my position" is not an argument for it.
Holds DL Dan Luu
If you can predict it, it does not count as emergence.
Holds NO Neri Oxman
The causes of an outcome cannot be divided into slices that add up to 100 per cent, so a large effect from one cause does not leave a small remainder for the others.
Holds SD Saloni Dattani
A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change.
Holds LS Lyman Stone
Calling the fall in birth rates a mystery is not humility but obscurantism: there is already a good causal account of it.
Holds LS Lyman Stone
Biology keeps turning up whole classes of things nobody knew existed, and that is what defeats attempts to model it.
Holds DL Derek Lowe
Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at, and whether a five percent rise is good, are both art rather than science.
Holds JZ Julie Zhuo
Complex systems do not have one root cause, so root-cause analysis is the wrong thing to be doing.
Holds JC Jason Cohen
A country benefits from immigration in proportion to whether the people arriving are net contributors who assimilate.
Holds
America treats its inability to build and to admit skilled migrants as mysteries to be endured rather than problems to be solved.
Holds DW Dan Wang
Anti-immigration parties gain ground by generating fear, not by winning the argument about what immigration does.
Holds LP Lant Pritchett
A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost.
Holds TP Thuan Pham
Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022.
Holds
Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total.
Holds
A government taking a stake in its chipmaker is ordinary infrastructure policy — Taiwan, Japan and Singapore all did it.
Holds LT Lip-Bu Tan
American shipyards are unproductive rather than expensive: their workers are paid about what Korean and Japanese shipyard workers are paid.
Holds AV Austin Vernon
Commercial shipbuilding keeps moving to whichever country has the cheapest labour, and America has never been that country.
Holds BP Brian Potter