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← Ruling out every measurable cause because none explains all the…
17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 13 Dec 1968 to 20 Aug 2026.
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behavioural science Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Ruling out every measurable cause because none explains all the variation, and putting an unmeasured one in their place, is not an explanation. Ruling out every measurable cause because none explains all the variation, and putting an unmeasured one in their place, is not an explanation. Last stated 2 months ago
20 Aug 2026
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: I frame no hypotheses about the cause of gravity: whatever is not deduced from the phenomena is a hypothesis — tap to centre the map on it I frame no hypotheses about the cause of gravity: whatever is not deduced from the phenomena is a hypothesis
IN
Isaac Newton — holds since c. 1713–1726 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The properties of light should be proved by reason and experiments, not explained by hypotheses — tap to centre the map on it The properties of light should be proved by reason and experiments, not explained by hypotheses
IN
Isaac Newton — holds since c. 1704–1718 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "There is no empirical evidence against my position" is not an argument for it. — tap to centre the map on it "There is no empirical evidence against my position" is not an argument for it. Last stated 12 years ago
7 Nov 2014
DL
Dan Luu — holds since 2014-11-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: If you can predict it, it does not count as emergence. — tap to centre the map on it If you can predict it, it does not count as emergence. Last stated 3 years ago
1 Sept 2023
NO
Neri Oxman — holds since 2023-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The causes of an outcome cannot be divided into slices that add up to 100 per cent, so a large effect from one cause does not leave a small remainder for the others. — tap to centre the map on it The causes of an outcome cannot be divided into slices that add up to 100 per cent, so a large effect from one cause does not leave a small remainder for the others. Last stated a year ago
24 Apr 2025
SD
Saloni Dattani — holds since 2025-04-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A performance test without an explanation of its limiting factor should be treated as unanalyzed and possibly bogus. — tap to centre the map on it A performance test without an explanation of its limiting factor should be treated as unanalyzed and possibly bogus. Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
BG
Brendan Gregg — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Knowledge does not come from extrapolating repeated observations. — tap to centre the map on it Knowledge does not come from extrapolating repeated observations. Last stated 14 years ago
3 Oct 2012
DD
David Deutsch — holds since 2012-10-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The best prediction is always less extreme than the impression it is based on, but intuitive prediction is non-regressive and ignores regression to the mean. — tap to centre the map on it The best prediction is always less extreme than the impression it is based on, but intuitive prediction is non-regressive and ignores regression to the mean. Last stated 7 years ago
12 Oct 2019
DK
Daniel Kahneman — holds since 2019-10-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A finite world can support only a finite population, so population growth must eventually reach zero — tap to centre the map on it A finite world can support only a finite population, so population growth must eventually reach zero Last stated 58 years ago
13 Dec 1968
GH
Garrett Hardin — holds since 1968-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A mass death does not by itself produce a boom afterwards: expecting a pandemic to renew an economy on its own misreads what followed the Black Death. — tap to centre the map on it A mass death does not by itself produce a boom afterwards: expecting a pandemic to renew an economy on its own misreads what followed the Black Death. Last stated 6 years ago
4 Jun 2020
AP
Ada Palmer — holds since 2020-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change. — tap to centre the map on it A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change. Last stated 2 months ago
20 Aug 2026
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Governments should pay a lot for children and let the people who respond reveal which cultural compromises are acceptable, rather than deciding in advance which value to give up. — tap to centre the map on it Governments should pay a lot for children and let the people who respond reveal which cultural compromises are acceptable, rather than deciding in advance which value to give up. Last stated 3 years ago
3 Oct 2023
RH
Robin Hanson — holds since 2023-10-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Improving entertainment technology raises the bar parenthood has to clear, because people have children when it looks more fun than the alternatives. — tap to centre the map on it Improving entertainment technology raises the bar parenthood has to clear, because people have children when it looks more fun than the alternatives. Last stated a year ago
1 Jul 2025
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2025-07-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Most people should get married and have kids much earlier than the current average, and have more of them. — tap to centre the map on it Most people should get married and have kids much earlier than the current average, and have more of them. Last stated 2 years ago
13 Jan 2025
KD
Kent C. Dodds — holds since 2024-12-29 — tap for who they are
KD
Kent C. Dodds — holds since 2025-01-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Immigration cannot hold a rich country's working-age population steady, because doing so would require it to become 40 to 50 per cent foreign-born. — tap to centre the map on it Immigration cannot hold a rich country's working-age population steady, because doing so would require it to become 40 to 50 per cent foreign-born. Last stated 2 years ago
1 Nov 2024
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2024-11-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Immigration is irrelevant to the real problem low fertility creates, because that problem is people having fewer children than they wanted. — tap to centre the map on it Immigration is irrelevant to the real problem low fertility creates, because that problem is people having fewer children than they wanted. Last stated a year ago
14 Oct 2025
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2025-10-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The return of inflation is what made Donald Trump's second presidency possible, and therefore what makes everything that presidency changes possible. — tap to centre the map on it The return of inflation is what made Donald Trump's second presidency possible, and therefore what makes everything that presidency changes possible. Last stated 2 years ago
19 Jan 2025
JB
Jennifer Burns — holds since 2025-01-19 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Ruling out every measurable cause because none explains all the variation, and putting an unmeasured one in their place, is not an explanation.
Holds Read this korrent →
I frame no hypotheses about the cause of gravity: whatever is not deduced from the phenomena is a hypothesis
Last stated c. 1713–1726
Holds
The properties of light should be proved by reason and experiments, not explained by hypotheses
Last stated c. 1704–1718
Holds
"There is no empirical evidence against my position" is not an argument for it.
Holds
If you can predict it, it does not count as emergence.
Holds
The causes of an outcome cannot be divided into slices that add up to 100 per cent, so a large effect from one cause does not leave a small remainder for the others.
Holds
A performance test without an explanation of its limiting factor should be treated as unanalyzed and possibly bogus.
Holds
Knowledge does not come from extrapolating repeated observations.
Holds
The best prediction is always less extreme than the impression it is based on, but intuitive prediction is non-regressive and ignores regression to the mean.
Holds
A finite world can support only a finite population, so population growth must eventually reach zero
Holds
A mass death does not by itself produce a boom afterwards: expecting a pandemic to renew an economy on its own misreads what followed the Black Death.
Holds
A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change.
Holds
Governments should pay a lot for children and let the people who respond reveal which cultural compromises are acceptable, rather than deciding in advance which value to give up.
Holds
Improving entertainment technology raises the bar parenthood has to clear, because people have children when it looks more fun than the alternatives.
Holds
Most people should get married and have kids much earlier than the current average, and have more of them.
Holds
Immigration cannot hold a rich country's working-age population steady, because doing so would require it to become 40 to 50 per cent foreign-born.
Holds
Immigration is irrelevant to the real problem low fertility creates, because that problem is people having fewer children than they wanted.
Holds
The return of inflation is what made Donald Trump's second presidency possible, and therefore what makes everything that presidency changes possible.
Holds